New Hire Class Drops
09-29-2023 | 01:09 PM
#4691
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Joined: Mar 2022
Posts: 631
Likes: 53
That's a tough question to answer, in part because the sands are often shifting, and in part because we have some international growth coming over the next 5 years. But...
ATL is, and has always been, pretty senior for WB B. Honestly, it will probably take better part of a decade for ATL. Conversely, NYC is, and has always been, the most junior WB B.
As Fastpilot said above, the most junior WB B has been going to about 70% in the company, but NYC might get to ~80% as we go forward. But very likely somewhere between those goalposts. Incidentally, DOH, or "years to hold" is a horrible metric, given the crazy hiring we have had in the last couple years, and the slight slowdown in pace of hiring coming. We will hire around 2400 total this year, 1700 next year, and 1300 annually going forward. With a current list of around 16500 & about 500 retirements a year, you can do some math, but suffice to say, if current (which is also the historic) trends hold going forward, you are probably looking at 4-8 years for 80% and 70% respectively in NYC. At least for planing purposes, that's what I would expect.
ATL is, and has always been, pretty senior for WB B. Honestly, it will probably take better part of a decade for ATL. Conversely, NYC is, and has always been, the most junior WB B.
As Fastpilot said above, the most junior WB B has been going to about 70% in the company, but NYC might get to ~80% as we go forward. But very likely somewhere between those goalposts. Incidentally, DOH, or "years to hold" is a horrible metric, given the crazy hiring we have had in the last couple years, and the slight slowdown in pace of hiring coming. We will hire around 2400 total this year, 1700 next year, and 1300 annually going forward. With a current list of around 16500 & about 500 retirements a year, you can do some math, but suffice to say, if current (which is also the historic) trends hold going forward, you are probably looking at 4-8 years for 80% and 70% respectively in NYC. At least for planing purposes, that's what I would expect.
09-29-2023 | 02:03 PM
#4692
Gets Weekends Off
Joined: Apr 2016
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From: Looking left
09-29-2023 | 02:38 PM
#4694
On Reserve
Joined: Aug 2023
Posts: 15
Likes: 0
09-29-2023 | 03:34 PM
#4696
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Joined: Apr 2020
Posts: 2,607
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09-29-2023 | 05:48 PM
#4697
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Joined: Jul 2010
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09-29-2023 | 05:53 PM
#4698
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Joined: Apr 2020
Posts: 2,607
Likes: 1
2025 is when the Max10 is supposed to start coming. Any (more) holdups there would affect hiring in the second half of 24 I’d imagine.
09-29-2023 | 07:12 PM
#4699
Gets Weekends Off
Joined: Sep 2015
Posts: 5,519
Likes: 188
From: UNA
so because things are good now that is the only possible way it could go in the future? The reality is all this movement could come to a grinding halt for any number of reasons. It would be extremely foolish to think otherwise.
2019 was about a rock solid as a year gets for our industry and yet 2020 turned that all on its head. Do you really think that now, with all that is going on in the world and those potential impacts on our career that we are impervious to stagnation?
2019 was about a rock solid as a year gets for our industry and yet 2020 turned that all on its head. Do you really think that now, with all that is going on in the world and those potential impacts on our career that we are impervious to stagnation?
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