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Old 10-30-2024 | 04:50 PM
  #111  
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Originally Posted by Bob Squad
Also in a similar situation to all these potential UAL hopefuls. I was hired at AA a year ago and never got the call despite UAL being my first choice - but hey, I had a job and I'm grateful. AA has been good so far but I've noticed the writing on the walls at AA. We've been shrinking in popular hubs, missing earnings, and hemorrhaging money ($143M this quarter) while still having a mountain of debt. It all points to trouble ahead. That combined with the union troubles and the push to join ALPA just makes me think the next contract might have concessions - I'm probably just being extremely paranoid. Overall I just don't feel confident. Moved recently from MIA to ORD and my seniority has been stagnant since we went on a hiring freeze this summer. UAL's presence here is much larger than AA's and it's the location I'd like to make long-term. The WB flying opportunities are also much better at UAL. I kept updating my app and was lucky to secure a CJO earlier this month. Still awaiting a class date but was wondering if the "stay where you are" dogma still applies if leaving American.

The plan is to focus on remaining in Chicago or possibly the West Coast in the future. I like the WB opportunities that UAL provides and I'm not confident in AA's finances, leadership, and aircraft fleet opportunities.
Not a thing point to concessions on the next contract. APA/ALPA situation is a healthy competition and will make things better one way or the other.
I also asked about UA because of Denver and I’m not blind to our AA issues, but no need to be so dramatic about it. Still a great place to be. Just the wrong management.
Aircraft fleet opportunities? Unless you wanna fly 75/76 which will be retired at some point…..the rest is identical, unless they do end up getting that pretty 350. WB flying…..no questions asked, UA is 100x better than AA.

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Old 10-30-2024 | 04:58 PM
  #112  
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Originally Posted by Bob Squad
Also in a similar situation to all these potential UAL hopefuls. I was hired at AA a year ago and never got the call despite UAL being my first choice - but hey, I had a job and I'm grateful. AA has been good so far but I've noticed the writing on the walls at AA. We've been shrinking in popular hubs, missing earnings, and hemorrhaging money ($143M this quarter) while still having a mountain of debt. It all points to trouble ahead. That combined with the union troubles and the push to join ALPA just makes me think the next contract might have concessions - I'm probably just being extremely paranoid. Overall I just don't feel confident. Moved recently from MIA to ORD and my seniority has been stagnant since we went on a hiring freeze this summer. UAL's presence here is much larger than AA's and it's the location I'd like to make long-term. The WB flying opportunities are also much better at UAL. I kept updating my app and was lucky to secure a CJO earlier this month. Still awaiting a class date but was wondering if the "stay where you are" dogma still applies if leaving American.

The plan is to focus on remaining in Chicago or possibly the West Coast in the future. I like the WB opportunities that UAL provides and I'm not confident in AA's finances, leadership, and aircraft fleet opportunities.
FWIW UAL has made dramatic progress in taking market share from AA in Chicago. The fundamentals are overwhelmingly in UALs favor so I see little chance it'll change. Kirby has been vocal about dominating ORD, so things will probably get worse for AA. Tough choice, but UAL is probably your better long game choice.
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Old 10-30-2024 | 05:38 PM
  #113  
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Originally Posted by at6d
1.5 years at SWA is very different than 10 years at SWA. I would have to consider as well.
You’ve been at SWA for 10 years?
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Old 10-30-2024 | 05:52 PM
  #114  
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Originally Posted by Bob Squad
Also in a similar situation to all these potential UAL hopefuls. I was hired at AA a year ago and never got the call despite UAL being my first choice - but hey, I had a job and I'm grateful. AA has been good so far but I've noticed the writing on the walls at AA. We've been shrinking in popular hubs, missing earnings, and hemorrhaging money ($143M this quarter) while still having a mountain of debt. It all points to trouble ahead. That combined with the union troubles and the push to join ALPA just makes me think the next contract might have concessions - I'm probably just being extremely paranoid. Overall I just don't feel confident. Moved recently from MIA to ORD and my seniority has been stagnant since we went on a hiring freeze this summer. UAL's presence here is much larger than AA's and it's the location I'd like to make long-term. The WB flying opportunities are also much better at UAL. I kept updating my app and was lucky to secure a CJO earlier this month. Still awaiting a class date but was wondering if the "stay where you are" dogma still applies if leaving American.

