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Old 10-28-2018, 07:15 AM
  #51  
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Originally Posted by WesternSkies View Post
Nice pseudo science doc.
The people taking c-scale jobs at a regional are helping to drive wages higher? Are you high? Like there is some organization to your job taking? You are looking through a straw.
If you know a way to avoid regionals then I know several thousand pilots who'd love to know the secret.

In the meantime yes pilots choosing to go to regionals that pay them more and treat them better puts pressure on the lower quality regionals to improve in order to stay competitive with hiring.

The regional model is pretty ****, but it's the model we've got until something drastic changes.
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Old 10-28-2018, 08:17 AM
  #52  
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Originally Posted by Approach1260 View Post
It's very true that things are better now than they were before, but the airlines didn't raise pay and quality of life out of the goodness of their hearts, or because they thought the pilots earned it.

They raised pay because after years of stagnant wages and an ever increasing barrier to entry (1,500 hour rule was the turning point), new pilots made the judgement call that they couldn't afford to go to the airlines and still pay off their training.

It was these new young pilots saying no to the way things have always been that forced Airline Managers to finally start having to compete with each other to keep New Hires coming in the door.

For example PSA was hiring between 3 and 5 a month until they finally raised pay. Now we've been stagnant for a while and the numbers are dropping off again because new pilots are going to more lucrative regionals, which in turn puts pressure on management to make changes to stay competitive with their hiring.

The good old days were rough, but the new guys and gals coming in who want to be treated better are part of the solution not the problem.

No. Regionals are not paying more to incentivize noble millenials with high standards to become airline pilots. People become airline pilots (ie invest the training time and cost) mainly to pursue major airline wages (especially right now).

Regionals are paying more because they have to outbid EACH OTHER for noobs. A combination of sustained growth and retirements caused demand to outstrip the available supply. Seller's market.

Regionals exist to force pilots to UNDERBID each other at the entry-level which is normally a buyer's market. Regionals are just getting a taste of their own medicine (at least for a while).
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Old 10-28-2018, 08:24 AM
  #53  
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Originally Posted by ninerdriver View Post
That being said, that next class of pilots (I'm one of them) has no business complaining about much of anything right now. Yeah, we don't have mainline pay and work rules, but we newer regional pilots have it *much* better off than anyone in this industry even five years ago. We aren't living on food stamps, we aren't sitting reserve for years, and we don't have to wait a decade to upgrade.
Remember that. If you've never had a real job (non-pilot) it's easy to fixate on little gripes, but most of us have it better off than most of our college classmates, in more ways than one.

Entry-level pilots have more opportunity than any time in history.

Even as a member of the lost gen I make a point of being thankful for what I have. I have friends who are envious (in a friendly way), so I try not get too upset about the nasty rubbery chicken in the crew meal. Just call the FA's and ask for something from the 1C galley and keep enjoying the view.
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Old 10-28-2018, 08:51 AM
  #54  
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Originally Posted by Approach1260 View Post
If you know a way to avoid regionals then I know several thousand pilots who'd love to know the secret.
Your point counters your previous point. Exactly the region model has largely had a captive work force AND still does. Delta cutting 9e would have been another blip in whipsaw history.

The entire country has a tight labor market. We have benefited by the strong economy, retirements, airlines hiring at full capacity for YEARS, the tech-boom drawing smart kids into that career, the internet disseminating information on pay, qol and “a day in the life” in near real time and finally 1500 hours was the nail that prohibited airlines from using experience requirements like a workforce accumulator. The funny part about crying about 1500 is that R-ATP neutered it. I know most of you can’t imagine being excited for a regional to announce that after years they plan to open hiring again. 1500 hours has almost never in the history of what we are doing here been remotely competitive to even get an interview.

