E175 sfo
02-12-2021 | 06:45 AM
#61
Gets Weekends Off
Joined: Mar 2020
Posts: 537
Likes: 0
Ah, this is really embarrassing. So many smart people trying to re-invent the wheel 😂😂😂. Let’s make this really easy, there is a ZERO percent chance AS and QX merge, ZERO. There is a ZERO percent chance of QX getting 195s. We are getting MAX 7s, they will pay the same as a MAX 9s. All you chicken littles keep running around terrified, 747 to QX, 787 to QX... in five years you will have a new conspiracy I am sure. You can all sit around your campfires and tell ghost stories.
02-12-2021 | 11:47 AM
#62
Banned
Joined: May 2018
Posts: 1,241
Likes: 0
3 to 1, 76 seat max, will be in the next contract.
Saw some numbers this morning, this should display the power of single fleet. If we exercise every option, should have a seniority list of 3,250 in 2025. I believe those numbers had some section 25 synergies baked in also. Quick swag, that would have us probably hiring 60 fall of 2023, 150 or so in 2024, and probably 260 in 2025 and 200 in 2026. Pretty dark water we’re staring through, right now that’s best case scenario also. 3,360 in 2026 as it looks right now.
Last edited by OTZeagle1; 02-12-2021 at 12:26 PM.
02-12-2021 | 12:39 PM
#64
Banned
Joined: May 2018
Posts: 1,241
Likes: 0
3 to 1, 76 seat max, will be in the next contract.
Saw some numbers this morning, this should display the power of single fleet. If we exercise every option, should have a seniority list of 3,250 in 2025. I believe those numbers had some section 25 synergies baked in also. Quick swag, that would have us probably hiring 60 fall of 2023, 150 or so in 2024, and probably 260 in 2025 and 200 in 2026. Pretty dark water we’re staring through, right now that’s best case scenario also. 3,360 in 2026 as it looks right now.
Saw some numbers this morning, this should display the power of single fleet. If we exercise every option, should have a seniority list of 3,250 in 2025. I believe those numbers had some section 25 synergies baked in also. Quick swag, that would have us probably hiring 60 fall of 2023, 150 or so in 2024, and probably 260 in 2025 and 200 in 2026. Pretty dark water we’re staring through, right now that’s best case scenario also. 3,360 in 2026 as it looks right now.
02-12-2021 | 01:24 PM
#66
Line Holder
Joined: Feb 2015
Posts: 87
Likes: 0
From: Back of the Bus
02-12-2021 | 02:43 PM
#67
Banned
Joined: May 2018
Posts: 1,241
Likes: 0
AS expects to take every option, there is a little flexibility built in the order, approximately 24 mos... which would push us towards 2028 to 287 aircraft. Good news 2027, 2028, 2029 are large retirement years. If current trends are true, +-260 will go over those three years. So if the options slip 24 mo’s, hiring projections may not as much as one would expect normally. Planning for this summer has been problematic, so planing 6-8 years out of something like this is difficult at best. Just giving everyone an idea. Obviously, I hope it’s way off. All things considered though, I think it will be pretty accurate. Many have asked... I would expect about 90ish E175’s in Alaska colors 2026-2028 timeframe.
Last edited by OTZeagle1; 02-12-2021 at 03:02 PM.
02-12-2021 | 07:54 PM
#69
Gets Weekends Off
Joined: Dec 2005
Posts: 9,348
Likes: 331
While I am not doubting the airplane/fleet predictions, I am reminded how in 2015/2016 everyone was saying starting 2020 and onwards would be the biggest hiring spree known to pilotkind, massive retirements, growth, etc. Then of course Covid came and things went haywire. Who knows what will happen. It does seem that about every 10 yrs there is a “serious” event in the industry. I really hope that Covid is the event for the 2020 decade (as in 2022-2029 go smoothly).
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