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Old 12-04-2011 | 06:33 PM
  #82451  
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Originally Posted by forgot to bid
I Tebow that this turned out well.




obviously it did, I just wanted to say "I Tebow..."
Ouch! Any idea when that picture was taken?
Old 12-04-2011 | 06:43 PM
  #82452  
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Originally Posted by Timbo
Ouch! Any idea when that picture was taken?

I'm gonna take a stab that it was narita, but I haven't been there in so long, I'm not positive.
Old 12-04-2011 | 06:43 PM
  #82453  
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Originally Posted by alfaromeo
It's totally relevant. Carl claims that AMR's bankruptcy is 100% about debt and I asked him to prove it. No red herrings, if the bankruptcy is about debt then give me the numbers to back it up.
I never said 100% about debt, but it was the main reason to be sure. Again, here are just a few news clips to back up my view:

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

"American Airlines, Can't Overcome Debt, Files For Bankruptcy' - Time Newsfeed

"DALLAS — The parent company of American Airlines filed for bankruptcy protection Tuesday, seeking relief from crushing debt caused by high fuel prices and expensive labor contracts that its competitors shed years ago.....Horton said the board of directors unanimously decided on Monday night to file for bankruptcy. In a filing with federal bankruptcy court in New York on Tuesday, AMR said it had $29.6 billion in debt and $24.7 billion in assets...." - News-journal.com

"FORT WORTH, Texas (AP) — American Airlines and its parent company are filing for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection as they seek to cut costs and unload massive debt built up by years of high jet fuel prices and labor struggles." - Associated Press

"AMR was also facing some large debt payments. The company had $1.8 billion due by the end of 2012. The net debt at the end of the third quarter was $16.9 billion. And when $7.9 billion in underfunded pension benefits and $2.5 billion in other long-term liabilities are added, the company has close to $30 billion in debt and other long-term obligations." Star-Telegram

"The parent company of American Airlines filed for bankruptcy protection yesterday, seeking relief from crushing debt caused by high fuel prices and expensive labour contracts.." The Independent


Originally Posted by alfaromeo
Why do you then try to make some personal attack? Waterboy, really. Is that the best intellectual argument you can make? Don't you have any other ideas other than attack?
It's hard not to treat you that way alfaromeo. You are far more insulting to those of us who pay your flight pay loss than we are to you.

Originally Posted by alfaromeo
The answer is no one gets FPL to post on this forum.
That's correct. You get FPL to do the bidding of the MEC. You clearly are trying to spin and shill for the MEC when you post here, ergo...

Carl
Old 12-04-2011 | 06:45 PM
  #82454  
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Originally Posted by Bucking Bar
Alpha,

Would you agree that American's bankrutcy is about:
(1) The cost of funding a defined benefit pension plan in a bear market (and that unfunded liability)
(2) Renegotiating aircraft leases
(3) Scope
(4) Debt

AMR surely has their fleet "cross collateralized." You probably understand the term, but for the rest of the sports fans, this means that the paper for every airplane is set up so that is does not correlate on ONE airplane. To prevent reposession, the parts are scattered everywhere ... an airframe here, one engine on that jet, another engine on this other jet, the APU sub leased to JAL, the FMC is over there ... etc. The Courts are still trying to unscrew the mess that ACA created to keep its Dorniers out of the hands of their creditors.

ACL65:

American does not have DIP financing because:
(1) They do not need it ... they have similar cash levels to Delta
(2) DIP is dangerous ... management could lose control of the Company
(3) DIP might not be available in this market. Would you lend AMR money going into 2012? Me either.

Of the various outcomes to American's bankruptcy, fragmentation is the least likely.

More likely is a retrenchment to lines which support better revenue while keeping their network intact. This will involve changes to frequency and gauge of service, better aircraft utilization and more reliance on partners like Alaska, Jet Blue and a new panopoly of regional carriers (TO THE EXTENT THEIR SCOPE IS MODIFIED TO ALLOW THIS). Eagle's scope is already destroyed. ALPA is advising the APA. If history repeats itself, so called "labor leaders" will try to engineer a quick fix to American's economic problems and use outsourcing as a form of credit to try to hold up the standards of mainline compensation.

The APA already rejected the so called B Scale to recover their flying and management published that a failure to reach an agreement on this point would trigger bankruptcy. Well, the APA stood their ground on B Scale. We will if they hold their ground on scope.
Good post Bar. I agree almost entirely.

Carl
Old 12-04-2011 | 06:47 PM
  #82455  
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Originally Posted by acl65pilot
That's the push. The RLA applies to labor here not to labor overseas. It means that part of a Transnational (Us) will be under it, and some will not. Just like their labor laws do not apply here. It would be a vertical curve wrt to transnational treaties and agreements.
I don't think you can say any of this. Nobody knows what would or would not be applicable if/when foreign ownership happens.

