Notices

Merger question

Old 10-08-2019 | 06:57 AM
  #71  
The REAL Bluedriver
 
Joined: Sep 2011
Posts: 6,935
Likes: 0
From: Airbus Capt
Default

Originally Posted by pilotpayne
I have 27 years left and this issue won’t be an issue.
Also, 27 years left and this issue won't be an issue?

1. 27 years is a lot of contract iterations... How many pilot groups in history have never given up RJ scope in a negotiations? 1? Company dangles a huge carrot and 51% of the Walnuts go for it, not possible?

2. Merge with Alaska which has RJs and NO scope. Arbitrator rules that scope must allow the existing RJs, not possible? Or, joint CBA negotiations and the company dangles a huge carrot and 51% of the Walnuts from both groups go for it, not possible?

3. JB is acquired by DL, UAL or AA, game over. Not possible?

4. JB files for bankruptcy, judge rules the company can subcontract RJs... not possible?

5. Moxy starts a large West coast operation and unlimited domestic codeshares with JB and JB abandons it's promise to growth on the West coast. Your seniority would be a fraction of what it could/should have been. Same goes with an unlimited domestic codeshare with Alaska. Allowed and DEFINITELY an "issue". Not possible?

6. Skywest offers an at-risk RJ network to JB and agrees to structure it as a codeshare. Allowed and possible. Not possible?

Not to mention the virtually unlimited international codeshare.

27 years, this issue WON'T be an issue?

😁
Reply
Old 10-08-2019 | 08:16 AM
  #72  
Gets Weekends Off
 
Joined: Aug 2007
Posts: 2,086
Likes: 12
Default

Originally Posted by PotatoChip
Off the top of my head I can think of several reasons why it won’t work:
Slot control and JBs inability to gain any meaningful/desirable slots.
JB flying into LGW, not LHR.
On time performance (or you know, lack thereof).
Lack of larger network.
Fare wars with VERY determined legacy carriers keeping prices lower than JB can keep up with.
I don’t think these LR/XLR’s will be touching ORD, EWR, PHL etc...before heading over the pond. I think Transatlantic OTP will and hopefully be stronger than the rest of the system.
Reply
Old 10-08-2019 | 08:31 AM
  #73  
CaptCoolHand's Avatar
Gets Weekends Off
 
Joined: Dec 2008
Posts: 3,150
Likes: 0
From: Left,Right, Left, Right,Right,Left, Right, Left
Default

Originally Posted by nuball5
I don’t think these LR/XLR’s will be touching ORD, EWR, PHL etc...before heading over the pond. I think Transatlantic OTP will and hopefully be stronger than the rest of the system.
This.
Our biggest OTP problem with long haul will be the misconnects in the system. But they’re planning for O&D traffic so that should be minimal.

At some point though they’re going to have to announce stuff... like where in Europe we plan to go. 😆
Reply
Old 10-08-2019 | 08:48 AM
  #74  
The REAL Bluedriver
 
Joined: Sep 2011
Posts: 6,935
Likes: 0
From: Airbus Capt
Default

Originally Posted by CaptCoolHand
This.
Our biggest OTP problem with long haul will be the misconnects in the system. But they’re planning for O&D traffic so that should be minimal.

At some point though they’re going to have to announce stuff... like where in Europe we plan to go. 😆
This indeed. The trans-atlantic flights will go largely one-time, but this mis-connects could be biblical. You may be underestimating how many connecting itineraries they are planning, but that's just my opinion.
Reply
Old 10-08-2019 | 09:44 AM
  #75  
Gets Weekends Off
 
Joined: Oct 2012
Posts: 3,273
Likes: 55
From: 190 captain and “Pro-pilot”
Default

Originally Posted by Bluedriver
The problem is guys say "yeah, this , that, and the next everything sucks in the CBA, but at least we got scope"... Which is another way of saying "yeah, it all sucks, but at least we got something that the company valued less than a bag of Blue Chips".

And yeah, the company COULD change nearly everything about it's business plan.

And unicorns and Sasquatchs COULD be real.

And I COULD come home to find that my wife has hired Jessica Alba as a live-in nanny.

As I said, no JB pilot has suggested that RJ scope wasn't expected/demanded, but it's not a good justification for expecting/justifying a crummy CBA.
Now out of those coulds which did happen that we both saw?

We will never have a first class everyone is equal.

We will only grow organically.

We won’t be like those other airlines and charge for bags.
Reply
Old 10-08-2019 | 09:49 AM
  #76  
Gets Weekends Off
 
Joined: Oct 2012
Posts: 3,273
Likes: 55
From: 190 captain and “Pro-pilot”
Default

Originally Posted by Bluedriver
Also, 27 years left and this issue won't be an issue?

1. 27 years is a lot of contract iterations... How many pilot groups in history have never given up RJ scope in a negotiations? 1? Company dangles a huge carrot and 51% of the Walnuts go for it, not possible?

2. Merge with Alaska which has RJs and NO scope. Arbitrator rules that scope must allow the existing RJs, not possible? Or, joint CBA negotiations and the company dangles a huge carrot and 51% of the Walnuts from both groups go for it, not possible?

