Airline Pilot Central Forums - Economic Impacts of Iran War

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This war, which will likely go on for a long period of time is not yet priced into markets.

Are legacy furloughs a possibility later this year?

It will take years to recover economically from this. The economy has just started to bleed.

Quote:

Originally Posted by Chimpy (Post 4015541)

lol, so Trumps a Victim now? He is a horrific leader, his latest Tweet about Mueller says it all. (and I voted for him, so shame on me)

Didn’t say he was a victim, but in an era of micro aggressions, someone piercing your ear with a 5.56 attempting to kill you would certainly have an effect on anyone’s outlook. Plus FBI insiders lying to the FISA court going after you …

just cause you are paranoid doesn’t mean people aren’t really out to get you.

Quote:

Originally Posted by Excargodog (Post 4015550)

I think CBreezy would agree with your logic..

Quote:

Originally Posted by CBreezy;

If a country kept bombing me and my neighbors so their oligarchs could keep making money, I'd be in the streets chanting Death to that country too.

IOW.... Things can be justified/rationalized/forgiven due to..."reasons"?

At the very least, it might provide insight into someone else's perspective I guess. But then again, Trump is on record in multiple interviews even as far back as 1980 saying Iran can not have a nuclear weapon. According to AI he's on record at least 74 times advocating against Iran and nucs. That's 45 years...not like it's a surprise which way he would lean if there were doubts. I don't think many/any on a certain spectrum even acknowledged the possibility of success of Midnight Hammer. Seems like the mantra then was it wasn't effective as Trump said. Maybe he listened to the opposition party? Wonder where that 460Kg of 60% enriched uranium is?.

“These could be easily transported anywhere, in pickup trucks, as they are stored in sealed metal containers,” Levy told The Media Line. “There is enough material there for a bomb.”

A 60% enrichment level requires more material to build a bomb than weapons-grade uranium, but the quantity reported by the IAEA—over 400 kg—is far beyond the threshold. According to IAEA data, just 42 kg of uranium enriched to that level is enough to produce a nuclear weapon."
https://themedialine.org/top-stories...after-strikes/

Well, if Trump follows through on his threat to attack Iranian power plants and the Iranians respond by destroying oil and desalinization infrastructure in the Gulf states as they have threatened, oil at $120/bbl will seem like a wonderful golden memory. Not only will inflation skyrocket, we'll see a significant erasing of wealth as global markets adjust to what will be a very grim reality.

Elections do indeed have consequences.

Quote:

Originally Posted by Buck Rogers (Post 4015571)

I think CBreezy would agree with your logic..

IOW.... Things can be justified/rationalized/forgiven due to..."reasons"?

At the very least, it might provide insight into someone else's perspective I guess. But then again, Trump is on record in multiple interviews even as far back as 1980 saying Iran can not have a nuclear weapon. According to AI he's on record at least 74 times advocating against Iran and nucs. That's 45 years...not like it's a surprise which way he would lean if there were doubts. I don't think many/any on a certain spectrum even acknowledged the possibility of success of Midnight Hammer. Seems like the mantra then was it wasn't effective as Trump said. Maybe he listened to the opposition party? Wonder where that 460Kg of 60% enriched uranium is?.

“These could be easily transported anywhere, in pickup trucks, as they are stored in sealed metal containers,” Levy told The Media Line. “There is enough material there for a bomb.”

A 60% enrichment level requires more material to build a bomb than weapons-grade uranium, but the quantity reported by the IAEA—over 400 kg—is far beyond the threshold. According to IAEA data, just 42 kg of uranium enriched to that level is enough to produce a nuclear weapon."
https://themedialine.org/top-stories...after-strikes/

One needn’t “justify or forgive” someone to explain logical reasons why they may be paranoid.

Nor is Trump the only world leader who’s been saying that Iran must never get a nuclear weapon. Most of European leaders and former Presidents since Reagan considered it a red line they couldn’t be allowed to cross. Even Obama wanted them to give him ten years so it would be someone else’s problem.

Trump is simply the first one to convert talk into action and without Israel’s decapitation strikes I think even he might have hesitated. But when the [mod edit] is going to hit the fan anyway there is a temptation to say “in for a penny, in for a pound” and cry havoc and let slip the dogs of war…

Quote:

Originally Posted by Excargodog (Post 4015538)

I think that I might agree with that latter opinion. Although I have to wonder if it is innate to his personality or a function of how many people, even in his own party and the Washington establishment, tried to stab him in the back during his first term. The near miss in the public assassination couldn’t have helped either.

It’s a tough job under the best of circumstances. And corporate Washington DC never has liked outsiders. It chewed up Jimmy Carter.

lol after all this years, this guy is evolving into a troll.

Quote:

Originally Posted by Merequetengue (Post 4015580)

lol after all this years, this guy is evolving into a troll.

Quote:

Laugh, and the world laughs with you;

Weep, and you weep alone;

For the sad old earth must borrow its mirth,

But has trouble enough of its own.

Sing, and the hills will answer;

Sigh, it is lost on the air;

The echoes bound to a joyful sound,

But shrink from voicing care.

Rejoice, and men will seek you;

Grieve, and they turn and go;

They want full measure of all your pleasure,

But they do not need your woe.

Be glad, and your friends are many;

Be sad, and you lose them all,—

There are none to decline your nectared wine,

But alone you must drink life’s gall.

How long would you tolerate $200 a barrel to avoid the prospect of an apocalyptic cult of “hidden imam” worshipping Shiite Muslim fanatics having ICBMs and nukes? I’d trade a couple years of expensive oil for that readily. It’s unfortunate, shoukd have been handled better by previous administrations and for damn sure by the feckless Europeans, but it is what it is.

Quote:

Originally Posted by Hubcapped (Post 4015542)

OK, as much as I despise you, give credit or credit is due. This was top notch. Made me laugh

Who knew he had a sense of humor?

If I had to put $1000 down on us nuking Tehran or them nuking Tel Aviv first. Not sure what I'd honestly say is more likely.

Quote:

Originally Posted by dmeg13021 (Post 4015595)

If I had to put $1000 down on us nuking Tehran or them nuking Tel Aviv first. Not sure what I'd honestly say is more likely.

Well, perhaps this way BOTH may be avoided. I’m pretty much OK with the MAJORITY of people in both locales who would largely be collateral damage if this thing ever went nuke, plus any survivors and their eventual kids. I’m not a fan of any theocracy but Israel appears to be becoming gradually LESS theocratic at least.