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Old 04-01-2012 | 10:20 PM
  #94491  
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Originally Posted by SailorJerry
So let me get this straight. In following the money I notice this: Delta subsidizes a broken and crumbling business model to the tune of $74.3 million (that's give or take 7% of PNCLs annual revenue). This results in PNCL keeping 57, 76 seat jets on their property which rightfully should be on ours. So what message is Delta management sending with regard to scope? They'd rather blow $74.3 million on a collapsing airline than let them stumble to a point where we get the airplanes. Sure would be a perfect opportunity for DAL management to tip their hand with regard to scope (as if they hadn't already). Unfortunately for us, now, the earliest that a PNCL 76 seat jet comes out of contract is April 2013. A majority remain until 2022.

So tell me management sounding boards. Where does DAL intend to keep the 76 seat aircraft? And how much are we willing to concede to all have a shot at a shiny CR9 A position?

At least Bombardier will have the opportunity to eat every rejected CRJ-200 that PNCL sends their way. Don't believe it's possible? Just look at Mesa's foray into Chapter 11.
I think the reason for Delta's financing of this deal is more of a practical matter... there is an FAQ that Pinnacle Mgmt put out, and mentions that no one else they asked would do DIP financing for them. Since Delta has an obligation to their passengers, I'm betting that Delta did this just to allow 9E to continue the operation long enough until Delta finds another way to replace this lift (whether that's GoJet, Skywest, B717s, ect). And who knows, they very well could have given the stipulation that we'll DIP finance you, but you have to park 100+ CRJ-200s. I guess time will tell...
Old 04-02-2012 | 03:56 AM
  #94492  
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Originally Posted by maddog81
I think the reason for Delta's financing of this deal is more of a practical matter... there is an FAQ that Pinnacle Mgmt put out, and mentions that no one else they asked would do DIP financing for them. Since Delta has an obligation to their passengers, I'm betting that Delta did this just to allow 9E to continue the operation long enough until Delta finds another way to replace this lift (whether that's GoJet, Skywest, B717s, ect). And who knows, they very well could have given the stipulation that we'll DIP finance you, but you have to park 100+ CRJ-200s. I guess time will tell...

Maddog;

Love your avatar. Huge fan of Ricky-isms on trailer park boys. Nothing productive to add to your speculation, just giving a shout out.
Old 04-02-2012 | 04:52 AM
  #94493  
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Originally Posted by forgot to bid
Padre,

So please show the math. We like the math.
The math is using the 2009 Form 41 data and adding SWA pay raises to their numbers, and the same for us. In order to take DC into account, I assumed both pilots contributed 2% into their DC. Both pilots in that case would see 2% less in their paycheck and the Delta pilot would receive 12% more in his DC. The SWA pilot can receive more DC if he subtracts more current pay, but I didn't choose to run the numbers that way. Doing that math, it looks like they are about 23.5% ahead on pay, and 12% behind on DC. Combine the two and you are close to the Roger number of 11%.

So, like some (88) here say, there is more to it than straight hourly wages. I agree with that. That could be why you have friends with great W2s. What's the explanation for that? Maybe SWA pilots work more than us. Using the same year Form 41 data, they do. The average SWA pilot flew 59.9 hours a month in 2009, and the average Delta pilot flew 42.5. If they are flying 40% more than us, they should be making more money.

So why are they flying more? Our contract is not as efficient, we spend time upgrading and doing WW ops, and transitioning to different aircraft, and sitting around for the plane we fly to show up so we can work. We could probably create a more efficient contract and be able to fly 59.9 hours a month, thereby increasing our W2s, but then 88 is not going to be an 88 captain. He's going to be a 767FO because we get rid of the bottom 2000 pilots.

So we are not in total disagreement. If both carrier's pilots flew the same number of hours as a Delta pilot averages, we'd need about an 11% pay raise to match SWA. If we flew as many of those hours as a SWA pilot, we'd make their W2.

Does that make sense?
Old 04-02-2012 | 04:59 AM
  #94494  
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If Delta were ever to become 'as efficient' as SW, ie. we average 40% more flying per pilot, that's actually the bottom 4,800 pilots we wouldn't need, not just 2,000.

