Boeing studies pilotless planes...
#31
#33
Banned
Joined APC: Feb 2007
Posts: 461
#35
#38
Originally Posted by esa17
We, absolutely, will see single pilot 121 operations within 25 years.
You'll see single-pilot heavy military transports and Part 91-operated business jets WELL before you see single-piloted transport aircraft operating under 121...and after decades of single-pilot FAR 23 light jets, there still aren't any single-pilot certified FAR 25 bizjets.
25 years is an eternity in this business so we'll see...but I'll not yet be 60 in two and a half decades and I'm not concerned it.
#39
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Jun 2008
Posts: 273
You'll see single-pilot heavy military transports and Part 91-operated business jets WELL before you see single-piloted transport aircraft operating under 121...and after decades of single-pilot FAR 23 light jets, there still aren't any single-pilot certified FAR 25 bizjets.
25 years is an eternity in this business so we'll see...but I'll not yet be 60 in two and a half decades and I'm not concerned it.
25 years is an eternity in this business so we'll see...but I'll not yet be 60 in two and a half decades and I'm not concerned it.
As much as people say: "I'll never trust a computer with my life." They're just spouting off, that psychological leap has already been made. Autopilots in cars was pretty much the final thing that needed to happen before the public is ready to board and single pilot, data-linked aircraft. As soon as the accountants and insurance agents can justify it you'll see it start to happen.
#40
:-)
Joined APC: Feb 2007
Posts: 7,339
Honestly, I don't see self driving cars as happening in our lifetimes. There are simply too many variables that have to be processed, and decided upon too quickly, in an uncontrolled environment, for it to be viable. People want to get drunk, and then have their car drive them home, and that isn't going to happen.
A self flying aircraft however, is enormously simplistic to make. I even have my own that I built last year, you just program in waypoints, and it flies itself. You don't remove the pilot from the equation, and self flying aircraft will generate a series of optimized routes, and the human technician decides which one the aircraft flies. The reason we can't do this now, is because the ATC system requires cross verification of instructions, that a computer simply can't do. Furthermore, the ground based navigation systems are too unreliable to use as a reference, this is simply replaced with on board navigation based on doppler shift lidar. All of this can be retrofitted.
The reason I say we will see single pilot soon is because the aircraft are already made, and currently in service, they just need FAA certification to remove one pilot.
A self flying aircraft however, is enormously simplistic to make. I even have my own that I built last year, you just program in waypoints, and it flies itself. You don't remove the pilot from the equation, and self flying aircraft will generate a series of optimized routes, and the human technician decides which one the aircraft flies. The reason we can't do this now, is because the ATC system requires cross verification of instructions, that a computer simply can't do. Furthermore, the ground based navigation systems are too unreliable to use as a reference, this is simply replaced with on board navigation based on doppler shift lidar. All of this can be retrofitted.
The reason I say we will see single pilot soon is because the aircraft are already made, and currently in service, they just need FAA certification to remove one pilot.
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