I don't disagree with anything you said except for the 8 years. I don't believe that's rooted in reality with the continued mandatory retirements in a way we haven't seen before. It may take airlines 2-3 years to get back to where they are pre COVID-19, but for the next 10 years, retirements will still considerably outpace any contraction. The movement may have stalled for the next 2-3 years owing to furloughs and recalls, but if hiring stops at the majors for 8 years, it's because the entire industry has fundamentally changed, long-term. I don't believe that to be the case.

This isn't your run-of-the-mill industry contraction. Comparing it to those past is folly, in my opinion. Historically, the hiring dearths have existed precisely because there weren't any pilots retiring off the top of the lists to create movement. That isn't the dynamic going forward.

 

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You must fly for FedEx or UPS. If so awesome. If not Atlas, ATI, Southern ect. Guess what are they payscale wise? "Hint" B_t_om F_e_der.

 

As per the latest MEC chair's email, triple digit downgrades, CARES act covering 75% of payroll and 50% of operating expenses. More than I would have thought so that's some good news. Time to apply for the weekend stock boy position at Costco. Definitely rough times ahead.

 

XJET got some of the bailout money?

 

According to the union XJT did.

You seem surprised the world isn’t what you said it was.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

 

LOL! He thought for sure xjet was toast. He’s hurting right now.

 

Every airline, including XJT, stands a fair chance of being toast before this is over. United is planning on a 90% reduction in service for 2-3 months, and if there isn’t a huge unexpected rapid recovery, the 756 fleet, and possibly the Airbus fleet is gone. They have also indicated that they plan a major drawdown in 50 seat lift. XJT might have some breathing room for now, but I wouldn’t consider their survival a certainty.

 

that’s not really what they said

they were referencing the WAR message that said the company is still working with the Treasury

 

unless they get rid of their investment in them, if United survives, xjet survives.

 

I really don’t think that’s the case. We’re a drop in the bucket