Go Back  Airline Pilot Central Forums > Airline Pilot Forums > Regional
Which Regionals will survive a recession? >

Which Regionals will survive a recession?

Search

Notices
Regional Regional Airlines

Which Regionals will survive a recession?

Thread Tools
 
Search this Thread
 
Old 08-14-2018 | 07:14 PM
  #1  
Thread Starter
Line Holder
 
Joined: Feb 2018
Posts: 28
Likes: 0
Default Which Regionals will survive a recession?

I'm about to start interviewing with the regionals. I'm figuring that there will be a recession in the next one to two years. If there is a recession are any of the regionals in a better (or worse) position to survive it?
Better contracts with the Majors, better financial stability, better management, own their own planes, those kind of things.
Reply
Old 08-14-2018 | 07:18 PM
  #2  
On Reserve
 
Joined: Jul 2018
Posts: 15
Likes: 0
Default

SkyWest.

Place has its detractors (including myself). But they managed to survive for 35+ years. If asked to bet, I’d put my money on them.
Reply
Old 08-14-2018 | 07:57 PM
  #3  
Gets Weekends Off
 
Joined: Oct 2015
Posts: 3,199
Likes: 42
From: Gear slinger
Default

Originally Posted by Aviat0r
I'm about to start interviewing with the regionals. I'm figuring that there will be a recession in the next one to two years. If there is a recession are any of the regionals in a better (or worse) position to survive it?
Better contracts with the Majors, better financial stability, better management, own their own planes, those kind of things.
Most likely survival candidates are AA Wholly Owned regionals, Endeavor, Republic mainline and SkyWest mainline.
Reply
Old 08-14-2018 | 07:58 PM
  #4  
Moderator
 
Joined: Sep 2017
Posts: 3,202
Likes: 0
From: MEC Chairman, Snack Basket Committee
Default

Originally Posted by Aviat0r
I'm about to start interviewing with the regionals. I'm figuring that there will be a recession in the next one to two years. If there is a recession are any of the regionals in a better (or worse) position to survive it?
Better contracts with the Majors, better financial stability, better management, own their own planes, those kind of things.
Compass-- hands down... jk
We cant even handle good times
Reply
Old 08-14-2018 | 08:19 PM
  #5  
Gets Weekends Off
 
Joined: Jun 2006
Posts: 1,523
Likes: 0
Default

Originally Posted by Otterbox
Most likely survival candidates are AA Wholly Owned regionals, Endeavor, Republic mainline and SkyWest mainline.
This would be my exact list as well.
Reply
Old 08-15-2018 | 12:11 AM
  #6  
:-)
 
Joined: Feb 2007
Posts: 7,339
Likes: 1
Default

Originally Posted by Otterbox
Most likely survival candidates are AA Wholly Owned regionals, Endeavor, Republic mainline and SkyWest mainline.
Those will probably be the only regionals in 5 years.
Reply
Old 08-15-2018 | 04:50 AM
  #7  
Gets Weekends Off
 
Joined: Jan 2007
Posts: 692
Likes: 0
Default

Originally Posted by Mesabah
Those will probably be the only regionals in 5 years.
Depends on how much they want to pull the stops out. If you started an ab initio program where you pay nothing I think there would be lines around the block multiple times. The cost of training someone is nothing compared to what they save in decades of salary difference from mainline to regional.
Reply
Old 08-15-2018 | 06:09 AM
  #8  
Banned
 
Joined: Apr 2014
Posts: 1,291
Likes: 0
Default

Originally Posted by Otterbox
Most likely survival candidates are AA Wholly Owned regionals, Endeavor, Republic mainline and SkyWest mainline.
These will be the only ones left in 2 or 3 years ,it won’t take five.And where can I apply for republic and Skywest MAINLINE ???
Reply
Old 08-15-2018 | 06:50 AM
  #9  
TransWorld's Avatar
Gets Everyday Off
 
Joined: Aug 2016
Posts: 6,995
Likes: 1
From: Fully Retired
Default

Originally Posted by Otterbox
Most likely survival candidates are AA Wholly Owned regionals, Endeavor, Republic mainline and SkyWest mainline.
I would think at some point the 3 AA WO will be consolidated under one company (American Eagle?). The other three I am in agreement. I would add Horizon. Whether any are mainline, I have my doubts.

Consolidation from 20 ‘major’ regionals to 5. Only a few remaining specialty sweet shops, such as in Alaska and servicing EAS.

Instead of 20,000 pilots, about 10,000 pilots flying regionals. Most of the 50 seats parked (only places remaining are where it is nearly impossible to fill a couple of 76 seats in a day).

A lot of 76 seat flying replaced by mainlines flying 100+ seats. That does not mean reduction of pilots, rather moving a substantial chunk of regional pilot slots to mainline slots.

Last edited by TransWorld; 08-15-2018 at 07:09 AM.
Reply
Old 08-15-2018 | 06:55 AM
  #10  
Bruno82's Avatar
Gets Weekends Off
 
Joined: Feb 2007
Posts: 419
Likes: 0
From: BE9L, Captain
Default

Originally Posted by TransWorld
I would think at some point the 3 AA WO will be consolidated under one company (American Eagle?). The other three I am in agreement. Whether any are mainline, I have my doubts.

Consolidation from 20 ‘major’ regionals to 4. Only a few remaining specialty sweet shops, such as in Alaska and servicing EAS.

I've heard the thought that the three AA WO would be consolidated. I just don't think so. AA did that years ago to where they merged several airlines into the previous American Eagle. Then, after the bankruptcy, they diversified again. They need to keep them separate for whipsaw.
Reply
Related Topics
Thread
Thread Starter
Forum
Replies
Last Post
skyshadows74
Regional
13
08-10-2018 09:00 AM
Moto208
Career Questions
13
06-26-2018 11:28 PM
TheWeatherman
Regional
20
08-10-2017 09:12 AM
Skyhawk92
Career Questions
6
11-23-2014 06:56 AM
robthree
Regional
13
09-01-2007 03:23 PM

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Trackbacks are On
Pingbacks are On
Refbacks are On



Your Privacy Choices