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Old 01-29-2024 | 10:33 AM
  #51  
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Originally Posted by Bluedriver
I don't know the precise capabilities of the A220, but in its current form it struggles to do BOS-PHX with a full load. FLL to some of the SA flights are longer than that, and with A320NEOs they could look at airports even further than what we already do.

And of course the A220 is smaller, and capacity and payload, and even cargo bin space might not be ideal for those routes. Ever done SDQ/STI on the A321? More bags than wheelchairs in RSW. Plus the SDQ/STI wheelchairs!

A small sub-fleet of A320s for certain routes/performance requirements really isn't that much of a surprise. A321NEO isn't that great for driftdown and hot/high performance. And I don't think the A220 is ideal in all cases, although the A220 does have good performance, still may not be ideal for all routes, especially when range is a factor. The A220 payload increase will help, but it still won't be an A320NEO in my opinion.
Could be. We need a 220 nerd to chime in. It's only like 20 seat difference from a 320, though, so I'm not sure how much that capacity difference is worth having 320s stay in the fleet? But I hear what you're saying. Interesting proposition.

Originally Posted by PSU Flyer
I can see your logic, but if it wasn’t JetBlue, who ordered them? If the 320 isn’t really good for B6, who is it good for? What’s different for them?
I mean, the list on the Airbus Excel sheet linked earlier is a mile long. I'd post it, but it would jack up the whole thread. It could be anyone? I'm sure a large chunk of that list can be ruled out, but why not a leasing company or some foreign airline? I'm no expert, and I do hope the order is ours... simply trying to play devil's advocate. That said, if you look at that Excel sheet, it says we ordered 132 A320 CEOs in the past, so this number 132 is definitely conspicuous. Does 132 have some historical meaning to company history? For a while WN had 737 73s, I thought that was cute.
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Old 01-29-2024 | 10:56 AM
  #52  
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Originally Posted by GrayFlyer
Could be. We need a 220 nerd to chime in. It's only like 20 seat difference from a 320, though, so I'm not sure how much that capacity difference is worth having 320s stay in the fleet? But I hear what you're saying. Interesting proposition.



I mean, the list on the Airbus Excel sheet linked earlier is a mile long. I'd post it, but it would jack up the whole thread. It could be anyone? I'm sure a large chunk of that list can be ruled out, but why not a leasing company or some foreign airline? I'm no expert, and I do hope the order is ours... simply trying to play devil's advocate. That said, if you look at that Excel sheet, it says we ordered 132 A320 CEOs in the past, so this number 132 is definitely conspicuous. Does 132 have some historical meaning to company history? For a while WN had 737 73s, I thought that was cute.
I'm qualified on the A220. But that doesn't mean myself, or most others study the precise difference in payload, range (with payload ) and driftdown capabilities against the A320NEO. And the 20 seat capacity is only a small part of the equation. Payload itself, and even bin space by cubic footage are also big factors on third world routes.

But we will have A320s in the fleet for a LONG time going forward, and having a small sub-fleet of A320s is really not a burden. It's still an A320/321 family aircraft and not very burdensome to carry.

The A220-300 undisclosed order, the very next day from the A321/320 order is very likely the same customer, and really narrows down the number of worldwide operators that have both A320/A220-300 fleets. The timing is correct for JB having a contingency plan in case the merger wasn't approved, and there are very few reasons to place an undisclosed order.

It might well not be JB, but it would be one hell of a coincidence.
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Old 01-29-2024 | 11:07 AM
  #53  
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Originally Posted by Bluedriver
I'm qualified on the A220. But that doesn't mean myself, or most others study the precise difference in payload, range (with payload ) and driftdown capabilities against the A320NEO. And the 20 seat capacity is only a small part of the equation. Payload itself, and even bin space by cubic footage are also big factors on third world routes.

But we will have A320s in the fleet for a LONG time going forward, and having a small sub-fleet of A320s is really not a burden. It's still an A320/321 family aircraft and not very burdensome to carry.

