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-   -   Any "Latest & Greatest" about Delta? (https://www.airlinepilotforums.com/delta/36912-any-latest-greatest-about-delta.html)

Carl Spackler 09-18-2013 06:54 PM


Originally Posted by hoserpilot (Post 1486472)
Hey Carl,

I know Dave. I trust him. He will do his best. He works for us and knows it. With him backing the council 44 propaganda I feel quite comfortable.

I just built a new beer fridge enclosure and stereo cabinet. Music, beer, hot tub babes and a bonfire. Come on down and I'll invite Dave over and we can talk shop and drink apple pie moonshine. You can't talk about the 747 though. I will always have jetvy or big shiny jet syndrome for the whale. TSquare will supply the babes.

I hear tsquare doesn't share though. :D

Carl

forgot to bid 09-18-2013 08:12 PM


Originally Posted by slowplay (Post 1486178)
Got it...this is a religious discussion with you about your belief system...

Delta could ignore ownership or other contractual obligations for CRJ-200's....

B717's were coming anyway....

Plan B was never going to happen....

How do you get DCI to park 218 CR2s?

Well, it’s not by acquiring new mainline jets. We acquired MD-90s and they didn’t park any jets. We acquired 739s and they didn’t park any jets. I still haven’t heard of them parking CR2s because we acquired A321s and 330s. Seems to me, the acquisition of mainline jets and DCI parking 50-seaters has nothing to do with each other.

So in keeping with that precedence, if we had announced in March of 2012 that we’ve acquired all of SWA’s Boeing 717s that we’ve been looking at since 2010, how many CR2s would DCI have willfully just parked just cuz? 0. The two had nothing to do with each other.

Seems to me the only way you get DCI to park say 218 CR2s, that you’ve contracted them to fly, is you offer them something they want… 70 CR9s.
But under the current PWA at the time and a fleet of 720 jets, how many new CR9s was DAL allowed to acquire? 0.

So how do you get the pilots to allow 70 more CR9s without having to park a single CR7/E170 and not grow mainline?
Well, call my cynical but I don’t think you had to order 717s to make that happen.

You could offer more money. Pay for scope. And you know guys would’ve voted for it. I bet if we saw that survey, we’d see that. And that’s a different subject.

Now was there another more palatable opportune option? Well, yes. One that almost seemed like it was sent from...

http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_E1QiUl9HiF...praise-god.jpg
So SWA in 2010 desperately wants out of the 717, the 717 is an MD product for commonality benefits, was a perfect 100 seater, would be cheap, Board loves it, could be acquired all at once to keep the price cheap and there was a possibility for a single category to save money (didn't happen of course but I do recall MD88 pilots being begged to bid it to save training costs).

At the same time you have a 50-seat fleet that's killing you with customers and costs.

So if you just could get more jumbo RJs to DCI to park 50-seaters and use the 717 to get the pilots to agree to it then look at all DAL would get (as stated by EB a month or so after we signed off on the deal):


The revenue opportunity is substantial. We’ve said any number of times the 50-seaters have been the perfect storm for us because not only is it a cost opportunity, it’s also an airplane our customers don’t particularly prefer. So as we up-gauge, and that was sitting behind the 717 strategy and that’s why they are linked at some level as well as getting some incremental two-class 76-seat RJs, we’re going to have a fairly substantial up gauge in margin improvement, cost reductions, some revenue enhancements. And from the capital efficiency standpoint, with where we were able to acquire the 717s is going to improve those returns all the more. So it was a win all the ways around.
Besides, how am I supposed to really believe that we got GK, Boeing, the Board, et. al. to risk all of this opportunity based on whether or not the dumb pilots voted in the first offer from the company on TA2012 and if they said no then oh well, lets keep those CR2s 4EVER! ?

So use the 717s you're going to acquire to get the pilots to say yes to more jumbo RJs and use that as leverage to get rid of the 50-seaters you hate. Tri-Winning.

What say you or RonRon?

forgot to bid 09-18-2013 08:13 PM


Originally Posted by slowplay (Post 1486178)
System capacity isn't something management is concerned about....

That's after "intense" study.

I think I agree although I think you’re being sarcastic. I totally think system capacity isn’t something management is concerned about; anymore.

