Any "Latest & Greatest" about Delta?
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Joined: Oct 2006
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From: B757/767
They are some of those things you have to look at before you go flying.....ya know the reminder that pops up when you log onto ecrew? Oh wait....I think I've found the problem. You have to fly to know the bulletins exist. 
JK FTB. I'm just a jealous, abused reserve 320 FO.

JK FTB. I'm just a jealous, abused reserve 320 FO.
If you want a different answer, ask a different question. I gave you what you asked for.
I really don't know what you're looking for. Do you want to debate something? Do you disagree with the fact that DAL continues to get closer to the 255 large RJ limit? In the last 2 months we have seen 8 70 seaters go to Skywest, 7 E170's go to RAH, & 12 E170's go to Compass.
What's to argue?
I really don't know what you're looking for. Do you want to debate something? Do you disagree with the fact that DAL continues to get closer to the 255 large RJ limit? In the last 2 months we have seen 8 70 seaters go to Skywest, 7 E170's go to RAH, & 12 E170's go to Compass.
What's to argue?

BUT, change of subject, people have a cow over what athletes are paid but seriously, that's 100% trickle down economics right there. Most are broke by the time they get out. Thats a huge cash infusion into the economy.
To change the subject again, here are the funny statistics....
Odds of bowling a 300 game: 11,500 to 1
Odds of getting a hole in one: 5,000 to 1
Odds of getting canonized: 20,000,000 to 1
Odds of being an astronaut: 13,200,000 to 1
Odds of winning an Olympic medal: 662,000 to 1
Odds of an American speaking Cherokee: 15,000 to 1
Odds that a person between the age of 18 and 29 does NOT read a newspaper regularly: 3 to 1
Odds that an American adult does not want to live to age 120 under any circumstances: 3 to 2
Odds of injury from fireworks: 19,556 to 1
Odds of injury from shaving: 6,585 to 1 I WIN!!!!!
Odds of injury from using a chain saw: 4,464 to 1
Odds of injury from mowing the lawn: 3,623 to 1
Odds of fatally slipping in bath or shower: 2,232 to 1
Odds of drowning in a bathtub: 685,000 to 1
Odds of being killed on a 5-mile bus trip: 500,000,000 to 1
Odds of being killed sometime in the next year in any sort of transportation accident: 77 to 1
Odds of being killed in any sort of non-transportation accident: 69 to 1
Odds of being struck by lightning: 576,000 to 1
Odds of being killed by lightning: 2,320,000 to 1
Odds of being murdered: 18,000 to 1
Odds of getting away with murder: 2 to 1
Odds of being the victim of serious crime in your lifetime: 20 to 1
Odds of dating a supermodel: 88,000 to 1 I WIN AGAIN!!!!
Odds of being considered possessed by Satan: 7,000 to 1
Odds that a first marriage will survive without separation or divorce for 15 years: 1.3 to 1
Odds that a celebrity marriage will last a lifetime: 3 to 1
Odds of getting hemorrhoids: 25 to 1
Odds of being born a twin in North America: 90 to 1
Odds of being on plane with a drunken pilot: 117 to 1 <<< WHOA
Odds of being audited by the IRS: 175 to 1
Odds of having your identity stolen: 200 to 1
Odds of dating a millionaire: 215 to 1
Odds of dating a supermodel: 88,000 to 1
Odds of writing a New York Times best seller: 220 to 1 << BUZZ PATT!!
Odds of finding out your child is a genius: 250 to 1
Odds of catching a ball at a major league ballgame: 563 to 1
Odds of becoming a pro athlete: 22,000 to 1
Odds of finding a four-leaf clover on first try: 10,000 to 1
Odds of a person in the military winning the Medal of Honor: 11,000 to 1
Odds of winning an Academy Award: 11,500 to 1
Odds of striking it rich on Antiques Roadshow: 60,000 to 1
Odds of getting a royal flush in poker on first five cards dealt: 649,740 to 1
Odds of spotting a UFO today: 3,000,000 to 1
Odds of becoming president: 10,000,000 to 1 Harder to become an Astronaut
Odds of winning the California lottery: 13,000,000 to 1
Odds of becoming a saint: 20,000,000 to 1
Odds of a meteor landing on your house: 182,138,880,000,000 to 1
Chance of an American home having at least one container of ice cream in the freezer: 9 in 10.
Chance of dying from any kind of injury during the next year: 1 in 1,820
Chance of dying from intentional self-harm: 1 in 9,380
Chance of dying from an assault: 1 in 16,421
Chance of dying from a car accident: 1 in 18,585
Chance of dying from any kind of fall: 1 in 20,666
Chance of dying from accidental drowning: 1 in 79,065
Chance of dying from exposure to smoke, fire, and flames: 1 in 81,524
Chance of dying in an explosion: 1 in 107,787
Chance that Earth will experience a catastrophic collision with an asteroid in the next 100 years: 1 in 5,000
Chance of dying in such a collision: 1 in 20,000
Chance of dying from exposure to forces of nature (heat, cold, lightning, earthquake, flood): 1 in 225,107
Chance of dying in an airplane accident: 1 in 354,319
Chance of dying from choking on food: 1 in 370,035
Chance of dying in a terrorist attack while visiting a foreign country: 1 in 650,000
Chance of dying in a fireworks accident: 1 in 1,000,000
Chance of dying from overexertion, travel or privation: 1 in 1,428,377
Chance of dying from food poisoning: 1 in 3,000,000
Chance of dying from legal execution: 1 in 3,441,325
Chance of dying from contact with hot tap water: 1 in 5,005,564
Chance of dying from parts falling off an airplane: 1 in 10,000,000
Chance of dying from ignition or melting of nightwear: 1 in 30,589,556
Chance of dying from being bitten by a dog: 1 in 700,000
Chance of dying from contact with a venomous animal or plant: 1 in 3,441,325
Chance of dying from being bitten or struck by mammals (other than dogs or humans): 1 in 4,235,477
Chance of dying from a mountain lion attack in California: 1 in 32,000,000
Chance of dying from a shark attack: 1 in 300,000,000
Chance of having a stroke: 1 in 6
Chance of dying from heart disease: 1 in 3
Chance of getting arthritis: 1 in 7
Chance of suffering from asthma or allergy diseases: 1 in 6
Chance of getting the flu this year: 1 in 10
Chance of contracting the human version of mad cow disease: 1 in 40,000,000
Chance of dying from SARS in the United States: 1 in 100,000,000
Chance of American man developing cancer in his lifetime: 1 in 2
Chance of an American woman developing cancer in her lifetime: 1 in 3
Chance of getting prostate cancer: 1 in 6
Chance of getting breast cancer: 1 in 9
Chance of getting colon / rectal cancer: 1 in 26
Chance of beating pancreatic or liver cancer: 1 in 9
Chance of beating thyroid or testicular cancer: 9 in 10
They are some of those things you have to look at before you go flying.....ya know the reminder that pops up when you log onto ecrew? Oh wait....I think I've found the problem. You have to fly to know the bulletins exist. 
JK FTB. I'm just a jealous, abused reserve 320 FO.

