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Old 05-29-2012 | 05:38 PM
  #41  
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Originally Posted by Bucking Bar
When Orvil and Wilbur got ready for the first flight of a powered aircraft, they flipped a coin to see who would get to fly it.

Airplanes did not even exist yet and there were already twice as many pilots as were needed.

Nothing has changed, except for folks stopped crashing, smoking and drinking to excess ... so now pilots live waaaay too long. You know, we can miss you if you never leave ... .
Now that is funny.
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Old 05-29-2012 | 05:58 PM
  #42  
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When I first read the post title it brought me back to May 29, 1973. I know I read a post with the exact same title back then, something about a pilot shortage. Oh wait, Al Gore hadn't invented the internet yet...never mind.

My point is that this subject has been talked about for as long as I've been in aviation. There are two things I have never seen in my lifetime, a unicorn and a pilot shortage!
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Old 05-29-2012 | 06:06 PM
  #43  
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The guy asked a serious question for crying out loud. If you plot scheduled retirements on a timeline it's pretty clear that "official" start of the shortage is 5/1/2013.
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Old 05-29-2012 | 06:22 PM
  #44  
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Originally Posted by Rolf
The guy asked a serious question for crying out loud. If you plot scheduled retirements on a timeline it's pretty clear that "official" start of the shortage is 5/1/2013.

Umm yeah.....
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Old 05-30-2012 | 01:29 AM
  #45  
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:d:d:d:d:d:d:d
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Old 05-30-2012 | 03:35 AM
  #46  
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I see "upcoming pilot shortage" discussed on the board alot.

Can anyone give me the start-date please

Yes, I am serious, well somewhat
Ask your flight school - the shortage starts the day you graduate
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Old 05-30-2012 | 03:53 AM
  #47  
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Were there blogs back in 1973?
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Old 05-30-2012 | 05:28 AM
  #48  
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No blogs, but tons of layoffs with the fuel crunch

GF
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Old 05-30-2012 | 07:40 AM
  #49  
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shortage of jobs, yes... pilots, no.
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Old 05-31-2012 | 05:25 AM
  #50  
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Originally Posted by block30
I am not really even sure about this....Isn't Delta mainline trying to shrink it's current pilot force from 12,000 to 9,000 ish? (serious question) Simultaneously they are trying to shrink their regional pilot force.

I'm not sure that part 121 flying is a growth industry in the next 10 years. One retirement does not equal one new hire. *That's the problem.*


Delta wants to reduce their manning by 25% AND reduce their regional pilot numbers? At the same time rest rules point to slightly higher manning requirements???

Even with the increased productivity at the majors post 9/11 and the negative impact 9/11 had on the industry pilot manning at the majors(DL/UA/AA/SW/US/JB/AT/AK) is up for the last 10 yrs.

No one is forecasting a reduction in pilot manning needs for the next 10 yrs. Factor in mandatory retirements over the next 10 yrs and you have the foundation for a tremendous amount of movement.
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