Jumpseat?
05-08-2020, 03:25 PM
#12
Gets Weekends Off
Thread Starter
Joined APC: Jul 2008
Posts: 4,928
Originally Posted by Peacock
If it’s not showing any seats available or sold it’s cancelled. I believe he’s referring to the new practice of capping seats at about 2/3rd the total for “social distancing”
05-08-2020, 03:53 PM
#13
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Joined APC: Apr 2012
Position: 737 CA
Posts: 508
Originally Posted by hockeypilot44
It says on your website it's going. When you try to buy a ticket, the flight shows, but says unavailable. I was able to list for it, but it had a red smiley face. I'll let you know tomorrow. Have nothing to lose by showing up. My airline's flight leaves 2 1/2 hours later.
Send one of us a PM of the flight details and we can double check if you're comfortable with that. I'll do it if you like.
05-08-2020, 06:51 PM
#15
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Joined APC: Mar 2017
Posts: 588
Originally Posted by navigatro
if it's capped out then it is more likely going to be cancelled (not sold out.)
05-09-2020, 05:00 AM
#16
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Joined APC: Jul 2008
Posts: 4,928
I'm on flight. Agent put me in flight deck because flight had 79 passengers which is cap. Flight attendant put me in one of rows in back. You guys are great. Thank you.
It's good to see a flight at capped capacity. Hopefully demand keeps going up.
It's good to see a flight at capped capacity. Hopefully demand keeps going up.
05-09-2020, 05:56 AM
#17
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Joined APC: Apr 2012
Position: 737 CA
Posts: 508
Jumpseat?
Originally Posted by hockeypilot44
I'm on flight. Agent put me in flight deck because flight had 79 passengers which is cap. Flight attendant put me in one of rows in back. You guys are great. Thank you.
It's good to see a flight at capped capacity. Hopefully demand keeps going up.
It's good to see a flight at capped capacity. Hopefully demand keeps going up.
Great to hear. I hope demand continues to climb as well for all of our sakes! Over 215k recorded passengers yesterday per the TSA. Nothing to be too excited about yet, but a slow and steady climb in the right direction.
05-09-2020, 12:37 PM
#18
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Joined APC: Feb 2018
Posts: 1,256
QUOTE=Burton78;3052213]Great to hear. I hope demand continues to climb as well for all of our sakes! Over 215k recorded passengers yesterday per the TSA. Nothing to be too excited about yet, but a slow and steady climb in the right direction.[/QUOTE]
Travelers are slowly returning. Yesterday's numbers were almost 2.5x the post-covid low number on Apr 14. For the last two weeks, the number of travelers has increased an average of 25% over the week before. If it were to continue to increase at that rate, we'd be at about 50% of last year by the first week of July.
The rest of this I posted on another thread:
I've been experimenting with charting different variables to see if there's any kind of correlation. I asked a guy with a masters in computer science from an Ivy League school to run a statistical analysis on some of the numbers. He used a "pair-wise Pearson correlation analysis" to evaluate the data.
The analysis found that there's no correlation at all between cumulative US covid deaths and traveler numbers. But, there is a mild negative correlation with daily new US covid cases (-.43) and a mild positive correlation with the number of US states that are open for business (.42). The scale is -1 to 1 with zero being no correlation. It goes without saying that correlation does not mean causation.
Here's the chart: blue (TSA traveler throughput), dark red (YOY change in throughput), yellow (daily new cases), green (number of states open). Yesterday, was the best day for traveler numbers since Mar 25 and the best YOY day since Mar 28. The numbers are continuing to improve.
ABCDE.jpg
Travelers are slowly returning. Yesterday's numbers were almost 2.5x the post-covid low number on Apr 14. For the last two weeks, the number of travelers has increased an average of 25% over the week before. If it were to continue to increase at that rate, we'd be at about 50% of last year by the first week of July.
The rest of this I posted on another thread:
I've been experimenting with charting different variables to see if there's any kind of correlation. I asked a guy with a masters in computer science from an Ivy League school to run a statistical analysis on some of the numbers. He used a "pair-wise Pearson correlation analysis" to evaluate the data.
The analysis found that there's no correlation at all between cumulative US covid deaths and traveler numbers. But, there is a mild negative correlation with daily new US covid cases (-.43) and a mild positive correlation with the number of US states that are open for business (.42). The scale is -1 to 1 with zero being no correlation. It goes without saying that correlation does not mean causation.
Here's the chart: blue (TSA traveler throughput), dark red (YOY change in throughput), yellow (daily new cases), green (number of states open). Yesterday, was the best day for traveler numbers since Mar 25 and the best YOY day since Mar 28. The numbers are continuing to improve.
ABCDE.jpg
05-09-2020, 02:26 PM
#19
At your mom's house
Joined APC: Jun 2008
Position: cpt 737
Posts: 2,679
At some point we'll have to stop limiting seats. We're already seeing artificially full flights.
I looked into the future on flights and end of may did not show limited seat numbers. Management did say they would evaluate every two weeks on this policy.
I looked into the future on flights and end of may did not show limited seat numbers. Management did say they would evaluate every two weeks on this policy.
05-09-2020, 05:45 PM
#20
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Joined APC: Mar 2017
Posts: 588
Originally Posted by hoover
At some point we'll have to stop limiting seats. We're already seeing artificially full flights.
I looked into the future on flights and end of may did not show limited seat numbers. Management did say they would evaluate every two weeks on this policy.
I looked into the future on flights and end of may did not show limited seat numbers. Management did say they would evaluate every two weeks on this policy.
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