JK FTB. I'm just a jealous, abused reserve 320 FO.
No seriously, I'm like proud when I can get it to 0. But right now I can't. Believe it or not as a domestic puke pilot my landing currency is coming up. ON THE 88! Well, not before April so I'll get it in but it's all up to date.
As to EFOBs, I always get distracted by stuff, like the paper cutter. Will that actually cut paper this time? Let's go see.
Okay, are there any drunk astronauts who became/were pro athletes who also dated a supermodel, wrote a best seller and cut themselves shaving?
Buzz Aldrin comes close.
Buzz Aldrin comes close.
Last edited by scambo1; 03-02-2011 at 06:49 AM.
I don't buy the odds of being on a plane with a drunk pilot... unless that includes non-revs
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Joined: Oct 2006
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From: B757/767
You said we are rapidly approaching the limit. What do you mean by rapidly. The core temperature of the earth is rapidly cooling.. let's start from there as a reference. Will the limit be reached in a month... a year... ten years? What is rapidly? It's not an argument, I just want to know what is viewed as a rapid closure rate. IMO... if that limit will be reached in 5 years.. that is not rapid.
Do you mean 5 years from CBAID? My understanding is we are within 10-15 airframes of hitting 255 now. 27 airframes have awarded in the last 2 months. Seems a little quicker then 5 years. I may have your reference point incorrect though.
Regardless, IMO the cap will be hit before Sec 6 & possibly before the summer. And my favorite part of the contract.....once the # of 76 seaters has been established, it will not be reduced. Bye-bye DC9's, hello large RJs.
While this is true, human nature has been to treat that gubbamint like a cash machine that never runs out. This cannot continue. The teachers have a painful lesson coming their way. It is up to them as to whether they choose to acknowledge history and learn from private industry (the irony there is palpable) or whether they choose to be an ostrich and think that the legislature will ALWAYS come through in the 11th hour and pay them. I have a cousin that just got a teaching job in Illinois.. primary education I think. She is pretty sharp, and said that she is going to plan on funding her own retirement because she realizes that the ponzi schemes are crashing down.
I have told my family members with great retirements in government service. I use the termination of the DB here. They all say it will never happen. I make the point by using our words. They start to get it, but the reality will be painful.
Do you mean 5 years from CBAID? My understanding is we are within 10-15 airframes of hitting 255 now. 27 airframes have awarded in the last 2 months. Seems a little quicker then 5 years. I may have your reference point incorrect though.
Regardless, IMO the cap will be hit before Sec 6 & possibly before the summer. And my favorite part of the contract.....once the # of 76 seaters has been established, it will not be reduced. Bye-bye DC9's, hello large RJs.

Regardless, IMO the cap will be hit before Sec 6 & possibly before the summer. And my favorite part of the contract.....once the # of 76 seaters has been established, it will not be reduced. Bye-bye DC9's, hello large RJs.

5 years was just a thin air number. I was just trying to establish what you meant by "rapidly". Nothing nefarious.
Wrt your second paragraph, DALPA has been notorious for writing contracts like that. I am looking for the limit on international code share and what determines it. It used to say that as long as our floor hours remained above X, the company could add as much as they liked (basically). If that floor was passed.. if we went below that number, there was no provision to reduce the codeshare. I found that horrifying. I was told by the ASSociation not to worry.. we never go below that number.... Seems to me that a snapshot percentage with a weighting favorable to us would be preferable, but then again, I don't have a seat at the table.
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