Agreement in Principle
#471
Not sure what you're getting at. And maybe I'm missing the point, late on a Saturday night. Can you explain? If you're being sarcastic and I'm just missing it, please forgive me.
#472
Gets Weekends Off
Joined: Mar 2006
Posts: 1,112
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From: SFO Guppy CA
No... the reality is the that contract doesn't specifically prohibit that behavior. And nowhere in the contract does it say you cannot cross a picket line. Don't expect the contract to lay out everything you cannot do.
Not sure what you're getting at. And maybe I'm missing the point, late on a Saturday night. Can you explain? If you're being sarcastic and I'm just missing it, please forgive me.
Not sure what you're getting at. And maybe I'm missing the point, late on a Saturday night. Can you explain? If you're being sarcastic and I'm just missing it, please forgive me.
#473
I’m sure there are way more than a few who would have zero shame behaving disrespectfully toward their furloughed brethren. And there’s nothing that could have been done. If this passes that HUUUUUUUGE elephant will have been removed from the room.
#474
Gets Weekends Off
Joined: Aug 2008
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From: 787 Captain
As far as PP and picking up open time, should there be any restraint or consideration for our B scale and C scale brethren? If they need more reserve days available to cover the flying with SC and FSBs I'm sure we'd have folks who would be willing to bid more days and have a high guarantee.
#475
Line Holder
Joined: Jul 2014
Posts: 872
Likes: 32
Just curious how you fared during the merger being out on furlough? Do you think you would have done better on the property, even at a lower MPG with 10 years of longevity instead of the 3-4 you probably had? I bet if you were 2,000 numbers more senior, you’d have a lot more choices than you do now.
I believe that this environment will trigger more consolidation and the only airlines we are likely to acquire are JB, AS, F9, or Spirit. If so, those airlines are unlikely to have large numbers of pilots on furlough, if any. The short term pain would be nothing compared to finding out that you are being merged in with a 2015 JB/AS/F9/Spirit hire because our 3,000 furloughs are being jammed in at the bottom. Most of those airlines have a MUCH younger pilot group. I personally, don’t want to end up in a merger where the pilot right ahead of me was hired years after me at another airline, and is 7 years younger than me, and then multiply that by 1,500 or more pilots.
I’d also like to be at an airline that if things change quickly, we can respond quickly, or we can let the other airlines just take that market share permanently possibly. Southwest has come out publicly saying they want to do just this.
I’m not saying I’m voting yes, because I haven’t seen it. But I don’t believe this is a B scale TA because air travel is about 1/3 of what it was 8 month ago, in case you didn’t know. We have less flying and we need to understand that. I respect your wanting to defend the contract, but its the ability to adapt that is going to be required to still be working at the same airline in 5 years.
We have two choices...maintain the status quo, which was a contract not designed for a worldwide travel stopping pandemic, or negotiate some things that benefit us in the long-term. I am willing to see what the details are, and if we all vote no, that’s fine, but we have to understand that it may give us a few more dollars now, but a few years from now it may cost us a lot more.
I believe that this environment will trigger more consolidation and the only airlines we are likely to acquire are JB, AS, F9, or Spirit. If so, those airlines are unlikely to have large numbers of pilots on furlough, if any. The short term pain would be nothing compared to finding out that you are being merged in with a 2015 JB/AS/F9/Spirit hire because our 3,000 furloughs are being jammed in at the bottom. Most of those airlines have a MUCH younger pilot group. I personally, don’t want to end up in a merger where the pilot right ahead of me was hired years after me at another airline, and is 7 years younger than me, and then multiply that by 1,500 or more pilots.
I’d also like to be at an airline that if things change quickly, we can respond quickly, or we can let the other airlines just take that market share permanently possibly. Southwest has come out publicly saying they want to do just this.
I’m not saying I’m voting yes, because I haven’t seen it. But I don’t believe this is a B scale TA because air travel is about 1/3 of what it was 8 month ago, in case you didn’t know. We have less flying and we need to understand that. I respect your wanting to defend the contract, but its the ability to adapt that is going to be required to still be working at the same airline in 5 years.
We have two choices...maintain the status quo, which was a contract not designed for a worldwide travel stopping pandemic, or negotiate some things that benefit us in the long-term. I am willing to see what the details are, and if we all vote no, that’s fine, but we have to understand that it may give us a few more dollars now, but a few years from now it may cost us a lot more.
If we do furlough 3900 the airline isn't going to magically be crushing it 5 years from now. A lot of left seats will be nb fo and junior in BES for a long time. I also suspect a merger to not only quickly grow but to get around our base requirements and instructor requirements in the contract. IMO we are all going to feel it no matter who we blame.
#476
Gets Weekends Off
Joined: Aug 2008
Posts: 1,512
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From: 787 Captain
Well said. Devil is in the details (which we don't know) but the same people that are saying "we have seen this before" are acting like infants. You're not changing opinions or mentoring but just doing managements bidding by dividing the group. Someone called the furloughs "chaff".
