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Downtime 07-11-2020 08:42 PM


Originally Posted by OpMidClimax (Post 3090246)
We're talking lag at work..

Reinfection case was actually a person that donated convalescent antibodies several times. The patient assumed they were immune.

That's all i can say till the case review is published. There are several now being reviewed.

Again if they were sick enough to donate plasma if they have a cough they can test positive months later. South Korea had this same thing. They could not culture the virus it was dead but the symptoms had returned. Symptoms are due to your immune system. No offense if they had a lab confirmed cultures etc case of reinfection much less two it would have made news every where around the world. Below is a link from South Korea. The antibodies most often associated have a half life of six weeks. Every single country on the planet has reported the same thing. This would literally be the first respiratory virus we have no immunity after recovery too.

https://www.google.com/amp/s/mobile..../idUSKBN22J0HR

contrails12 07-11-2020 08:46 PM

cargo,

I think your confusion concerning the lag is a result of you you trying to interpret a bunch of raw data without the requisite expertise.

You could just listen to the plain English explanations from numerous epidemiologist.

It’s like if you handed a print out of the the ATIS to passengers instead of just saying it’s going to be warm and sunny with light winds.

hey just my opinion. More power to ya

(insert 20 hyperlinks here of epidemiologists saying the lag is 4-6 weeks from rising cases to hospitalizations/deaths)

Knobcrk1 07-11-2020 09:58 PM

https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.loc...outputType=amp

Excargodog 07-11-2020 10:55 PM


Originally Posted by contrails12 (Post 3090309)
cargo,

I think your confusion concerning the lag is a result of you you trying to interpret a bunch of raw data without the requisite expertise.

You could just listen to the plain English explanations from numerous epidemiologist.

It’s like if you handed a print out of the the ATIS to passengers instead of just saying it’s going to be warm and sunny with light winds.

hey just my opinion. More power to ya

(insert 20 hyperlinks here of epidemiologists saying the lag is 4-6 weeks from rising cases to hospitalizations/deaths)

if you are incapable of following science articles that is YOUR problem, not mine. I’m not the guy who claimed there was a three week lag when current studies show five to ten days.

contrails12 07-12-2020 04:22 AM


Originally Posted by Excargodog (Post 3090327)
if you are incapable of following science articles that is YOUR problem, not mine. I’m not the guy who claimed there was a three week lag when current studies show five to ten days.

That’s not my claim, I’m just regurgitating what the appropriate experts are claiming

Hopefully they’re wrong, like the passenger I showed an ATIS to to confirm the temp. He said “dude, you said it’s warm, it says here that’s it’s only 30 degrees, stupid pilot”

:p

Excargodog 07-12-2020 06:34 AM


Originally Posted by contrails12 (Post 3090352)
That’s not my claim, I’m just regurgitating what the appropriate experts are claiming
:p

And I just regurgitated CDCs LATEST (IE, Friday) assessment of the time from initial symptoms or hospitalization to death for the relatively small proportion of the infected who do indeed die.

So are you saying the CDC’s experts are NOT experts, or that I’m less entitled than you to post the expert regurgitations I find? Is this some sort of ‘cancel culture’ thing because the scientists I quote have an opinion different than yours? Because that’s not typically the way science works...

contrails12 07-12-2020 07:20 AM

I’m not trying to cancel anyone. Stating you’re not an expert is factual. Unless you are an expert in which case I apologize.

GeeWizDriver 07-12-2020 07:27 AM

Well, we KNOW that only Americans are stupid enough to turn mask wearing into a culture war, right? I mean, they just dragged the driver off a bus and beat him to death for asking four passengers to put on their masks....troglodyte Trump supporters!

Oh, wait....


https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/world...ks/ar-BB16oH83

contrails12 07-12-2020 07:30 AM

cargo,

To address the data...the purpose of that data you posted most recently was to understand demographics. It does not give contextual information about reporting lags.

the time when something happens, and when it is reported are two separate things.

that data set was from the first feb, March, april

if you look at all the charts you post, during those months, there a significant lag between when cases and deaths are reported.

contrails12 07-12-2020 07:36 AM


Originally Posted by GeeWizDriver (Post 3090404)
Well, we KNOW that only Americans are stupid enough to turn mask wearing into a culture war, right? I mean, they just dragged the driver off a bus and beat him to death for asking four passengers to put on their masks....troglodyte Trump supporters!

Oh, wait....


https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/world...ks/ar-BB16oH83

you just proved that there are idiots everywhere, not that the MAGA diehards aren’t idiots.


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