SWAPA beware of hubris
#71
Gets Weekends Off
Joined: Feb 2008
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The numbers I was referencing were for 2008. One quarter's performance can be slanted by one time charges, etc., and can be very volatile from quarter to quarter. Longer periods of time smooth out the fluctuation and are a better picture of the true metric being looked at. SWA's 1Q costs are adversely affected by the mark-to-market accounting of the decline in the value of the futures contracts used in it's fuel hedging program - hedges made SWA a ton of money in 2008. This may also help explain why they had the lowest % decrease in CASM. I have not looked, but I'd be willing to wager that if you looked at the stage length adjusted numbers from 1Q SWA would come out on top.
As your interested, you might have fun looking at Form 41 data for like cost comparisons. I think you'd find the differences to the numbers you've published surprising when comparing say Delta domestic mainline to SWA. No question system costs at Delta are higher, but that's generally driven by the differences in the systems. If you were to compare similar types of flying (say DAL mainline versus SWA at SLC), SWA no longer shows a cost advantage.
Please do not take this as bashing SWA. It's an analytical discussion of how far the costs have fallen at some mainline carriers (much on the backs of labor and investors), and makes for a much different landscape for all of us to operate in. It also makes it that much more difficult to restore our profession to compensation levels we once attained.
#72
Absent the few flamers that continue on this board, if you want to look a bit deeper at why most of the SWA pilots did not support the integration of F9 pilots here, here is a little insight.;....
Many pilots at SWA are getting their fill of stagnant and backwards movement right now. Many are displaced as SWA is moving flying from east to west. Many FO's are understandably upset that what was, until a year or so ago, a 7 year upgrade, now is near 14++ years. Not exactly what they signed up for....
So, is it arrogance? Is it personal to F9? I would say no. I see a bunch of guys, myself included, who don't really need or want to see someone moving into the list in front of them right now.....would you? I am already commuting from my old base, where I live, to my new one, where I don't want to be. Personally, we all do what is best for us, and giving up seniority on top of pay and base loss was not on the menu. It had nothing to do with assumed superiority to F9 people.
While some SWA guys who flame on this board still consider SWA the holy grail, I would observe from watching from the inside, that it is a nice place to work, but it is still just a job. It would have been great to have F9 guys here, but it was not the right fit at the right time.
As far as hubris is concerned, I think that 90% of the posters on this board could take a note on that condition. Aren't we all just geniouses in our own world.......
Many pilots at SWA are getting their fill of stagnant and backwards movement right now. Many are displaced as SWA is moving flying from east to west. Many FO's are understandably upset that what was, until a year or so ago, a 7 year upgrade, now is near 14++ years. Not exactly what they signed up for....
So, is it arrogance? Is it personal to F9? I would say no. I see a bunch of guys, myself included, who don't really need or want to see someone moving into the list in front of them right now.....would you? I am already commuting from my old base, where I live, to my new one, where I don't want to be. Personally, we all do what is best for us, and giving up seniority on top of pay and base loss was not on the menu. It had nothing to do with assumed superiority to F9 people.
While some SWA guys who flame on this board still consider SWA the holy grail, I would observe from watching from the inside, that it is a nice place to work, but it is still just a job. It would have been great to have F9 guys here, but it was not the right fit at the right time.
As far as hubris is concerned, I think that 90% of the posters on this board could take a note on that condition. Aren't we all just geniouses in our own world.......
#73
It is pretty clear why the vocal minority SWA bunch is a little perturbed the deal didn't work, they all just lost a potential relative seniority bump.
That being said, don't kid yourselves into thinking that a few vocal SWA pilots have a lock on this "arrogant" attitude in this industry, take a trip into the cargo boards and you will find the same vocal minority at the brown and purple flavor that share the "oh, you didn't get hired?" mentality.
Good luck to us all in these tough times.
WG
That being said, don't kid yourselves into thinking that a few vocal SWA pilots have a lock on this "arrogant" attitude in this industry, take a trip into the cargo boards and you will find the same vocal minority at the brown and purple flavor that share the "oh, you didn't get hired?" mentality.
Good luck to us all in these tough times.
WG
I was in a SW cockpit commuting to work on th 13th, along with 3 SW pilots and I was shocked at what they had to say. I understood fully what they desired for the seniority list integration, but when they stated <deleted>F9 if you think you're getting anything other than a staple", I was shocked.
I love the airline and hope to fly an orange plane someday, but was rather turned off by this. Everyone has their 10%...as they say.
I love the airline and hope to fly an orange plane someday, but was rather turned off by this. Everyone has their 10%...as they say.
#74
OK.. I'll give you that one.. but it by no means that SWA pilots have been at or near the top of anything over that period of time... They never set the bar on anything except average taxi speed.
#76
Republic cannot own another airline and keep it independent.
#77
True, under the current CBA at RAH. Depending on what gets offered up in a new CBA, who knows what will happen.
NO, I'm not saying the RAH group will cave on scope. But BB is good at playing this game.
#78
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Gets Weekends Off
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Didn't mean to stir up a hornet's nest, just trying to give a little perspective from someone who has seen the highs and seen the lows.
To answer a few questions, I am not a disgruntled SWA reject. When I was hired at Delta, I didn't even consider Southwest. It just wasn't competitive at the time. See, times change.
