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Old 06-05-2012, 09:17 AM
  #102831  
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Originally Posted by Denny Crane View Post
Just curious, what about trip rig (1 for 3.5)? It seems to be a factor on longer trips...

Denny
Yep should have typed 7 days...not 8

Example....Day 1 depart ATL 2200 to West coast. TAFB 3 hrs

Day 2-5 what ever, but 5 days X 24 TAFB 120 hrs

Day 7 Red Eye back TAFB 3 hrs


At 1 to 3.5 Pay is 36 hours
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Old 06-05-2012, 09:20 AM
  #102832  
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Originally Posted by eruption View Post
Oh, you'll be effecient.....

Day 1...7 hour block

Day 2....5 hour block

Day 3.... 24 hour sit

Etc....

At the end of 8 days you be bumping 30 in 7, but get 36 hours pay....due to the 4+30 rule

EDIT part: Forgot to add to less efficient aspect that you mock is just down the road when the new FAR rest rules take effect....You will get your rest....just not at home!
You're missing our trip rig, eruption. Most of your assumptions are off base and skewed.
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Old 06-05-2012, 09:24 AM
  #102833  
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Originally Posted by eruption View Post
Dig all you want.....

It's just like the show with Jody Foster..."Contact"

It was all so confusing until they found the "Primer", then it became totally clear how to build the time travel machine....

The new FAR work/rest rules are the Primer for unlocking the "gotchas" of this TA.


Just like the new Scope! Bring up Large RJ's up to 325. Then lock in the block hour ratio.....

Once locked....Shrink mainline and drop the remaining 111 50 seat RJ's to maintain correct ratio.

Once mainline is shrunk....bring on next merger

Pay Management handsomely! They really are THAT good! Tip of the hat to Anderson..... suckas!
It is highly unlikely that they would drop the remaining 50 seaters... there is a place for them, just they over bought them by a large margin.

I do think that the scope section and even with the delivery of all the 717s will create as few as 220 new pilot positions, though. That number has not been disputed.
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Old 06-05-2012, 09:31 AM
  #102834  
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Originally Posted by 80ktsClamp View Post
It is highly unlikely that they would drop the remaining 50 seaters... there is a place for them, just they over bought them by a large margin.

I do think that the scope section and even with the delivery of all the 717s will create as few as 220 new pilot positions, though. That number has not been disputed.
"Highly unlikely"......well if you say so.....
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Old 06-05-2012, 09:35 AM
  #102835  
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Originally Posted by eruption View Post
"Highly unlikely"......well if you say so.....
It would be assuming to much to say it's not going to happen, but I (and most other reasonable people) think that a smaller number will be around for quite a while.

There are a number of markets that can't support large aircraft which will need that size aircraft.
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Old 06-05-2012, 09:41 AM
  #102836  
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Originally Posted by eruption View Post
"Highly unlikely"......well if you say so.....
Oh, we don't THINK they'll won't park the DC-9's, they'll need the lift.

Where have I heard that before...

That said:

The interesting thing about TA/NO TA with regards to NB scope:

No TA:

No cap on 50 seats, but economics is driving to park them
102 70 seaters
153 76 seaters.

By taking 34 aircraft, of ANY type, the company can convert all the 70s to 76 seaters.

255 70+ seat jets.

TA Passes
223 76 seaters
102 70 seaters

325 70+ seat jets

But the company can only get the additional 76 seaters if they take all 88 717s (or 319s), which will drive the block hour ratio to 1.7Xish.

AFTER the company gets all of the 717s/319s, they can turn around and park 767 domestics and smaller aircraft back down to a BHL of 1.56, which would be about 40 aircraft above what we have now.

That sound right? How is that not a pump and dump? They're not getting 70 more 76 seaters in exchange for 88 seat NBs, they're getting 70 more 76 seaters in exchange for 40 NB aircraft, AND getting to keep the 102 70 seaters they already have.

Nu
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Old 06-05-2012, 10:07 AM
  #102837  
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Just remember guys, Delta cannot afford to fly large RJ's at mainline....they are going broke. DALPA has told us so

Delta invests $65 million in Aeromexico - latimes.com

Delta to Buy $100 Million Gol Stake to Boost Brazil Flying - Businessweek

Delta buys a Phillips 66 refinery for $180 million through a subsidiary | World Airline News

As an aside for those in the know....what affect do these purchases have on profit sharing payout?
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Old 06-05-2012, 10:32 AM
  #102838  
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Originally Posted by Elvis90 View Post
Yeah, and the analysts were still bullish on Delta I believe. Hence the stock rebounding today. A fare war with Delta in Atlanta? Are you kidding?
We can easilly bury them in ATL at any fare if we wanted to. But we will have to be willing to compete and bleed in the short term to win long term. If we send the message that we will cull capacity on our end no matter what to preserve our RASM, we are going to be in for a world of hurt. If even half the LCC/ULCC order books happen plus another era of fare wars and maybe one more semi-viable start up by the time we realize we have to dig in and fight we won't be able to.
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Old 06-05-2012, 10:42 AM
  #102839  
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Forgive me if I missed the memo, but when do I get to vote no on this thing?
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Old 06-05-2012, 10:42 AM
  #102840  
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Originally Posted by NuGuy View Post

But the company can only get the additional 76 seaters if they take all 88 717s (or 319s), which will drive the block hour ratio to 1.7Xish.

AFTER the company gets all of the 717s/319s, they can turn around and park 767 domestics and smaller aircraft back down to a BHL of 1.56, which would be about 40 aircraft above what we have now.

That sound right? How is that not a pump and dump? They're not getting 70 more 76 seaters in exchange for 88 seat NBs, they're getting 70 more 76 seaters in exchange for 40 NB aircraft, AND getting to keep the 102 70 seaters they already have.

Nu
Exactly right. But somehow I gather you would rather they pump and dump MORE without any of the protections of the 1.56 BHL.. Right now the ratio is 1.19. They can dump right back to that, and for some silly reason I do not see that as a better option. I would love for you to convince me that it is a better option to allow that.

Of course the part that seemingly ALWAYS gets left out in these discussions is the decline of the 218 50 seaters that will accompany this. At least you admitted there would be an additional NB aircraft on mainline.. And *sigh* again... if you would rather wait another 12 years to get rid of the 50s.. by all means vote no.
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