If we do furlough 3900 the airline isn't going to magically be crushing it 5 years from now. A lot of left seats will be nb fo and junior in BES for a long time. I also suspect a merger to not only quickly grow but to get around our base requirements and instructor requirements in the contract. IMO we are all going to feel it no matter who we blame.
If we do furlough 3900 the airline isn't going to magically be crushing it 5 years from now. A lot of left seats will be nb fo and junior in BES for a long time. I also suspect a merger to not only quickly grow but to get around our base requirements and instructor requirements in the contract. IMO we are all going to feel it no matter who we blame.
Those of us who say 'we have seen this before' are not being infantile, we are trying to send you a warning. For example, you are leveraging the threat of a merger in order to justify support for this TA right? THAT IS EXACTLY HOW MANAGEMENT WANTS US TO THINK. They change the threat each time, but the game is the same.
Post 9/11 the immediate threat was bankruptcy and loss of a lucrative pension. They got us to voluntarily accept concessions to avoid those VERY REAL threats. We got screwed - management got wealthy.
During bankruptcy the new threat became the liquidation of the company or the 'spin off' of the entire Airbus fleet onto a separate certificate. They once again got us to voluntarily accept concessions to avoid those VERY REAL threats. We got screwed - management got wealthy.
The point of this is that if you chose a career as a professional airline pilot you must be willing to face VERY REAL threats. You are going to get screwed either way, so the only question is how it's going to happen. My lesson learned is that you have to call their bluff.
So yes, if we furlough a lot of pilots and then merge - damn near ALL of us will probably get screwed in the SLI process. But don't forget that the company has a lot to lose as well. Kirby has a lot on the line - he's a young CEO and is very competitive and concerned about his success. He saw first hand how benefits accrue to the entire enterprise when the pilot group is happy (or even complacent), now I'm expected to believe he's not concerned about the impact of ****ing off the only part of the pilot group that hasn't already gotten f'd? No way. I don't know how much $$$ he's willing to put behind it, but it's surely more than we know right now. He's a gambler and he knows that pilot groups ALMOST ALWAYS FOLD. We may only have a pair of 10s while he has a huge pile of chips on the table, but it's very possible that he has a pair of 9s.
If you don't say no to concessions now, then you never will. You might as well admit it and get comfortable with the impact it will have on the rest of your career, because Kirby knows it.
#478
Line Holder
Joined: Apr 2010
Posts: 740
Likes: 19
So yes, if we furlough a lot of pilots and then merge - damn near ALL of us will probably get screwed in the SLI process. But don't forget that the company has a lot to lose as well. Kirby has a lot on the line - he's a young CEO and is very competitive and concerned about his success. He saw first hand how benefits accrue to the entire enterprise when the pilot group is happy (or even complacent), now I'm expected to believe he's not concerned about the impact of ****ing off the only part of the pilot group that hasn't already gotten f'd? No way. I don't know how much $$$ he's willing to put behind it, but it's surely more than we know right now. He's a gambler and he knows that pilot groups ALMOST ALWAYS FOLD. We may only have a pair of 10s while he has a huge pile of chips on the table, but it's very possible that he has a pair of 9s.
If you don't say no to concessions now, then you never will. You might as well admit it and get comfortable with the impact it will have on the rest of your career, because Kirby knows it.
If you don't say no to concessions now, then you never will. You might as well admit it and get comfortable with the impact it will have on the rest of your career, because Kirby knows it.
We don't know any more than rumors about the TA yet so even if it's somewhat accurate there could be fine print that swings the needle firmly in one direction or another. We also don't know whether a recovery is going to drag out far longer, or about other wild cards like merger, CH-11 etc. For merger risks it would be miserable for us to dump about 3-4k pilots and join up with a group that's still whole and possibly averaging a decade or more younger than our average 20 year pilot. If we're temporarily dropping MPG but our value per hour of work is the same and there's a hard stop "snap back" date or something that's pretty ironclad (yeah I realize nothing is ironclad in a worst case scenario) I'd like to hear some level headed arguments either way after we all see the real language. I realize that is heresy for some. If my MPG is temporarily 30 or 50 (or whatever the number is) but I'm committed to a proportionally fewer number of work days, and it's tied to this specific emergency with a firm end date or trigger, that's a significantly different value to me than if I still work the same number of days as before.
The TLDR is blind FPLD is about as dumb as working for free out of the goodness of our hearts to save the day. Lets read the wording when it comes out and each make a rational decision after.
#479
As far as PP and picking up open time, should there be any restraint or consideration for our B scale and C scale brethren? If they need more reserve days available to cover the flying with SC and FSBs I'm sure we'd have folks who would be willing to bid more days and have a high guarantee.
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