Now you're just being deliberately obtuse. Take the info for what it is - unverified message board rumor - or leave it, but if you weren't intentionally misinterpreting their posts because they personally offend you for some reason you'd be able to see that the numbers have been consistent, albeit hedged against the unavoidable fact that the situation is constantly changing.

So like, guessing?

Even my monkey is laughing.


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Laughing monkeys are great! I've seen a few in my life. Very amusing. And each one smarter than this OTZ/MEA clown.

My actual number for furloughs this fall =
385... The number has been consistent the entire time. It has never changed, it has never been revised.

M said 2700 plus or minus 50 on the February 2020 seniority list. I think that is an excellent range, you could use that one too. I feel very confident in a number, and it is really specific....385

I have been asked how many total before mitigation?, How many letters?, How many if the plan defaults to a lower path? What will it look like? I have gotten a lot of PM’s and I have tried to explain all of this openly.

At this point NewGuy01, I would say, quit drinking the tap water in Wisconsin, buy bottled water! If that doesn’t help, ask a flight attendant to explain it to you, encourage them to go really slow!

Ok cool. The OTZ/MEA random number generator is now firmly predicting 385 precisely. Wait it could also be 2700 +/- 50 then subtracted from the 2020 seniority numbers.

Seems legit...


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Considering 2700 and we over 3050 sounds like the two numbers agree with each other. Not saying they're true but it makes sense. I'm still in the camp of at least 240+. We don't need 240 more Boeing pilots this fall or next summer on a already reduced Boeing schedule. Hopefully they tell us soon.

I’m gonna make this easy for everybody.

If you’re in the bottom 50% of the list, you might take notice and beef up that emergency fund Incase it’s worse than expected.

If you’re in the bottom 33% of the list, I’d be saving as much as you can every month because there’s a chance you may get a letter.

If you’re in the bottom 20%, save as much as possible because you may actually be furloughed. Figure out a plan B to keep you occupied/provide an income until you’re recalled and get to work on it.

Follow these rough guidelines and you shouldn’t have any real surprises come Oct. No one knows the actual numbers, but anything can happen. Plan for the worst and hope for the best.

Anything between 30-50% reduction for summer 2021 is also chapter 11 territory. More than 50%... no bueno.

Easy peasy. Done and done. Plan A and B are solid still working on the C plan.


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OTZ/M random calculator has always predicted the same number, I feel bad math is so hard for you.

385/ 2650-2750 SL #
It is honestly hard for me to believe you are really a pilot, so many things that are easy, seem so very difficult for you?

There is no one else on this board that thinks like you. You would not believe the positive PMs I get almost daily. I bet everyone on this board knows my numbers and M’s numbers have not changed since disseminated. You really appear unstable and scattered. You and hulk, keep playing with your monkeys, stay safe and be well.