The A220-300 undisclosed order, the very next day from the A321/320 order is very likely the same customer, and really narrows down the number of worldwide operators that have both A320/A220-300 fleets. The timing is correct for JB having a contingency plan in case the merger wasn't approved, and there are very few reasons to place an undisclosed order.

It might well not be JB, but it would be one hell of a coincidence.
Further makes ya wonder that, if it's B6, if they're going to spring for the payload increase on the 220. It's....6,000 pounds, I think?
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Old 01-29-2024 | 11:12 AM
  #54  
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Originally Posted by dreadFOroberts
Further makes ya wonder that, if it's B6, if they're going to spring for the payload increase on the 220. It's....6,000 pounds, I think?
Supposedly still in negotiations. Seems like they need to eventually. Otherwise the airplane doesn't do all they want it to do. And I don't think with 6,000 more pounds aboard that it will have the best high altitude performance. But definitely need it for trans-cons.
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Old 01-29-2024 | 11:40 AM
  #55  
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What do they change on the aircraft to buy 6,000 more pounds?
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Old 01-29-2024 | 12:01 PM
  #56  
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Originally Posted by GrayFlyer
What do they change on the aircraft to buy 6,000 more pounds?
Paper.......

Money changes hands, and they get a different sheet of paper with bigger numbers on it. MTOW increase.

Unrelated, but at some point Airbus /Pratt could unlock more power on the engine, if they feel comfortable with durability. That could help with high altitude performance and drift down as well.

Last edited by Bluedriver; 01-29-2024 at 12:16 PM.
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Old 01-29-2024 | 03:13 PM
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Originally Posted by Bluedriver
Paper.......

Money changes hands, and they get a different sheet of paper with bigger numbers on it. MTOW increase.

Unrelated, but at some point Airbus /Pratt could unlock more power on the engine, if they feel comfortable with durability. That could help with high altitude performance and drift down as well.

Word is that Breeze did it on their birds as part of their purchase price.

If it's a paper weight increase, does that mean it transfers with the airplane if it goes to a new operator?
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Old 01-29-2024 | 05:59 PM
  #58  
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Originally Posted by dreadFOroberts
Word is that Breeze did it on their birds as part of their purchase price.

If it's a paper weight increase, does that mean it transfers with the airplane if it goes to a new operator?
Don't know for sure, could depend on how the aircraft are acquired. For example, if they are sold to JB from Breeze, the certification almost certainly goes with the plane. If we acquire Breeze, the certification would come with the plane.

If Airbus were to reposes, or acquire the aircraft in some way, and resold them to Blue (very unlikely situation), they may make Blue pay for that "capability" again.

It's similar to how some Tesla cars come capable of "self driving", but they can't do it until you pay Tesla and they "unlock" the feature. It's a money grab by the manufacturer.
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Old 01-30-2024 | 10:47 AM
  #59  
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Originally Posted by Bluedriver
Circling back to this, Airbus took an order from an undisclosed customer in late December. An order for 132 A321NEO, 12 A320NEO and 10 A220-300.

I believe this is a JetBlue order, most likely. Was made after the court case was finished, but before the ruling. Order was likely written as contingent, or JB had been tipped early which way the ruling was going to go. If this is a JB order, it's more likely that JB terminates the merger agreement.

Credit goes to FlyBy for making me aware of the Airbus order, I just did some digging on the specifics and make the argument that it is likely JB's

https://www.airbus.com/en/products-services/commercial-aircraft/market/orders-and-deliveries

If you click on the 2023 orders and look at Dec 21-22.
You think this was a JetBlue order? What specifics would lead you to that conclusion?
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Old 01-30-2024 | 11:13 AM
  #60  
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Originally Posted by Schwanker
You think this was a JetBlue order? What specifics would lead you to that conclusion?
Yes, I still think, most likely is a JB order, probably contingent.

As for my reasons, I will keep those to myself.
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