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Spirit Now Sure As It Emerges From Bankruptcy


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Spirit Now Sure As It Emerges From Bankruptcy

Old 07-21-2025 | 10:42 AM
  #611  
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Trashing Frontier pilots as if they aren't in the midst of fighting for appropriate raises while preserving work rules is toxic. Glad you got your legacy job, but **** off with that toxic mindset.
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Old 07-21-2025 | 11:10 AM
  #612  
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Spirit, Frontier, and all other ULCCs were born based on using predatory pricing against the big 3. And they were extremely successful.
To combat the ULCCs, Delta came up with Song and United launched Ted - alter ego LCCs within each airline. Both were resounding failures.
At some point in 2012, Delta launched Basic Economy to compete on a limited basis with Spirit and Frontier. It was marginally successful. Then in 2016/7, both United and American launched Basic Economy. All 3 airlines returned the favor with predatory pricing against the ULCCs.
And Spirit hasn't turned a profit since 2019. The same with Frontier, except they finally turned a small profit in 2024. That won't last.
The ULCC model is dead, killed by Basic Economy.

What the ULCCs did was cause all airlines to lose money on passenger tickets. The reason why the big 3 are able to make a profit is their credit card programs. If not for that, they'd also be losing money.

The entire industry has changed and Spirit cannot reinvent itself enough to be profitable. The big 3 will price their Basic Economy product with both seats and price points where Spirit and Frontier (and JetBlue and Southwest) die a death of 1000 cuts. Spirit and Frontier don't have lucrative enough cargo and credit card contracts to make up for the passenger losses. (I can remember working a midwinter flight LAX-LHR on the 777 where we had a mid-teens pax load. I asked how much money we were losing on the flight - we weren't; the belly was full of profitable cargo).
This is a brutal business with razor thin margins. And right now, passenger margins are negative for almost every airline including the big 3.
Can Spirit suvive? I suppose if they stop flying to major cities and go with an Allegiant, Avelo or Breeze model of servicing secondary cities. As a much, much smaller airline. If they don't run out of money first.
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Old 07-21-2025 | 11:18 AM
  #613  
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Originally Posted by Stayontarget
As if they aren’t actively fighting to make that reality change. As if those pilots aren’t actively fighting to make their airline better against a management that isn’t.

Also I think Allegiant actually is. Not sure. Don’t care.
Only way to fix it is to leave. If enough leave, the rates will come up.
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Old 07-21-2025 | 11:24 AM
  #614  
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Originally Posted by LifetimeCFI
Trashing Frontier pilots as if they aren't in the midst of fighting for appropriate raises while preserving work rules is toxic. Glad you got your legacy job, but **** off with that toxic mindset.
I think we hit a sore spot. Guessing you are an ULCC pilot too. I fly my A321 for Delta for $365.88 an hour as a year 3 Captain. Your year 12 Captains do it for $270. I get a very large profit sharing check on V Day every year. Your pilots don't. I work for a company that values me. Your pilots don't. I chose to leave a sh!t stain airline that didn't value me, you and many other like you chose to stay. We fly the same airways and the same aircraft to the same cities. Your pilots just do it for about half the compensation I make every day. Life is full of choices. Enjoy yours and I'll enjoy mine.

Last edited by GearedUp; 07-21-2025 at 11:59 AM.
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Old 07-21-2025 | 11:28 AM
  #615  
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Originally Posted by Andy
Spirit, Frontier, and all other ULCCs were born based on using predatory pricing against the big 3. And they were extremely successful.
To combat the ULCCs, Delta came up with Song and United launched Ted - alter ego LCCs within each airline. Both were resounding failures.
At some point in 2012, Delta launched Basic Economy to compete on a limited basis with Spirit and Frontier. It was marginally successful. Then in 2016/7, both United and American launched Basic Economy. All 3 airlines returned the favor with predatory pricing against the ULCCs.
And Spirit hasn't turned a profit since 2019. The same with Frontier, except they finally turned a small profit in 2024. That won't last.
The ULCC model is dead, killed by Basic Economy.

What the ULCCs did was cause all airlines to lose money on passenger tickets. The reason why the big 3 are able to make a profit is their credit card programs. If not for that, they'd also be losing money.