I’ve been told that thanks to us voting that contract in we’re about to grow from 720 jets to over 800, sometimes I hear 900. I remember that the 717s alone are 1,000 maybe 1,400 new pilots. That to me shows that when we vote yes, Delta goes from a capacity discipline mantra to an all-out capacity growth binge overnight and… well, wait… they still keep saying capacity discipline during the investor calls… and it’s not like we’re hiring for a growth binge…

/my sarcasm

So that kind of brings up a question. If we were really going to grow as much as was planned beyond the 767 mainline benchmark, why not just say to the pilots, “hey we need to park 50-seaters, the current contract is too limiting in that way, if we promise to grow to 801 jets would you allow us to keep the CR7s/E170s and we promise to put a cap at 450 DCI jets?”

Instead, we allowed more jet growth with no requirement for mainline beyond a BH ratio that is set to 1.56 at its best but that seems to be the ratio of DCI@450 and mainline domestic at its current size.

Why get rid of the mainline fleet size requirement and simultaneously set the ratio to a mere 1.56?

I still don't get the logic behind that.

Dehav 09-18-2013 09:30 PM

Furlough-Bypass
 
Contacted today:). Mid Dec indoc. I am a late 2000 hire. DTW717 cat.....same as furlough base.:D:D Who knew it would take so long!

scambo1 09-19-2013 02:22 AM


Originally Posted by forgot to bid (Post 1486506)
How do you get DCI to park 218 CR2s?

Well, it’s not by acquiring new mainline jets. We acquired MD-90s and they didn’t park any jets. We acquired 739s and they didn’t park any jets. I still haven’t heard of them parking CR2s because we acquired A321s and 330s. Seems to me, the acquisition of mainline jets and DCI parking 50-seaters has nothing to do with each other.

So in keeping with that precedence, if we had announced in March of 2012 that we’ve acquired all of SWA’s Boeing 717s that we’ve been looking at since 2010, how many CR2s would DCI have willfully just parked just cuz? 0. The two had nothing to do with each other.

Seems to me the only way you get DCI to park say 218 CR2s, that you’ve contracted them to fly, is you offer them something they want… 70 CR9s.
But under the current PWA at the time and a fleet of 720 jets, how many new CR9s was DAL allowed to acquire? 0.

So how do you get the pilots to allow 70 more CR9s without having to park a single CR7/E170 and not grow mainline?
Well, call my cynical but I don’t think you had to order 717s to make that happen.

You could offer more money. Pay for scope. And you know guys would’ve voted for it. I bet if we saw that survey, we’d see that. And that’s a different subject.

Now was there another more palatable opportune option? Well, yes. One that almost seemed like it was sent from...

http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_E1QiUl9HiF...praise-god.jpg
So SWA in 2010 desperately wants out of the 717, the 717 is an MD product for commonality benefits, was a perfect 100 seater, would be cheap, Board loves it, could be acquired all at once to keep the price cheap and there was a possibility for a single category to save money (didn't happen of course but I do recall MD88 pilots being begged to bid it to save training costs).

At the same time you have a 50-seat fleet that's killing you with customers and costs.

So if you just could get more jumbo RJs to DCI to park 50-seaters and use the 717 to get the pilots to agree to it then look at all DAL would get (as stated by EB a month or so after we signed off on the deal):



Besides, how am I supposed to really believe that we got GK, Boeing, the Board, et. al. to risk all of this opportunity based on whether or not the dumb pilots voted in the first offer from the company on TA2012 and if they said no then oh well, lets keep those CR2s 4EVER! ?

So use the 717s you're going to acquire to get the pilots to say yes to more jumbo RJs and use that as leverage to get rid of the 50-seaters you hate. Tri-Winning.

What say you or RonRon?

Here's the problem with this. Your union didnt think you could handle the truthfulness of it. FTB that is exactly how I saw it play out.

MD88Driver 09-19-2013 02:26 AM


Originally Posted by Dehav (Post 1486534)
Contacted today:). Mid Dec indoc. I am a late 2000 hire. DTW717 cat.....same as furlough base.:D:D Who knew it would take so long!

Welcome back! I think you'll really enjoy it here (again).

