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Old 06-17-2013 | 07:01 AM
  #61  
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Originally Posted by AxlF16
Please tell me about your growth plans. Were you planning big 737 growth in EWR? Maybe turning CLE into a super hub? Maybe there was going to be a massive push in IAH? Just don't tell me it was going to GUM... Or better yet, maybe you were planning a frontal assault on UAL by opening hubs in ORD, DEN, and LAX! Being a new, albeit bit, player in STAR you do understand the ramifications of that when it comes to competition w/UAL right? Maybe you would've made a move to become the dominant player in STAR....?

Remember, I'm not saying CAL was going to die on the vine (not even Smisek is stupid enough to let that happen), but you need to get real about your strategic position per-merger. For example, do you REALLY believe that UAL wouldn't have replaced our parked guppies with mainline jets if consolidation (specifically DL/NW) was pushed into the future?? Can you really not grasp the concept that UAL chose to carry (for a limited time) a non-sustainable fleet mix for strategic reasons? It is my STRONG belief that you ALL understand that but are trying to take advantage of your fleeting good fortune. At my expense I must add.
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Old 06-17-2013 | 07:10 AM
  #62  
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Originally Posted by Staller
Not at all cal was in bad shape and was looking for money. Do a little research.
You lose credibility when you post stuff like that.
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Old 06-17-2013 | 07:14 AM
  #63  
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Originally Posted by AxlF16
Please tell me about your growth plans. Were you planning big 737 growth in EWR? Maybe turning CLE into a super hub? Maybe there was going to be a massive push in IAH? Just don't tell me it was going to GUM... Or better yet, maybe you were planning a frontal assault on UAL by opening hubs in ORD, DEN, and LAX! Being a new, albeit bit, player in STAR you do understand the ramifications of that when it comes to competition w/UAL right? Maybe you would've made a move to become the dominant player in STAR....?

Remember, I'm not saying CAL was going to die on the vine (not even Smisek is stupid enough to let that happen), but you need to get real about your strategic position per-merger. For example, do you REALLY believe that UAL wouldn't have replaced our parked guppies with mainline jets if consolidation (specifically DL/NW) was pushed into the future?? Can you really not grasp the concept that UAL chose to carry (for a limited time) a non-sustainable fleet mix for strategic reasons? It is my STRONG belief that you ALL understand that but are trying to take advantage of your fleeting good fortune. At my expense I must add.
Glenn is on record in 2010 saying that he was looking at 737 replacements.... BEFORE the merger, but after they were parked

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Old 06-17-2013 | 08:29 AM
  #64  
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Originally Posted by AxlF16
For example, do you REALLY believe that UAL wouldn't have replaced our parked guppies with mainline jets if consolidation (specifically DL/NW) was pushed into the future?? Can you really not grasp the concept that UAL chose to carry (for a limited time) a non-sustainable fleet mix for strategic reasons? It is my STRONG belief that you ALL understand that but are trying to take advantage of your fleeting good fortune. At my expense I must add.
This is one of the lamest arguments of the entire SLI mess. The argument that UAL had routes that supported mainline flying but that Glenn Tilton was going to wait until a merger happened to service the flying is completely ridiculous.

The supposed logic is that it would not make sense to order a NB aircraft before knowing whether or not UAL would merge with a A320 or 737 operator. In the meantime, UAL is already operating 100+ A320 with a good many years left in them. Therefore, no matter who UAL merged with, there was going to be an A320 fleet for sometime. If UAL merged with US, the combined would have a huge A320 fleet. If they merged with CAL, there would be an A320 and 737 fleet. Does that sound familiar? Yes, it does, because that is exactly what we have today. Therefore, why not just order 100 A320's. Where is the harm? Better yet, buy some of the used ones that were in the market from failed airlines.

Oh, and it is so illogical to operate two similar fleet types, that Glenn Tilton, in all his wisdom, went out and order 787's and A350's. BRILLIANT!!
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Old 06-17-2013 | 08:48 AM
  #65  
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I for one don't subscribe to the lame theory that CAL wouldn't have been able to make it on it's own. Alaska is doing pretty well. Hawaiian is doing pretty well. CAL was growing organically. The only real competition at the time was DAL/NWA.

USAirways was pretty dysfunctional as was American.

United was on the verge of collapse. It may offend some out there, but I don't believe United would have made it another year or two if it were not for the merger with CAL. They brought nothing to the table that couldn't have been bought for pennies on the dollar during the United liquidation, and could have helped us avoid most of the downside that came with merging with a decrepit dysfunctional airline.

There was a lot of opportunity for a scrappy well run airline like CAL to grow organically!
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Old 06-17-2013 | 08:48 AM
  #66  
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Originally Posted by Staller
cal would be lucky to be alive without UAL.
Originally Posted by Staller
Not at all cal was in bad shape and was looking for money. Do a little research.
Staller, your ignorance is showing.
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Old 06-17-2013 | 08:54 AM
  #67  
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Originally Posted by CALFO
Oh, and it is so illogical to operate two similar fleet types, that Glenn Tilton, in all his wisdom, went out and order 787's and A350's. BRILLIANT!!
I'm no fan of Glenn, but the 787-8s (219 pax) and A350-900s (>300 pax) that he ordered are very different aircraft in terms of capability and mission.
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Old 06-17-2013 | 08:57 AM
  #68  
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Originally Posted by tailwheel48
CAL was growing organically.
Except, of course, it wasn't.

Go ahead and take a look at the CAL fleet size (hint: it's in the annual reports) for the five, or even ten, years leading up to the merger in 2010.
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Old 06-17-2013 | 09:16 AM
  #69  
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Originally Posted by cadetdrivr
I'm no fan of Glenn, but the 787-8s (219 pax) and A350-900s (>300 pax) that he ordered are very different aircraft in terms of capability and mission.
Valid point. Given tilton's logic of keeping fleet types to a minimum, a 777-1000 order could have taken care of the 747 retirements. Further, ual could have just waited (as with the nb's) until boeing made a final decision on the stretch 787's.

Was anyone really a Glenn Tilton fan?
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Old 06-17-2013 | 09:17 AM
  #70  
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Originally Posted by tailwheel48
I for one don't subscribe to the lame theory that CAL wouldn't have been able to make it on it's own. Alaska is doing pretty well. Hawaiian is doing pretty well. CAL was growing organically. The only real competition at the time was DAL/NWA.

USAirways was pretty dysfunctional as was American.

United was on the verge of collapse. It may offend some out there, but I don't believe United would have made it another year or two if it were not for the merger with CAL. They brought nothing to the table that couldn't have been bought for pennies on the dollar during the United liquidation, and could have helped us avoid most of the downside that came with merging with a decrepit dysfunctional airline.

There was a lot of opportunity for a scrappy well run airline like CAL to grow organically!
So let me see if I can understand your point: Alaska and Hawaiian are doing just fine in the LITTLE glitch MARKETS WITHOUT exposure to outside competitive market forces, ie International Carriers on all premium routes. Care to also speculate on Alaska and Hawaiian COST structure if they had a international global fleet the size of United or CAL.
The rest of your argument really has no merit if you overlooked the obvious point above. I have heard the United has 30 days until liquidation statements before, that was over 10 years ago. As to UsAir, have you bother to look at their revenue in spite of all their labor integration issues. The fact that a DAL/NWA and AA/US are force to recon with I would not want to take a chance on a stand alone United or CAL. So we are where we are UA/CAL, and no speculation/prediction as to what could have or might have been means squat, cause we will never know.
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