Of course, with the 8 different fleet types DAL has, that's -never- going to happen...oh, and now they want to bring on yet another? (717)

Brilliant!
Old 04-02-2012 | 05:15 AM
  #94495  
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Originally Posted by Carl Spackler
I don't try to convince you tsquare. You don't care about scope. You're one of those that doesn't want to spend "one red cent" on anything that doesn't immediately put more money in your pocket. I get that. Others of us think a little more long term.

Carl
You are wrong on so many levels I don't know where to begin.
Old 04-02-2012 | 05:27 AM
  #94496  
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Originally Posted by tomgoodman
That's one of the great unsolved mysteries. Historically, almost every lousy T/A has contained enough deal-breakers to prevent it from ever flying, but like a bumblebee, it flew anyway.
That was kind of my point in asking the question. I hear a lot of hard core "I ain't gonna give..." I think that if viewed in the context of the whole contract as a package, there is very little that is a single issue absolute "no" vote. JMHO. Frankly, it is foolish to say that there is. It is very noble to say that scope is a non starter, but I am not willing to take a payCUT to ensure that scope is recaptured or halted or whatever the issue is to ensure that that single issue "no" vote is avoided. Sorry if that sounds selfish, but that's my honest opinion. And while some might say that is a ridiculous postulation, I offer this: Remember the old joke about asking a woman to sleep with you for a million dollars? I have said this before, and I will say it again. EVERYTHING is negotiable. If you do not believe that, you are either naive or foolish. Either is tragic.

Now.. that being said, and Carl's asinine characterization of my personal... how did he say it? "Doesn't care about scope" stance aside, I have no intention of allowing any increase in the number of RJs that the company currently has available. Is it an automatic no vote however? Maybe, maybe not. For it to pass my personal test however, the sweetener better be pretty damned sweet.. and I am not talking about simply money. For example.. it might have to include something to the effect of "there shall be 1 "super premium widebody aircraft on the premises prior to the allowance of a single increase in the number of DCI flown jets... and furthermore, if any super premium jets are parked, sold, crashed, stolen or otherwise lost.. the RJs go back to their manufacturer"... or something of equal strength. I am not writing the TA. And all I am saying is that there are no absolutes... Personally, I am more concerned about tightening up the JV language than worrying about the dying RJ contingent at DAL...... fire away.
Old 04-02-2012 | 05:28 AM
  #94497  
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Originally Posted by WidgetDriver
Delta is paying Pinnacle to pay back Delta? Did I read that right? Can anyone explain that?
The DIP financing carries a higher priority claim on collateral.
Delta just jumped ahead of some other creditors.
The other creditors probably won't complain too loud because if Delta hadn't stepped up to provide the DIP then they might have got ZERO. Delta has 'em by the b@||$.

I suspect this whole thing is what lawyers call a "briefcase bankruptcy". Basically we will now see a series of pre-planned maneuvers. Its all about dumping some assets and liabilities, getting new financing and allowing Pinnacle to move forward with a new set of assets and liabilities and a new business model.

Last edited by Check Essential; 04-02-2012 at 05:39 AM.
Old 04-02-2012 | 05:29 AM
  #94498  
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Originally Posted by padre2992
Carl, LEC Reps just vote to pass the TA on to the pilots. The pilots are the ones that "ratify".
He knows that. he has an agenda he has to front...
Old 04-02-2012 | 05:29 AM
  #94499  
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Not sure if anyone has already posted this, but it looks like ATL DC9 will open in May, lots of people on the May conversion list.
Old 04-02-2012 | 05:33 AM
  #94500  
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Originally Posted by More Bacon
Welcome, Padre! Always nice to see a management flunky on here. Seem to pop out of the woodwork come contract time. At least you're being paid by the company to do this...and not by my dues money, like the DALPA FPL stooges here.

Here's a suggestion for some numbers for you to run: where would the company be right now if we had not sacrificed to keep the company in business back in the BK days?

Show me the money (and QOL, and medical plan, and scope).
That's all cool. what if getting all that stuff also means 500 guys get furloughed? You cool with that too? Just axing... or are we in such a vacuum that we can get it all for no cost? Nevermind... I am sure the Krispy Kremes could do it... they can do everything that DALPA is too stupid to do... rah rah rah
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