RonRicco 09-19-2013 03:36 AM

Besides, how am I supposed to really believe that we got GK, Boeing, the Board, et. al. to risk all of this opportunity based on whether or not the dumb pilots voted in the first offer from the company on TA2012 and if they said no then oh well, lets keep those CR2s 4EVER! ?


So use the 717s you're going to acquire to get the pilots to say yes to more jumbo RJs and use that as leverage to get rid of the 50-seaters you hate. Tri-Winning.

What say you or RonRon?[/QUOTE]

You made the point about acquiring 739s and not CRJ. So far at least, those aircraft were not being purchased as added capacity and 739s aren't exactly the size of aircraft you would use to replace RJ lift (less frequency, bigger aircraft)

Next issue is the board, Boeing etc not caring about what the pilots did with the TA. You can't have it both ways, either they needed us to make the deal happen (the deal being all the 717's, instead of less or another type of narrow body) or they didn't, which meant we had no leverage wrt that deal.

So I think that leaves the acquisition of more jumbo RJ's as the sole leverage (in your argument) to get the contract. Who knows, you could be spot on, but it is also only a theory and one based on less hard information than the MEC had. Again, I am not saying it isn't 100 percent spot on (who really knows what evil lurks in the hearts of men ie RA) there is just no way to say with 100 percent certainty that was the case.

I think this is where Slow's point about "religion" is spot on. You certainly can't prove your theory and I can't prove that it is wrong, so I am not going to tell you that you are wrong. You haven't proved that Slow's story is disingenuous either, so am I to believe the Catholic or the Methodist?

We can disagree all day long about the tangible data of whether it was enough, early enough, whether we should have waited etc, but it does annoy me when the MEC gets slammed for giving their best guess on how things may play out, but it is ok here to turn theory into pseudo statements of fact based on less data and to try and sell that to the pilots who frequent this board.

Anyway, I am going to enjoy my day off without getting into the creation museum debate.

Bucking Bar 09-19-2013 03:50 AM

My pet theory was that Delta had to buy something from Bombarider to facilitate the swap. Management had to have inducements to renegotiate with their vendors.

The CSeries just ended up being late, too expensive and unproven. The 717 is a stop gap until we see what the real deal is with the newer market alternatives.

My theory.

ALPA made a little hay while the sun was shining. Now I hope some pilots remember work riles while they shout PAY PAY PAY. We need reroute fixes rather badly with FTDT coming up. If not dutying in for a trip is going to uber short call reserve.

Bucking Bar 09-19-2013 03:51 AM


Originally Posted by Dehav (Post 1486534)
Contacted today:). Mid Dec indoc. I am a late 2000 hire. DTW717 cat.....same as furlough base.:D:D Who knew it would take so long!

Welcome back!

Was that the earliest class they had for you?

Bucking Bar 09-19-2013 03:56 AM


Originally Posted by forgot to bid (Post 1486508)
So that kind of brings up a question. If we were really going to grow as much as was planned beyond the 767 mainline benchmark, why not just say to the pilots, “hey we need to park 50-seaters, the current contract is too limiting in that way, if we promise to grow to 801 jets would you allow us to keep the CR7s/E170s and we promise to put a cap at 450 DCI jets?”

Instead, we allowed more jet growth with no requirement for mainline beyond a BH ratio that is set to 1.56 at its best but that seems to be the ratio of DCI@450 and mainline domestic at its current size.

Why get rid of the mainline fleet size requirement and simultaneously set the ratio to a mere 1.56?

I still don't get the logic behind that.

FTB,

Glad you brought it up. I don't have the answer, but have been wanting us to dig here.

The Next Gen aircraft Delta has been buying were quite a bit more efficient, have improved maintenance specs and are not as performance limited as their predecessors. Delta wanted the new version ... and mostly wanted to keep their other large RJ's. It has been a long time since I dug up the numbers.

Current Block Hours Costs including CapEx, Fuel, Crew, Maintenance, Insurance, Taxes:

717 - $5,033* (Hawaiian)
DC950 - $4,206
737-700- $4,483 (Delta)
737-700- $4,175 (Southwest)
MD90 - $4,829
A320 - $4,836
MD88 - $4,636
737-800-$4,981

Source - Oliver Wyman, PlaneStats.com, using form 41 data, reported 5 September 2013

* Delta's costs should be lower when reported due to lower CapEx component & longer stage length.


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