The plan is to focus on remaining in Chicago or possibly the West Coast in the future. I like the WB opportunities that UAL provides and I'm not confident in AA's finances, leadership, and aircraft fleet opportunities.
AA is not DAL. You're not the only AA pilot looking to go to United in the same base. It may be worth going to UAL but you'll have a better ability to judge how much you're giving up once the actual class date at UAL is assigned. How old are you? Are you going to be able to be a WB CA at AA? If not, but young enough to be one at UAL, the switch for that alone could be worth it depending on how important retiring as a WB CA is for you. AA does have better WB reserve rules than UAL (6 rollable days off each month for Global reserve) UAL is more profitable and has other opportunities available in the Chicago area besides flying the line.
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Old 10-30-2024 | 06:59 PM
  #115  
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Originally Posted by AbjectFutility
FWIW UAL has made dramatic progress in taking market share from AA in Chicago. The fundamentals are overwhelmingly in UALs favor so I see little chance it'll change. Kirby has been vocal about dominating ORD, so things will probably get worse for AA. Tough choice, but UAL is probably your better long game choice.
I would say that it is more like AA gave up its market share instead of UA taking it away. The price of ORD is too much for the penny pinchers in Skyview 6 and they wrongly decided to stuff too much through CLT and DFW. Now it looks like they may be changing their tune a bit by opening an ORD Airbus base and slightly growing the number of pilots. But yeah, UA gladly stepped in to fill the void that AA voluntarily gave up.
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Old 10-30-2024 | 07:10 PM
  #116  
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Originally Posted by ImSoSuss
I would say that it is more like AA gave up its market share instead of UA taking it away. The price of ORD is too much for the penny pinchers in Skyview 6 and they wrongly decided to stuff too much through CLT and DFW. Now it looks like they may be changing their tune a bit by opening an ORD Airbus base and slightly growing the number of pilots. But yeah, UA gladly stepped in to fill the void that AA voluntarily gave up.
You seem sensitive about this. Is everything ok?
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Old 10-30-2024 | 07:20 PM
  #117  
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Originally Posted by AbjectFutility
You seem sensitive about this. Is everything ok?
I would say the one who is overly sensitive is the person who totally took my post the wrong way. It’s a factual post, nothing to do with you personally Francis.
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Old 10-31-2024 | 04:59 AM
  #118  
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The S-curve effect is a phenomenon in airline competition that describes how a dominant airline can attract more passengers than expected with additional frequency. This is because service-oriented passengers, like business travelers, tend to favor airlines with a more frequent flight schedule.

The S-curve effect can be measured by using frequency share on the x-axis, which is the driver of preference for time-sensitive travelers. The effect can be seen at both the airport and route level.

Airlines can use the S-curve effect to their advantage by building dominant positions at airports and on routes. For example, Delta has a strong S-curve position in Atlanta, Detroit, Minneapolis, New York, and Seattle. In these markets, Delta has a far larger scope and depth of service than its competitors, which means that business travelers tend to choose Delta almost exclusively.

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Old 10-31-2024 | 05:48 AM
  #119  
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My air line >>> your airline

Until a pilot group gets a contract that limits working to 2 days a month and staying at all inclusive 5 star hotels with naked models in the room, all pretzels is the same.
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Old 10-31-2024 | 06:32 AM
  #120  
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Originally Posted by jerryleber
The S-curve effect is a phenomenon in airline competition that describes how a dominant airline can attract more passengers than expected with additional frequency. This is because service-oriented passengers, like business travelers, tend to favor airlines with a more frequent flight schedule.

The S-curve effect can be measured by using frequency share on the x-axis, which is the driver of preference for time-sensitive travelers. The effect can be seen at both the airport and route level.

Airlines can use the S-curve effect to their advantage by building dominant positions at airports and on routes. For example, Delta has a strong S-curve position in Atlanta, Detroit, Minneapolis, New York, and Seattle. In these markets, Delta has a far larger scope and depth of service than its competitors, which means that business travelers tend to choose Delta almost exclusively.

I’ve never seen this, that is extremely interesting. Maybe I should have gotten that degree in aviation management…
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