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Old 04-19-2020 | 04:30 AM
  #41  
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Originally Posted by DrunkIrishman
I don’t understand why some of you keep saying this is a revenue problem not a cost problem. It’s both just as it was after 9/11. If you don’t have any revenue coming in, you have to preserve cash which IS a cost problem. If you don’t, you’ll go bankrupt plain and simple.

I’ve heard some pilots say bankruptcy is inevitable so we should not do anything to reign in cost. That is one helluva self-fulfilling prophecy. I’m sorry how bad things were in the past and I recognize our profession was nearly destroyed financially. That should not, however, prohibit us from reducing our monthly credit. This is very different from reducing our payrates.

Can any of you say that maintaining high cost compared to revenue is wise?
No what most people are saying is that there is a contractual means to reduce cost through SIL's where people will choose to get paid a lot less than the ALV to not have any hook with the company and the company chose not to use it do to optics with other employee groups. While simultaneously starting a discretionary program for the other work groups that could self identify has high risk and stay home thereby costing the company even more money.
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Old 04-19-2020 | 04:46 AM
  #42  
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I agree the cost reduction does not do that much.

The reason to adjust ALV is about maintaining category and status in higher paying positions, being better positioned for a coming SLI and making management have to buy higher productivity from us later.
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Old 04-19-2020 | 05:35 AM
  #43  
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Originally Posted by OOfff
zero money has been spent on the carbon neutrality plan.
Great !! Hopefully they will keep it that way .
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Old 04-19-2020 | 05:53 AM
  #44  
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Originally Posted by overqualified52
Great !! Hopefully they will keep it that way .
We are probably "carbon negative" with our huge schedule pull-down. 😁
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Old 04-19-2020 | 07:13 AM
  #45  
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Originally Posted by DrunkIrishman
I don’t understand why some of you keep saying this is a revenue problem not a cost problem. It’s both just as it was after 9/11. If you don’t have any revenue coming in, you have to preserve cash which IS a cost problem. If you don’t, you’ll go bankrupt plain and simple.
The reason people (me) are saying it’s a revenue problem and not a cost problem is because of the SCOPE/SIZE of the problem and how the Company got to the point of where it is. If the current revenue environment continues lowering the ALV by 20hrs for every one for a month saves around a $100 Million. At current published burn rates that saves 2 days or less. In other words it’s not gonna help us unless the Revenue side returns.

I’ve heard some pilots say bankruptcy is inevitable so we should not do anything to reign in cost. That is one helluva self-fulfilling prophecy. I’m sorry how bad things were in the past and I recognize our profession was nearly destroyed financially. That should not, however, prohibit us from reducing our monthly credit. This is very different from reducing our payrates.

Can any of you say that maintaining high cost compared to revenue is wise?
If revenue does NOT return, we absolutely ARE headed to another bankruptcy..........or gubmint bailout. There is no way to avoid it. In the current revenue environment we could fly for free and still end up in BK. Again, reducing monthly credit by 20 hrs system wide for a month only saves 2 days or less at current burn rates put out by EB.

Denny
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Old 04-19-2020 | 07:15 AM
  #46  
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Originally Posted by MOTOJOE
So... for early outs, the only way most of us guys/gals in there last 2 to 3 yrs left will ever participate is to have a guarantee. Well in bankruptcy there is no guarantee almost zero. But, an upfront payout would be a guarantee! But for pilots in there last couple of years it would have to be substantial. $200K payout for each year you have left to even come close to what they we make now. 😷
me up! Every day I am waiting for information with a pen in my hand
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Old 04-19-2020 | 07:29 AM
  #47  
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Concessions are like putting a single steri-strip on a gushing jugular bleed...it doesn't fix the problem...the end result is the same!
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Old 04-19-2020 | 07:32 AM
  #48  
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Originally Posted by DrunkIrishman
I don’t understand why some of you keep saying this is a revenue problem not a cost problem. It’s both just as it was after 9/11. If you don’t have any revenue coming in, you have to preserve cash which IS a cost problem. If you don’t, you’ll go bankrupt plain and simple.

I’ve heard some pilots say bankruptcy is inevitable so we should not do anything to reign in cost. That is one helluva self-fulfilling prophecy. I’m sorry how bad things were in the past and I recognize our profession was nearly destroyed financially. That should not, however, prohibit us from reducing our monthly credit. This is very different from reducing our payrates.

Can any of you say that maintaining high cost compared to revenue is wise?
It's a tough ask: Take one for the team and sacrifice some coin before you lose your job in 6 months anyway while trying to get your own "financial house in order."
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Old 04-19-2020 | 08:24 AM
  #49  
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Originally Posted by FL370esq
We are probably "carbon negative" with our huge schedule pull-down. 😁
If we aren't carbon negative now, we will never be......
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Old 04-19-2020 | 09:43 AM
  #50  
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Originally Posted by DrunkIrishman
I don’t understand why some of you keep saying this is a revenue problem not a cost problem. It’s both just as it was after 9/11. If you don’t have any revenue coming in, you have to preserve cash which IS a cost problem. If you don’t, you’ll go bankrupt plain and simple.

I’ve heard some pilots say bankruptcy is inevitable so we should not do anything to reign in cost. That is one helluva self-fulfilling prophecy. I’m sorry how bad things were in the past and I recognize our profession was nearly destroyed financially. That should not, however, prohibit us from reducing our monthly credit. This is very different from reducing our payrates.

Can any of you say that maintaining high cost compared to revenue is wise?
Its a fake binary choice logical trap for sure.

The best lies are those that employ technical truths to frame the discussion. So yes, if revenue remains at 5% prior levels with zero recovery ever, DL will run out of money no matter what we do. Is that at all likely to happen though? Then some like to use the "once bitten" nonsense about 9-11 and the "do it once do it right" paycuts prior to BK only to get more paycuts in BK. The (hillariously asinine) assumption used there is that, but for the agreed upon paycuts prior to BK, the post BK payrates wouldn't have been as low. As if the courts randomly apply a fixed percentage to the cuts regardless of the starting point. Yet they make that system up in their head, then use it to "prove" they are right.

Its easy to indulge in absurd false dichotomy absolutes if you blanket accept the false dichotomy in the first place, because in that case of course its true.
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