The entire industry has changed and Spirit cannot reinvent itself enough to be profitable. The big 3 will price their Basic Economy product with both seats and price points where Spirit and Frontier (and JetBlue and Southwest) die a death of 1000 cuts. Spirit and Frontier don't have lucrative enough cargo and credit card contracts to make up for the passenger losses. (I can remember working a midwinter flight LAX-LHR on the 777 where we had a mid-teens pax load. I asked how much money we were losing on the flight - we weren't; the belly was full of profitable cargo).
This is a brutal business with razor thin margins. And right now, passenger margins are negative for almost every airline including the big 3.
Can Spirit suvive? I suppose if they stop flying to major cities and go with an Allegiant, Avelo or Breeze model of servicing secondary cities. As a much, much smaller airline. If they don't run out of money first.
Buy this man a beer! He gets it! Spirit built a business model that relies on customers with Fico scores of 430 to be tricked into taking the $37.00 ticket from Baltimore to Vegas only to realize that there were $150.00 of hidden fees afterwards. With the Dodge Charger repo on their Equifax report, they won't qualify for the yellow credit card. People with jobs and self respect will never fly Spirit to a business meeting. Nor will they redeem any miles to go on vacation to Hawaii and Europe. Spirit management boxed themselves into a corner and now are out of options. Like Kirby said, the ULCC's got big enough to where they needed repeat customers but now they don't have any.
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Old 07-21-2025 | 11:40 AM
  #616  
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Originally Posted by Andy
The ULCC model is dead, killed by Basic Economy.
United is increasing Basic Economy. From the earnings call when asked about if Basic Economy was going to expand.

"I think, ultimately, when we report more penetration of basic economy passengers in our numbers for the next 90 days this quarter. So expect a higher percentage of basic is my take."
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Old 07-21-2025 | 11:40 AM
  #617  
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Originally Posted by Andy
Spirit, Frontier, and all other ULCCs were born based on using predatory pricing against the big 3. And they were extremely successful.
To combat the ULCCs, Delta came up with Song and United launched Ted - alter ego LCCs within each airline. Both were resounding failures.
At some point in 2012, Delta launched Basic Economy to compete on a limited basis with Spirit and Frontier. It was marginally successful. Then in 2016/7, both United and American launched Basic Economy. All 3 airlines returned the favor with predatory pricing against the ULCCs.
And Spirit hasn't turned a profit since 2019. The same with Frontier, except they finally turned a small profit in 2024. That won't last.
The ULCC model is dead, killed by Basic Economy.

What the ULCCs did was cause all airlines to lose money on passenger tickets. The reason why the big 3 are able to make a profit is their credit card programs. If not for that, they'd also be losing money.

The entire industry has changed and Spirit cannot reinvent itself enough to be profitable. The big 3 will price their Basic Economy product with both seats and price points where Spirit and Frontier (and JetBlue and Southwest) die a death of 1000 cuts. Spirit and Frontier don't have lucrative enough cargo and credit card contracts to make up for the passenger losses. (I can remember working a midwinter flight LAX-LHR on the 777 where we had a mid-teens pax load. I asked how much money we were losing on the flight - we weren't; the belly was full of profitable cargo).
This is a brutal business with razor thin margins. And right now, passenger margins are negative for almost every airline including the big 3.
Can Spirit suvive? I suppose if they stop flying to major cities and go with an Allegiant, Avelo or Breeze model of servicing secondary cities. As a much, much smaller airline. If they don't run out of money first.
No airline made any money in 2024 moving people. It all came from the credit card programs. This is where Spirit is at the biggest disadvantage. That and a lack of a premium product. The Big Front Seats that don't recline aren't gonna get it done I'm afraid. Spirit is running out of money and out of time. The NEO will ultimately be the final nail in the coffin for them. Those aircraft parked in PHX will eventually get new engines, but not in time to save spirit from a Chapter 7.
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Old 07-21-2025 | 11:42 AM
  #618  
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Originally Posted by FriendlyPilot
United is increasing Basic Economy. From the earnings call when asked about if Basic Economy was going to expand.

"I think, ultimately, when we report more penetration of basic economy passengers in our numbers for the next 90 days this quarter. So expect a higher percentage of basic is my take."
American did Project Oasis on there B737 and A321 fleets during Covid. Now they are doing it to their A320 and A319 fleets. This is what killed Spirit Off in their DFW ORD and MIA hubs.
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Old 07-21-2025 | 11:47 AM
  #619  
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Originally Posted by GearedUp
At worst, Spirit ceases operations this fall when it runs out of cash and sources for additional funding. You now will get to apply with the other 2,000 pilots that decided to ride this thing into the side of the mountain.
Actually based on the current data Spirit won't run out of cash until August 2026...
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Old 07-21-2025 | 11:49 AM
  #620  
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Originally Posted by GearedUp
I think we hit a sore spot. Guessing you are an ULCC pilot too. I fly my A321 for Delta for $365.88 an hour as a year 5 Captain. Your year 12 Captains do it for $270. I get a very large profit sharing check on V Day every year. Your pilots don't. I work for a company that values me. Your pilots don't. I chose to leave a sh!t stain airline that didn't value me, you and many other like you chose to stay. We fly the same airways and the same aircraft to the same cities. Your pilots just do it for about half the compensation I make every day. Life is full of choices. Enjoy yours and I'll enjoy mine.
Year 5 captain? You didn't start at Delta until 2023...
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