Comair Interview
#451
it's important to note that fuel prices have doubled in the last year and the trend appears to be for it to continue upward...
if fuel prices remain at their current levels -or increase- next year and beyond would there be less flying, about the same, or more flying available to Comair? I don’t know; but, I do think that Comair will probably stop flying routes that are uneconomic...
Let's say Comair actually did elect to reduce their exposure to financial risk and stop flying routes that were uneconomic due to high fuel costs.
So my question is, could that 4-4 1/2 year upgrade realistically stretch into a 5-6+ year upgrade if things really start deteriorating next year?
if fuel prices remain at their current levels -or increase- next year and beyond would there be less flying, about the same, or more flying available to Comair? I don’t know; but, I do think that Comair will probably stop flying routes that are uneconomic...
Let's say Comair actually did elect to reduce their exposure to financial risk and stop flying routes that were uneconomic due to high fuel costs.
So my question is, could that 4-4 1/2 year upgrade realistically stretch into a 5-6+ year upgrade if things really start deteriorating next year?
Comair is currently Delta's reserve airline. Delta decides which routes Comair flies or drops. Delta decides if Comair grows or parks planes. Delta decides if Comair is profitable - "Hey, someone buy these guys, they're a great value!" or not profitable - "You guys are costing us millions, vote in paycuts or we'll just close you down"
That said, 9 months ago upgrades at Comair were in the 6-7 year range. Today the trend is down to 5.5 years, and (based on current upgrade awards and class dates) will be down to 5 years this November.
If the "possible flying" materializes, Comair's upgrade may get down to 4 - 4.5 years in early 2009. It all depends on Delta.
It's still anybody's guess who's regional will be "the sure thing" for 2008, let alone 2009.
#452
I can concur with you. I have been here 3 1/2 years and have my bid in for upgrade ASAP (JFK RSV). The most junior captain from the last vacancy bid was 60 or 65 numbers senior to me. That's at least 6 to 8 months senior to me. So you are essentially looking at 4 to 4 1/2 year upgrades.
But it could go quick... Comair only has about 60 2004 hires and 90 2005 hires left on the list. (Just a swag, we'll see when the new list hits the stands next month).
#454
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Jul 2006
Posts: 146
The real question is: which regional isn't facing the long odds you just presented?
Comair is currently Delta's reserve airline. Delta decides which routes Comair flies or drops. Delta decides if Comair grows or parks planes. Delta decides if Comair is profitable - "Hey, someone buy these guys, they're a great value!" or not profitable - "You guys are costing us millions, vote in paycuts or we'll just close you down"
That said, 9 months ago upgrades at Comair were in the 6-7 year range. Today the trend is down to 5.5 years, and (based on current upgrade awards and class dates) will be down to 5 years this November.
If the "possible flying" materializes, Comair's upgrade may get down to 4 - 4.5 years in early 2009. It all depends on Delta.
It's still anybody's guess who's regional will be "the sure thing" for 2008, let alone 2009.
Comair is currently Delta's reserve airline. Delta decides which routes Comair flies or drops. Delta decides if Comair grows or parks planes. Delta decides if Comair is profitable - "Hey, someone buy these guys, they're a great value!" or not profitable - "You guys are costing us millions, vote in paycuts or we'll just close you down"
That said, 9 months ago upgrades at Comair were in the 6-7 year range. Today the trend is down to 5.5 years, and (based on current upgrade awards and class dates) will be down to 5 years this November.
If the "possible flying" materializes, Comair's upgrade may get down to 4 - 4.5 years in early 2009. It all depends on Delta.
It's still anybody's guess who's regional will be "the sure thing" for 2008, let alone 2009.
Comair is certainly not alone in that it is facing some tough economic challanges. Yes, the whole airline industry is facing serious, significant and unparalled financial challenges. That's pretty obvious. So, your "real question" is such a no brainer that it doesn't even need to be stated. Also, this thread, and my previous posts pertain to Comair, not other airlines.
Correct, Delta is Comair's only customer and Comair is Delta's reserve airline. So, the NKOTB's are the reserves for the reserves. That's great. Whether it's Delta's management, or Comair's that makes the final decision on what routes Comair flies is splitting hairs quite frankly. I don't recall the exact verbiage that was used, but the fact is a Comair rep told us during the company presentation that if fuel prices do NOT decrease significantly next year they will probably discontinue flying certain routes that are no longer profitable, until such time as fuel costs go down significantly. And that this reduction in flying could affect the length of time that a newhire is on reserve for and possibly mean less hours of available flying that they might be assigned in a given month while sitting on reserve (I think he mentioned something about this being more so in CVG than JFK). That's the gist of what we were told, I am just throwing it out there and asking the hard questions to verify that info. So, if the flying doesn't materialize next year then what? I suppose upgrades will be back up in the 6 -7 year range again.
As for which regional will come out as a sure thing this year, or next, I agree it's somewhat a matter of personal opinion. Although, technically it's no longer a "regional" SkyWest would be the closest thing to a financial sure thing that you'll find amongst the express/connection feeder carriers in the US, followed by Comair.
http://news.morningstar.com/articlen...aspx?id=237841
#455
#457
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Mar 2007
Position: Heavies
Posts: 1,414
Your effing golden.... i wish I lived closer. I did reserve and I am 70 miles away, and managed without a crashpad...... if you drive bid early windows (a1, a2) to avoid rush hour... if u take mass transit, its whatever u want.... Reserve would have been a lot better if I lived as close as you do to JFK
#458
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Jun 2007
Posts: 109
Hey guys...I interviewed last week and just got the dreaded letter. Hopefully I'll get better news from Skywest or Colgan. Good luck to everyone else who have or will be interviewing, especially those who I interviewed with.
#459
what did the dreaded letter say? that they were not hiring, or that they werent hiring you? sorry if that sounded mean, just wondering.
#460
Line Holder
Joined APC: Jun 2008
Posts: 44
Also got the letter today, interviewed on the 11th. Just the standard rejection letter.
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