If Delta had won the bidding for Frontier, they would have been integrated in a status and category approach like every other integration at Delta. There probably would have been some adjustment because they didn't bring in wide body flying. There would not have been a staple.
A good example is the Delta/Pan Am integration. The Pan Am pilots came to Delta with NO PROTECTION at all. Completely naked, just like TWA was with AMR. ALPA had no fragmentation policy at that time and the Pan Am contract did not cover this transaction. In fact, the Pan Am pilots had to interview individually with Delta and get accepted to be hired. Delta could have easily tried to make the phony case that the Pan Am pilots were lucky to come with Delta (at that time we had the highest compensation) with a staple job. (any of this sound familiar). Instead we integrated them in from the top to the bottom of the list.
Finally, if you look at system CASM, it does not give the whole story. For instance Delta operates into Lagos, Nigeria with all of the security costs associated with that unstable country. That adds to our total CASM. However, we also charge $15,000 for a round trip business class ticket, the high costs are justified.
What you need to look at is the incremental net revenue that each carrier can generate, per seat mile, on identical routes (opportunity revenue - opportunity costs). For instance if SWA wanted to fly from ATL to SAV, how much net revenue would a Delta MD-88 make in relation to a Southwest 737. Today, Delta is quite competitive with Southwest. The days of Southwest just waltzing into a market and shoving everyone out are gone. They are going to have to compete tooth and nail for each market. (See Denver, CO if you need an example)
I will say it again, Southwest is a well run company and they are not "in trouble". Yet. They are going to have to adapt and the days of them ruling the roost are over. SWAPA's offer of a staple job is a joke (just like the FAPA offer of relative seniority) and the Southwest pilots better start adjusting their sights on a different target. Just because you did it to Morris and then body slammed ATA, doesn't mean you can expect that in the future. I think it telling that SWAPA was quite concerned about binding arbitration because they had to have known that they would never get a staple from a decent arbitrator.
I think that SWA and SWAPA missed a big opportunity to help themselves in this deal. Part (and I emphasize part) of the problem was SWAPA's unrealistic expectations in the seniority integration. They would probably do themselves a big favor if they took a reality check and got their sights aimed at something more reasonable in the future.
To answer a few questions, I am not a disgruntled SWA reject. When I was hired at Delta, I didn't even consider Southwest. It just wasn't competitive at the time. See, times change.
If Delta had won the bidding for Frontier, they would have been integrated in a status and category approach like every other integration at Delta. There probably would have been some adjustment because they didn't bring in wide body flying. There would not have been a staple.
A good example is the Delta/Pan Am integration. The Pan Am pilots came to Delta with NO PROTECTION at all. Completely naked, just like TWA was with AMR. ALPA had no fragmentation policy at that time and the Pan Am contract did not cover this transaction. In fact, the Pan Am pilots had to interview individually with Delta and get accepted to be hired. Delta could have easily tried to make the phony case that the Pan Am pilots were lucky to come with Delta (at that time we had the highest compensation) with a staple job. (any of this sound familiar). Instead we integrated them in from the top to the bottom of the list.
Finally, if you look at system CASM, it does not give the whole story. For instance Delta operates into Lagos, Nigeria with all of the security costs associated with that unstable country. That adds to our total CASM. However, we also charge $15,000 for a round trip business class ticket, the high costs are justified.
What you need to look at is the incremental net revenue that each carrier can generate, per seat mile, on identical routes (opportunity revenue - opportunity costs). For instance if SWA wanted to fly from ATL to SAV, how much net revenue would a Delta MD-88 make in relation to a Southwest 737. Today, Delta is quite competitive with Southwest. The days of Southwest just waltzing into a market and shoving everyone out are gone. They are going to have to compete tooth and nail for each market. (See Denver, CO if you need an example)
I will say it again, Southwest is a well run company and they are not "in trouble". Yet. They are going to have to adapt and the days of them ruling the roost are over. SWAPA's offer of a staple job is a joke (just like the FAPA offer of relative seniority) and the Southwest pilots better start adjusting their sights on a different target. Just because you did it to Morris and then body slammed ATA, doesn't mean you can expect that in the future. I think it telling that SWAPA was quite concerned about binding arbitration because they had to have known that they would never get a staple from a decent arbitrator.
I think that SWA and SWAPA missed a big opportunity to help themselves in this deal. Part (and I emphasize part) of the problem was SWAPA's unrealistic expectations in the seniority integration. They would probably do themselves a big favor if they took a reality check and got their sights aimed at something more reasonable in the future.
#80
Were Delta and Pan Am both ALPA? If so, we're talking apples and oranges.
With two separate bargaining units each union has to start at the extreme in order to keep their members from accusing them of failing to try to represent their best interests. But over time, an accord can be reached. How much time? Depends ... could be months, but certainly more than three days!
The continuous accusations of SWA arrogance for demanding a staple job ... and the similar arrogance of FAPA for their also completely unrealistic demands ... lingers solely because there was never the opportunity to reach a negotiated agreement. It was left hanging with the two sides still far apart creating the illusion that there would never have been an agreement.
So, from my perspective, the biggest lesson learned here is that negotiating in public is a bad thing ....
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