PSA base at DFW
02-15-2021 | 10:14 PM
#81
Line Holder
Joined: May 2019
Posts: 317
Likes: 0
Naturally I’m fairly bullish, which I think most pilots have that type of attitude, it’s in our DNA. You have one life, we should at least attempt to make the best of it, hence why we all shied away from the desk jobs.
That being said, I’m not feeling great about this quick recovery into the summer with the vaccine rollout anymore. It seems like everyone outside of aviation has adjusted, and as a country we’re just taking our sweet time on cruise control, well the airlines don’t have time.
I think we’re going to see bankruptcy’s and shakeups. It is what it is.
https://www.bostonherald.com/2021/02...eserve-better/
☝️ This type of BS is being washed out by the mainstream media, complaints are going “unnoticed”, which is just classic. With Trump, love or hate him, he was ALWAYS being called out for lack of progress if it existed. Right now under Biden, his failure to get this rollout moving faster is not being published by the media as aggressively, and that’s a sin because every single day matters, literally.
That being said, I’m not feeling great about this quick recovery into the summer with the vaccine rollout anymore. It seems like everyone outside of aviation has adjusted, and as a country we’re just taking our sweet time on cruise control, well the airlines don’t have time.
I think we’re going to see bankruptcy’s and shakeups. It is what it is.
https://www.bostonherald.com/2021/02...eserve-better/
☝️ This type of BS is being washed out by the mainstream media, complaints are going “unnoticed”, which is just classic. With Trump, love or hate him, he was ALWAYS being called out for lack of progress if it existed. Right now under Biden, his failure to get this rollout moving faster is not being published by the media as aggressively, and that’s a sin because every single day matters, literally.
02-16-2021 | 03:00 AM
#82
Banned
Joined: May 2017
Posts: 2,012
Likes: 0
The vaccine rollout started slow but it’s accelerating and on track to make a substantial difference within a few months at most.
https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/d...A®ion=World
the subset of the population that commonly dies from covid is pretty small, maybe 50 million people in the US. Get them vaccinated and hospitals and funeral homes will quit being overrun.
The lag from people stop dying to people start flying? IDK. But the dying will largely be done soon
https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/d...A®ion=World
the subset of the population that commonly dies from covid is pretty small, maybe 50 million people in the US. Get them vaccinated and hospitals and funeral homes will quit being overrun.
The lag from people stop dying to people start flying? IDK. But the dying will largely be done soon
02-16-2021 | 04:44 AM
#83
Gets Weekends Off
Joined: Jul 2018
Posts: 449
Likes: 0
Someone dropped a 9.5 hour 4 day into open time during SAP this month, and yet the company keeps insisting that SAP is the problem and a depressing amount of pilots agree with them.
When surveyed the vast majority of the pilot group said they use SAP to drop low credit for high credit. So more efficient higher credit trips would lead to less need for SAP.
As for Covid the key is the vaccines are here and actually being distributed, and infections are down across the board. On top of that the low cost carriers are taking aircraft orders and hiring for growth. If the legacies are unable to adapt to the new environment of reduced business travel then it looks like the LCC's are ready to fill the void.
When surveyed the vast majority of the pilot group said they use SAP to drop low credit for high credit. So more efficient higher credit trips would lead to less need for SAP.
As for Covid the key is the vaccines are here and actually being distributed, and infections are down across the board. On top of that the low cost carriers are taking aircraft orders and hiring for growth. If the legacies are unable to adapt to the new environment of reduced business travel then it looks like the LCC's are ready to fill the void.
02-16-2021 | 05:26 AM
#84
Gets Weekends Off
Joined: Apr 2015
Posts: 2,928
Likes: 97
Someone dropped a 9.5 hour 4 day into open time during SAP this month, and yet the company keeps insisting that SAP is the problem and a depressing amount of pilots agree with them.
When surveyed the vast majority of the pilot group said they use SAP to drop low credit for high credit. So more efficient higher credit trips would lead to less need for SAP.
As for Covid the key is the vaccines are here and actually being distributed, and infections are down across the board. On top of that the low cost carriers are taking aircraft orders and hiring for growth. If the legacies are unable to adapt to the new environment of reduced business travel then it looks like the LCC's are ready to fill the void.
When surveyed the vast majority of the pilot group said they use SAP to drop low credit for high credit. So more efficient higher credit trips would lead to less need for SAP.
As for Covid the key is the vaccines are here and actually being distributed, and infections are down across the board. On top of that the low cost carriers are taking aircraft orders and hiring for growth. If the legacies are unable to adapt to the new environment of reduced business travel then it looks like the LCC's are ready to fill the void.
02-16-2021 | 06:19 AM
#85
Gets Weekends Off
Joined: Feb 2020
Posts: 498
Likes: 0
Someone dropped a 9.5 hour 4 day into open time during SAP this month, and yet the company keeps insisting that SAP is the problem and a depressing amount of pilots agree with them.
When surveyed the vast majority of the pilot group said they use SAP to drop low credit for high credit. So more efficient higher credit trips would lead to less need for SAP.
