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-   -   Any "Latest & Greatest" about Delta? (https://www.airlinepilotforums.com/delta/36912-any-latest-greatest-about-delta.html)

tsquare 01-16-2012 12:19 PM


Originally Posted by slowplay (Post 1118016)
Take a look at your chart again, remembering these are only projections.

WN/F9 are shrinking. F9 is really shrinking.

B6, NK, and VX are growing, adding just over 1.5 million seats. Their (B6 and VX) growth is primarily at the expense of bankrupt American Airlines. SAVE's businesss model is very different - they're taking the bottom end customer and an afterthought to the network business model. VX hasn't made money...ever. B6's capacity is way up, but their relative yields are down, and their load factor is shaky.

Your data is showing Alaska somewhat steady. According to George and the LA guys they were taking over the world...

Bottom line, these are good numbers. By focusing on profits instead of market share, by competing in core markets rather than chasing incremental passengers, it appears that some management teams have learned (albeit temporarily) some lessons. And note for Delta the change in average aircraft size, as small jets get parked.

We're in a mature market, and it's now the world's second largest. I'd rather see the industry compete rationally than chase passengers with no yield.


WHo is NK?

Doug Masters 01-16-2012 12:20 PM


Originally Posted by tsquare (Post 1118020)
WHo is NK?

Spirit I think

johnso29 01-16-2012 01:10 PM


Originally Posted by Doug Masters (Post 1118021)
Spirit I think

Correct. NK is indeed Spirit Airlines.

cni187 01-16-2012 01:53 PM


Originally Posted by forgot to bid (Post 1117757)
After they beat the undefeated Patriots in the SB and 15-1 Packers you've got to admit those Giants are Giant killers.

49ers beat them once already this year and now the forecast is for rain. So its gonna be a sloppy field at the Stick. Good for old fashioned smash mouth football, lots of turnovers if Manning has to throw. Niners with their D and running game come out victorious.

gloopy 01-16-2012 02:02 PM


Originally Posted by slowplay (Post 1118016)
We're in a mature market, and it's now the world's second largest. I'd rather see the industry compete rationally than chase passengers with no yield.

The west coast is a mature market, yet DL abandons it and gives it to a (supposedly) non revenue sharing competitor. While this could be rationalized in some of the smaller markets, LA-SEA, SF-SEA and BOS-SEA should be flown by Delta equipment at least half of the time. SEA-ATL should be removed from the code share entirely as there is no reason for it.

The order books for VX, B6 and NK are far too large to discount and we can't just roll over and give it to them. Soon they all will start poaching marketshare out of DL (as opposed to AA) markets. Then what? More capacity dicipline while we shrink and they grow? That increases our costs and decreases theirs, causing us to remove more capacity and them to add more. It has to stop. We need to figure out how to win and stop the growth of competitors or they will stop our growth. Its that simple.

buzzpat 01-16-2012 02:51 PM


Originally Posted by slowplay (Post 1118016)
Your data is showing Alaska somewhat steady. According to George and the LA guys they were taking over the world...

We didn't say they were taking over the world...they're just taking over "our" world.

727C47 01-16-2012 03:03 PM


Originally Posted by cni187 (Post 1118053)
49ers beat them once already this year and now the forecast is for rain. So its gonna be a sloppy field at the Stick. Good for old fashioned smash mouth football, lots of turnovers if Manning has to throw. Niners with their D and running game come out victorious.

Dream on.......

forgot to bid 01-16-2012 04:07 PM


Originally Posted by cni187 (Post 1118053)
49ers beat them once already this year and now the forecast is for rain. So its gonna be a sloppy field at the Stick. Good for old fashioned smash mouth football, lots of turnovers if Manning has to throw. Niners with their D and running game come out victorious.

I don't know, not a Dog in this fight but Brandon Jacobs is a freight truck and Manning plays well on the road- better than at home. The year they won the SB against probably the best NFL team ever they played on the road the entire playoffs. If its raining I think Manning can still pass, can Alex Smith? Because if there is no deep threat they'll crowd the line.

I think Patriots will steam roll BWI because even against a good defense they'll score 4 or so TDs while BWI seems to only score 20 or less. I'm betting Giants vs Patriots in a rematch. My bet, patriots, but manning sure has a way to win while looking like his uniform is 3 sizes too large. Should be a good one.

buzzpat 01-16-2012 04:15 PM


Originally Posted by cni187 (Post 1118053)
49ers beat them once already this year and now the forecast is for rain. So its gonna be a sloppy field at the Stick. Good for old fashioned smash mouth football, lots of turnovers if Manning has to throw. Niners with their D and running game come out victorious.

And the Packers had beaten the Giants earlier in the year as well. Means nothing...in fact, it's harder to beat a team twice in one year. I'm rooting for the Niners but I'm betting NY wins.

slowplay 01-16-2012 04:24 PM


Originally Posted by buzzpat (Post 1118066)
We didn't say they were taking over the world...they're just taking over "our" world.

You guys keep repeating it, but your perceptions don't make it true.

I've posted this data before. I don't have the 2011 numbers yet, but I don't think it will make a meaningful difference.

Revenue Passenger Enplanements LAX

2006 2010
Alaska 1430880 1291023
Delta 2146787 3346812
NWA 1120974

So Alaska has substantially shrunk their LAX operation, and they've shrunk even more in the LA basin. Delta (including pre-merger NWA) has grown.

Sorry about the formatting, can't get it to take.


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