You think the fleeing of 9e lifted wages for us? Pilots fleeing to the bottom of the next pilot list is exactly how this whipsaw works! The sum of the entire environment is the only reason why it backfired for Delta and eventually United (xjt-> commutair transfer)
You ain’t pretty.
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Old 10-28-2018, 10:12 AM
  #55  
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Originally Posted by rickair7777 View Post
No. Regionals are not paying more to incentivize noble millenials with high standards to become airline pilots. People become airline pilots (ie invest the training time and cost) mainly to pursue major airline wages (especially right now).

Regionals are paying more because they have to outbid EACH OTHER for noobs. A combination of sustained growth and retirements caused demand to outstrip the available supply. Seller's market.

Regionals exist to force pilots to UNDERBID each other at the entry-level which is normally a buyer's market. Regionals are just getting a taste of their own medicine (at least for a while).
Funny how someone always brings it back here. Sh**ing on the next generation coming up. I fail to see what’s wrong with wanting a better return on investment. Should we take it to “well if the Nobel boomers didn’t crash the market in ‘08 and drive up tuition with their greed we wouldn’t need to be paid more”. No, leaving the industry better than you found it, that’s what we all should be striving for. Doesn’t matter if your 64 or 21, we should be helping each other out.
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Old 10-28-2018, 11:15 AM
  #56  
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Originally Posted by Approach1260 View Post
It's very true that things are better now than they were before, but the airlines didn't raise pay and quality of life out of the goodness of their hearts, or because they thought the pilots earned it.

They raised pay because after years of stagnant wages and an ever increasing barrier to entry (1,500 hour rule was the turning point), new pilots made the judgement call that they couldn't afford to go to the airlines and still pay off their training.

It was these new young pilots saying no to the way things have always been that forced Airline Managers to finally start having to compete with each other to keep New Hires coming in the door.

For example PSA was hiring between 3 and 5 a month until they finally raised pay. Now we've been stagnant for a while and the numbers are dropping off again because new pilots are going to more lucrative regionals, which in turn puts pressure on management to make changes to stay competitive with their hiring.

The good old days were rough, but the new guys and gals coming in who want to be treated better are part of the solution not the problem.
There was no organized movement for new pilots in terms of not taking jobs. The main driving force has been the 1500 hr ATP rule. Rescind that and watch what happens. The bonuses will disappear and pay would come down as airlines go for 250-500 hr pilots again.
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Old 10-28-2018, 11:28 AM
  #57  
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Originally Posted by ShyGuy View Post
There was no organized movement for new pilots in terms of not taking jobs. The main driving force has been the 1500 hr ATP rule. Rescind that and watch what happens. The bonuses will disappear and pay would come down as airlines go for 250-500 hr pilots again.
And those 250-500 hour pilots would gladly take the positions as F/Os in the hope of winning the big one—a seat st DL, UA, AA.

GF
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Old 10-28-2018, 12:45 PM
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Originally Posted by galaxy flyer View Post
And those 250-500 hour pilots would gladly take the positions as F/Os in the hope of winning the big one—a seat st DL, UA, AA.

GF
They would. I was one. Crazy looking back, but it was what it was before 2008.
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Old 10-28-2018, 01:37 PM
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Originally Posted by ShyGuy View Post
There was no organized movement for new pilots in terms of not taking jobs. The main driving force has been the 1500 hr ATP rule. Rescind that and watch what happens. The bonuses will disappear and pay would come down as airlines go for 250-500 hr pilots again.
Maybe in the extreme short term, but not over the long term. There is a global shortage. Eliminating the 1500 hour rule (which should be done) will only empty the buffer once but it won't take too long for it to slow back to a trickle again.
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Old 10-28-2018, 01:44 PM
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Originally Posted by ShyGuy View Post
There was no organized movement for new pilots in terms of not taking jobs.
No organized movement is necessary for the effect, any more than an organized movement of people refusing to order Big Macs until the price reaches a certain point. It's an aggregate of a huge number of individuals making their own decisions for themselves in their own lives but under the common circumstance. But it adds up to something that seems organized.

I, for one, had completely written off the reginals as something I would ever do, for a number of years, until my thinking was turned around by the industry more than doubling the pay.
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