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07-09-2019 | 11:49 AM

#601

Varsity

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Joined: May 2017

Posts: 1,285

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From: 175 CA

Quote:

Originally Posted by dera

December. Should last 10 months. Then it increases again to around 20-21 a month.

21 or 20 a month? I think it's more like 18-19. It's the exact same percentage as PSA, on less money.

07-09-2019 | 11:52 AM

#602

dera

In a land of unicorns

Joined: Apr 2014

Posts: 7,072

Likes: 102

From: Whale FO

Quote:

Originally Posted by Varsity

21 or 20 a month? I think it's more like 18-19. It's the exact same percentage as PSA, on less money.

It would be 20.20 per month on today's numbers, or 25% of AA's classes.

07-09-2019 | 12:18 PM

#603

moon

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Joined: Dec 2015

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Quote:

Originally Posted by dera

It would be 20.20 per month on today's numbers, or 25% of AA's classes.

That 25% shouldn't be overlooked. If hiring at AA slows down to say 50 a month, don't expect 20 people to flow. I don't believe PSA or Piedmont have that in their contract. They could easily send a high percentage in relationship to their seniority list if that were to happen.

07-09-2019 | 12:27 PM

#604

dera

In a land of unicorns

Joined: Apr 2014

Posts: 7,072

Likes: 102

From: Whale FO

Quote:

Originally Posted by moon

True. For now, AA has to hire 80 a month for the numbers to work. Every prediction says they will, but who knows. Only needs a stock market crash or something like that to happen, they start shrinking through retirements, and we're all screwed.

07-09-2019 | 12:40 PM

#605

bigtime209

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Joined: Jun 2006

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Quote:

Originally Posted by Varsity

So, when is the flow slowing down to PSA/Piedmont levels? This November?

Quote:

Originally Posted by dera

December. Should last 10 months. Then it increases again to around 20-21 a month.

Closer to FEB next year. The interactive seniority list is off. It doesn't take into account no flows in AUG and only 23 in SEP. Last PP goes sometime around FEB.

07-09-2019 | 01:46 PM

#606

moon

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Quote:

Originally Posted by dera

Don't even need a crash although that certainly would screw us. But it's why it's important to keep those apps updated and work on getting out. Don't want to still be here when the music stops because it could take years to get it going again.

07-09-2019 | 01:46 PM

#607

moon

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Joined: Dec 2015

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Quote:

Originally Posted by bigtime209

Closer to FEB next year. The interactive seniority list is off. It doesn't take into account no flows in AUG and only 23 in SEP. Last PP goes sometime around FEB.

Is it 23 flows in September or 23 new hires at AA?

07-09-2019 | 01:47 PM

#608

bigtime209

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Quote:

Originally Posted by moon

Is it 23 flows in September or 23 new hires at AA?

23 flows for now...always subject to change.

07-09-2019 | 04:13 PM

#609

MD-11Loader

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Joined: Feb 2007

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From: Pawn

Quote:

Originally Posted by dera

December. Should last 10 months. Then it increases again to around 20-21 a month.

January. The lack of August flows will push the last of the PP’s into January if this keeps up.

07-09-2019 | 08:11 PM

#610

highfarfast

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Joined: Nov 2016

Posts: 2,607

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Quote:

Originally Posted by dera

Just want to point out, AA may NORMALLY hire greater than 80 a month. But they NORMALLY don’t hire greater than 80 a month every month of of the year. So those lean months do effect Envoy’s flow because our flow limits are per month, not per year.