3. JB is acquired by DL, UAL or AA, game over. Not possible?

4. JB files for bankruptcy, judge rules the company can subcontract RJs... not possible?

5. Moxy starts a large West coast operation and unlimited domestic codeshares with JB and JB abandons it's promise to growth on the West coast. Your seniority would be a fraction of what it could/should have been. Same goes with an unlimited domestic codeshare with Alaska. Allowed and DEFINITELY an "issue". Not possible?

6. Skywest offers an at-risk RJ network to JB and agrees to structure it as a codeshare. Allowed and possible. Not possible?

Not to mention the virtually unlimited international codeshare.

27 years, this issue WON'T be an issue?

😁
Would you prefer we didn’t have scope? I guess we could have skipped it because in all of the above you suggest it’s pretty much worthless.

Dude I don’t know what will happen in 27 years but I feel better walking in with scope on the first contract.

It’s funny you come up with all of these things yet when I say the company could change business plans you say nope not buying it.

So it’s a theoretical one sided argument like what could have maybe happened if we voted no. I really don’t feel like playing that game. I don’t even know if I’ll be alive in 27 years and I’m not going to take the time (especially with you) (that’s not in a rude way) to try to debate every scenario.

Again we have scope it’s good. There is other stuff to work on.

Don’t get me wrong I’m not saying the contract needed to be done because of scope or anything like that. I as well as you knew that the company would most likely violate the contract day one. And it has. Or find a work around, this new coat. I’m just saying it not as worthless as some say. That’s all
Reply
Old 10-08-2019 | 09:52 AM
  #77  
Line Holder
 
Joined: Feb 2013
Posts: 1,299
Likes: 5
From: CA
Default

In the history of M&A’s you really think on time % has been a pivotal factor in a decision? “We’d have merged with them but their on-time was 75% not 81%.”

Those #’s are already cooked into the books. And that’s that.
Reply
Old 10-08-2019 | 09:55 AM
  #78  
Gets Weekends Off
 
Joined: Oct 2012
Posts: 3,273
Likes: 55
From: 190 captain and “Pro-pilot”
Default

Originally Posted by nuball5
I don’t think these LR/XLR’s will be touching ORD, EWR, PHL etc...before heading over the pond. I think Transatlantic OTP will and hopefully be stronger than the rest of the system.
Nope they along with the pilots will probably be their own airline in an airline. If I was guessing.
Reply
Old 10-08-2019 | 09:59 AM
  #79  
The REAL Bluedriver
 
Joined: Sep 2011
Posts: 6,935
Likes: 0
From: Airbus Capt
Default

Originally Posted by pilotpayne
Now out of those coulds which did happen that we both saw?

We will never have a first class everyone is equal.

We will only grow organically.

We won’t be like those other airlines and charge for bags.
You're talking about minor changes to the business plan here. Moving to start an RJ network would be trying to defy the laws of physics with respect to infrastructure and business plan.

And unicorns. And Jessica Alba nanny.

😁
Reply
Old 10-08-2019 | 10:05 AM
  #80  
The REAL Bluedriver
 
Joined: Sep 2011
Posts: 6,935
Likes: 0
From: Airbus Capt
Default

Originally Posted by pilotpayne
Would you prefer we didn’t have scope? I guess we could have skipped it because in all of the above you suggest it’s pretty much worthless.

Dude I don’t know what will happen in 27 years but I feel better walking in with scope on the first contract.

It’s funny you come up with all of these things yet when I say the company could change business plans you say nope not buying it.

So it’s a theoretical one sided argument like what could have maybe happened if we voted no. I really don’t feel like playing that game. I don’t even know if I’ll be alive in 27 years and I’m not going to take the time (especially with you) (that’s not in a rude way) to try to debate every scenario.

Again we have scope it’s good. There is other stuff to work on.

Don’t get me wrong I’m not saying the contract needed to be done because of scope or anything like that. I as well as you knew that the company would most likely violate the contract day one. And it has. Or find a work around, this new coat. I’m just saying it not as worthless as some say. That’s all
To your first question, I have said:

"As I said, no JB pilot has suggested that RJ scope wasn't expected/demanded, but it's not a good justification for expecting/justifying a crummy CBA."

To this: "Dude I don’t know what will happen in 27 years..." You said you had 27 years left and that this issue wouldn't be an issue. That's the whole reason I wrote that long post.

And you say, you're glad we have scope. I say, it's partial scope, hence the content of the long post.
Reply
Related Topics
Thread
Thread Starter
Forum
Replies
Last Post
On Autopilot
Regional
22617
11-05-2021 07:03 AM
cactiboss
American
271
06-12-2015 04:04 PM
USN C9B
Southwest
0
07-07-2012 07:13 PM
A320fumes
Major
9
09-16-2010 09:11 AM
WatchThis!
Mergers and Acquisitions
2
04-14-2008 07:25 PM

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Trackbacks are On
Pingbacks are On
Refbacks are On


Thread Tools
Search this Thread
Your Privacy Choices