The Max flies again.
#41
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Jul 2010
Position: window seat
Posts: 12,522
Always knowing you're going to be first on Track Day can get pretty boring I guess.
What I don't get is the linking of the 717 to potential MAX orders. I don't think there's any chance DL would ever get a 737-700MAX. Are they even still making that? So with the -800 being the absolute smallest, and likely some -900's after that if the -800's happened, it doesn't seem like very many would be replacing 717 lift at all.
It seems it would mostly be an -800NG and ancient 320 replacement more than anything, with a little 757 cleanup in line with its phase out. Cue the 75 fanbois about how great it is and irreplaceable on a small handful of routes; no one cares. The point is that we currently have a lot of relatively fuel inefficient 757 lift all throughout the sysyem on routes that much more efficient MAX planes theoretically could easily do with no performance issue whatsoever.
If we get the MAX, sure we could see it on the occasional 717 route, however you define that. But the true 717 replacement seems like it would be the "Airbus" 220 family.
What I don't get is the linking of the 717 to potential MAX orders. I don't think there's any chance DL would ever get a 737-700MAX. Are they even still making that? So with the -800 being the absolute smallest, and likely some -900's after that if the -800's happened, it doesn't seem like very many would be replacing 717 lift at all.
It seems it would mostly be an -800NG and ancient 320 replacement more than anything, with a little 757 cleanup in line with its phase out. Cue the 75 fanbois about how great it is and irreplaceable on a small handful of routes; no one cares. The point is that we currently have a lot of relatively fuel inefficient 757 lift all throughout the sysyem on routes that much more efficient MAX planes theoretically could easily do with no performance issue whatsoever.
If we get the MAX, sure we could see it on the occasional 717 route, however you define that. But the true 717 replacement seems like it would be the "Airbus" 220 family.
#45
The trend, however, is not Big D’s friend. Not optimistic about seeing a significant profit sharing check for at least 5 years, probably longer.
#46
Reasonably, we should expect all airlines to hoard cash and balance the debt to cash ratio. I don’t think it’ll have an effect on PS payout for employees. Stock buybacks may not come back quickly but depending on refinancing interest rates as the airlines restructure their debts in a non pandemic environment we may see a “more better/ new world” form of buybacks emerge. #investorsneedtheirmoney
#47
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Feb 2008
Posts: 19,273
Wallstreet at the moment seems confident in Delta. It’s worth noting however that getting to cash burn neutral is about 10% of the battle. You need to get to cash burn neutral while making appropriate investment in aircraft, infrastructure, recurring maintenance, full employment and servicing the new debt load. That’s a very different animal than the cash burn neutral Delta is currently touting and pushing further and further back. It’s going to be a long time before meaningful profits. On the plus side Delta is still making investments in a few key airports and accelerating some projects. Near as I can tell however it’s all being financed rather than the pre covid plan.
#48
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Sep 2007
Posts: 331
Always knowing you're going to be first on Track Day can get pretty boring I guess.
What I don't get is the linking of the 717 to potential MAX orders. I don't think there's any chance DL would ever get a 737-700MAX. Are they even still making that? So with the -800 being the absolute smallest, and likely some -900's after that if the -800's happened, it doesn't seem like very many would be replacing 717 lift at all.....
.....If we get the MAX, sure we could see it on the occasional 717 route, however you define that. But the true 717 replacement seems like it would be the "Airbus" 220 family.
What I don't get is the linking of the 717 to potential MAX orders. I don't think there's any chance DL would ever get a 737-700MAX. Are they even still making that? So with the -800 being the absolute smallest, and likely some -900's after that if the -800's happened, it doesn't seem like very many would be replacing 717 lift at all.....
.....If we get the MAX, sure we could see it on the occasional 717 route, however you define that. But the true 717 replacement seems like it would be the "Airbus" 220 family.
#49
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Sep 2015
Position: UNA
Posts: 4,419
Always knowing you're going to be first on Track Day can get pretty boring I guess.
What I don't get is the linking of the 717 to potential MAX orders. I don't think there's any chance DL would ever get a 737-700MAX. Are they even still making that? So with the -800 being the absolute smallest, and likely some -900's after that if the -800's happened, it doesn't seem like very many would be replacing 717 lift at all.
It seems it would mostly be an -800NG and ancient 320 replacement more than anything, with a little 757 cleanup in line with its phase out. Cue the 75 fanbois about how great it is and irreplaceable on a small handful of routes; no one cares. The point is that we currently have a lot of relatively fuel inefficient 757 lift all throughout the sysyem on routes that much more efficient MAX planes theoretically could easily do with no performance issue whatsoever.
If we get the MAX, sure we could see it on the occasional 717 route, however you define that. But the true 717 replacement seems like it would be the "Airbus" 220 family.
What I don't get is the linking of the 717 to potential MAX orders. I don't think there's any chance DL would ever get a 737-700MAX. Are they even still making that? So with the -800 being the absolute smallest, and likely some -900's after that if the -800's happened, it doesn't seem like very many would be replacing 717 lift at all.
It seems it would mostly be an -800NG and ancient 320 replacement more than anything, with a little 757 cleanup in line with its phase out. Cue the 75 fanbois about how great it is and irreplaceable on a small handful of routes; no one cares. The point is that we currently have a lot of relatively fuel inefficient 757 lift all throughout the sysyem on routes that much more efficient MAX planes theoretically could easily do with no performance issue whatsoever.
If we get the MAX, sure we could see it on the occasional 717 route, however you define that. But the true 717 replacement seems like it would be the "Airbus" 220 family.
#50
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Aug 2020
Posts: 2,219
Can anyone who flys the A220 post what the cruise fuel burn is for both models? The Max is about 15-16% more efficient than the same sized NG, and I’m just wondering how the A220 compares to something like the Max7. Mostly just wishful thinking that United will follow you guys and take more flying in house. We have close to 300 of the 50 seat jets running around, and I’d love to take a chainsaw to that fleet like Delta has. The catch is that our management wants more big rj’s, but refuses to do what Delta did to get them.
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