Carl
Old 12-04-2011 | 06:48 PM
  #82456  
Gets Weekends Off
 
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Originally Posted by capncrunch
If he got paid 50K a year, I'd buy that BS. If he stays 30 years and gives back all his stock options if we go into BK, I'd buy in again. But he didn't and he won't.

He is well compensated and taking a 1.5 mil cut to switch to DAL don't mean $hit. Lets not be foolish and think he's in it for anything but the cash.

And just to be clear, he does not care about the employees and he does not care about you.
Sure RA is in it for the cash. Does that preclude him from actually being able to decently run an airline? Would YOU be CEO of any entity (much less an airline) for $50K a year? What should RA say and receive for compensation.

What would you like to see and hear, instead of just saying what you don't like?
Old 12-04-2011 | 06:50 PM
  #82457  
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Originally Posted by gloopy
True. But then again, they don't seem to need downside protections when our company rushes to give them every single seat mile kilometer thingy they can. DCI doesn't need any downside protection for their fleet of 250+ DC-9-10 replacements either to run right up against the cap including funding a direct yield trashing competitor with C-series on firm order. Trans States doesn't need any downside protections when we sell them CPZ then hire them to whipsaw their own airline. Alaska is doing just fine without any downside protections as well. They own our entire west coast and thats with us *supposedly* not getting any revenue from those flights.

If RA is to belived in or trusted, he needs to be the leader that makes D.A.L. choose its pilots first to do its flying. I'm not against networks either. But in the aggregate, from small former mainline replacement jets to current narrowbody code share to international JV's, the company outsources as much as then can by law and doesn't give us a block hour more.

Thats why zero, zero, 49.75% is insane. Never should have been agreed to, especially for some supposed 2% gain in good times. By the way, the floorless 2 year period is a great time to go into a potential strike if the company can time it right. Give us 49.75% briefly then enjoy a 2 year outsource fest. All in "perfect compliance" with no ability for us to cry struck work if they manage the timing right.
First, if they went to 0, 0 for the first two years, there is no way that AF would stay in the agreement. Period. We also would be looking at something far more serious that losing the North Atlantic flying. Third, look at the reality and time frame of our contract and if we could actually go on strike in that initial time frame. All wrong timing.

Looking at the JV further, it is a one time clause. After they are in compliance with 50-50 (49.75%) a new window starts and the lookback is not used for cumulative purposes. Why? As it was explained to me, it is because we go from 47.2% of the total EASK's to 50% and then the new three year window starts where the bandwidth is 1.5 or a bottom end of 48.5% with a one year corrective window. You downside protection is there going forward.

Is the language ideal? No. Could had it have been better? Maybe, but we could have also just gotten 47.2% which is where we were with the addition of AZ. DAL was incentivized to go get 50-50 because of their fleet makeup, secondary cities that worked better for the rest of or route network and feed for us to serve, and not have our customers connect in CDG, and a few other things.

I of course would have like to see the window left alone, and not have started a new three year baseline measurement period, but with every quid there has to be a pro quo, especially when dealing with three other pilot groups and three other companies on the other side of the fence.

I agree that we have not seen any net benefits from the JV. We have shrunk since its inception. I would have like to see some EASK floors in the deal, but the reality is that once the North Atlantic grows again, and it will, we will get 60%+ of the block hrs flown. That will translate in to a need for more metal. It is hard to see that now when we are shrinking and not growing. What our guys need to fight for is, if there is an addition of a new partner, we do not see the measurement period start anew, and or we see a one year measurement period with a nine month corrective window.

If you look at the V Australia deal, there is no downside protection in it, except that we must maintain the same number of segments we had 12 months prior, and that is 7. They have 21 with larger jets. It does not have a production balance and no corrective window. Why? Because it is a totally different set up, and one that they did not need to create a AF type JV for.

We have work to do, and we all want to fly more international fights. That is why it is imperative that in the next contract deal, whether it is a modification, extension, or a new contract as a result of section six, any CPA, CS or JV needs our express approval, and any modification needs to be done via nothing less than a LOA. CPA's need to be sunsetted and code share agreements need to have term limits.

Frankly complaining about what is already deemed contract language does little good, lets work to change the process and existing language when there is opportunity to do so. That equates to progress and not Monday morning quarterbacking.
Old 12-04-2011 | 06:53 PM
  #82458  
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Originally Posted by scambo1
I'm gonna take a stab that it was narita, but I haven't been there in so long, I'm not positive.
It's been 5 years, but it looks very much like Narita to me...... (34L departure?)


I miss Asia. Do we still serve that unbelievably good soy/vinaigrette type dressing with the salads?
Old 12-04-2011 | 06:57 PM
  #82459  
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deleted.......
Old 12-04-2011 | 06:58 PM
  #82460  
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Originally Posted by Carl Spackler
I don't think you can say any of this. Nobody knows what would or would not be applicable if/when foreign ownership happens.

Carl
I can tell you that unless Labor has a seat at the table the RLA will probably stay intact. Most labor law around the world is country specific. Look at KLM and AF. Owned by one party buy have two plus labor agreements that are country specific.
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