As for Covid the key is the vaccines are here and actually being distributed, and infections are down across the board. On top of that the low cost carriers are taking aircraft orders and hiring for growth. If the legacies are unable to adapt to the new environment of reduced business travel then it looks like the LCC's are ready to fill the void.
When surveyed the vast majority of the pilot group said they use SAP to drop low credit for high credit. So more efficient higher credit trips would lead to less need for SAP.
As for Covid the key is the vaccines are here and actually being distributed, and infections are down across the board. On top of that the low cost carriers are taking aircraft orders and hiring for growth. If the legacies are unable to adapt to the new environment of reduced business travel then it looks like the LCC's are ready to fill the void.
02-16-2021 | 07:25 AM
#86
Gets Weekends Off
Joined: Jul 2018
Posts: 449
Likes: 0
Gotta love that min day language in the contract that let's it not apply on the first and last day.
If we want efficient trips we need trip and duty rigs. If we can make 4 days credit a minimum of 20 hours, then suddenly that 9.5 hour 4 day means that the company would be paying a pilot 10.5 hours to chill in the hotel. I'd bet you anything that that'd last for about a month before the company suddenly realizes efficient trips sound like a great idea.
If we want efficient trips we need trip and duty rigs. If we can make 4 days credit a minimum of 20 hours, then suddenly that 9.5 hour 4 day means that the company would be paying a pilot 10.5 hours to chill in the hotel. I'd bet you anything that that'd last for about a month before the company suddenly realizes efficient trips sound like a great idea.
02-16-2021 | 08:13 AM
#87
Line Holder
Joined: Apr 2011
Posts: 1,576
Likes: 20
But I seem to see a whole lot of “hopium” being espoused on the line. IATA just revised its forecasted recovery for 2020 to 13% above 2020 levels rather than the 50% it prognosticated prior.Things are literally going from bad to worse as there are now more travel restrictions than there were in 2020. We’ll see some kind of recovery domestically by summer 2022 is my guess. Internationally who knows... 2024? 25? Countries will be in various stages of fighting the virus for a few years and there won’t be much uniformity in the government response to it.
When the government money runs out (and it will) then look out. Shake ups coming.
When the government money runs out (and it will) then look out. Shake ups coming.
Here's the ACTUAL forecast, quoted from their own website today, February 16th:
- IATA’s baseline forecast for 2021 is for a 50.4% improvement on 2020 demand that would bring the industry to 50.6% of 2019 levels. While this view remains unchanged, there is a severe downside risk if more severe travel restrictions in response to new variants persist. Should such a scenario materialize, demand improvement could be limited to just 13% over 2020 levels, leaving the industry at 38% of 2019 levels.
02-16-2021 | 09:18 AM
#88
Line Holder
Joined: Jul 2015
Posts: 474
Likes: 4
From: DHC-8 CA
Your statement is incorrect.
Here's the ACTUAL forecast, quoted from their own website today, February 16th:
Here's the ACTUAL forecast, quoted from their own website today, February 16th:
- IATA’s baseline forecast for 2021 is for a 50.4% improvement on 2020 demand that would bring the industry to 50.6% of 2019 levels. While this view remains unchanged, there is a severe downside risk if more severe travel restrictions in response to new variants persist. Should such a scenario materialize, demand improvement could be limited to just 13% over 2020 levels, leaving the industry at 38% of 2019 levels.
02-16-2021 | 10:07 AM
#89
Gets Weekends Off
Joined: Apr 2015
Posts: 608
Likes: 0
Someone dropped a 9.5 hour 4 day into open time during SAP this month, and yet the company keeps insisting that SAP is the problem and a depressing amount of pilots agree with them.
When surveyed the vast majority of the pilot group said they use SAP to drop low credit for high credit. So more efficient higher credit trips would lead to less need for SAP.
As for Covid the key is the vaccines are here and actually being distributed, and infections are down across the board. On top of that the low cost carriers are taking aircraft orders and hiring for growth. If the legacies are unable to adapt to the new environment of reduced business travel then it looks like the LCC's are ready to fill the void.
When surveyed the vast majority of the pilot group said they use SAP to drop low credit for high credit. So more efficient higher credit trips would lead to less need for SAP.
As for Covid the key is the vaccines are here and actually being distributed, and infections are down across the board. On top of that the low cost carriers are taking aircraft orders and hiring for growth. If the legacies are unable to adapt to the new environment of reduced business travel then it looks like the LCC's are ready to fill the void.
02-16-2021 | 07:12 PM
#90
Gets Weekends Off
Joined: Feb 2012
Posts: 4,601
Likes: 0
From: CRJ FO
Your statement is incorrect.
Here's the ACTUAL forecast, quoted from their own website today, February 16th:
Here's the ACTUAL forecast, quoted from their own website today, February 16th:
- IATA’s baseline forecast for 2021 is for a 50.4% improvement on 2020 demand that would bring the industry to 50.6% of 2019 levels. While this view remains unchanged, there is a severe downside risk if more severe travel restrictions in response to new variants persist. Should such a scenario materialize, demand improvement could be limited to just 13% over 2020 levels, leaving the industry at 38% of 2019 levels.
Thread
Thread Starter
Forum
Replies
Last Post
