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Old 02-02-2026 | 05:40 AM
  #121  
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Originally Posted by Jetlikespeed
5 involuntary and we’d have to count by hand but it was 5 total out of 82 captain displacements

the bid total had 102 captain vaccines but that means 25 senior FOs were senior to those captains that’s why they got downgraded at AS there’s no already in seat protection. When we have a postion bid it just Stright seniorty

however if you are involuntary displaced or downgraded there is no seat lock

normal seat lock for upgrade or downgrade is 2 years
Originally Posted by GoodJet
I can’t be bothered to check but I believe that 40 captains and 40 FOs were displaced out of SFO and LAX on the last bid. This will occur again in 2026 to fill the remaining vacancies in SAN. To what extent no one knows.
Ok. Thanks. 5 involuntary doesn’t sound bad, but as you say it’s only a part of the story.
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Old 02-02-2026 | 06:44 AM
  #122  
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Originally Posted by PineappleXpres
Ok. Thanks. 5 involuntary doesn’t sound bad, but as you say it’s only a part of the story.
there is another bid in a few months to grow the San base, will be another 12% about in each sfo and lax an email in Dec said Shrik lax and sfo by 20-25% over 2 bids but we don’t know if there will be more captain vaccines like in the last one in this next SAN bid.

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Old 02-02-2026 | 06:57 AM
  #123  
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Originally Posted by Jetlikespeed
5 involuntary and we’d have to count by hand but it was 5 total out of 82 captain displacements

the bid total had 102 captain vaccines but that means 25 senior FOs were senior to those captains that’s why they got downgraded at AS there’s no already in seat protection. When we have a postion bid it just Stright seniorty

however if you are involuntary displaced or downgraded there is no seat lock

normal seat lock for upgrade or downgrade is 2 years
That’s not quite correct. Involuntary downgrades can only happen when there’s a reduction. Normal bid FOs can’t displace captains.
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Old 02-02-2026 | 08:10 AM
  #124  
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Originally Posted by word302
That’s not quite correct. Involuntary downgrades can only happen when there’s a reduction. Normal bid FOs can’t displace captains.
Correct. Even if you're senior to some captains, you can only bid for vacant CA slots. 5 CA vacancies means the five most (global) senior bidders get them (whether current CA's or senior FO's), and that's it, even if 500 people bid for the slots.

SAN opening did not cause any downgrades, it was the reductions in LAX/SFO that did that.
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Old 02-02-2026 | 08:57 AM
  #125  
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Originally Posted by rickair7777
Correct. Even if you're senior to some captains, you can only bid for vacant CA slots. 5 CA vacancies means the five most (global) senior bidders get them (whether current CA's or senior FO's), and that's it, even if 500 people bid for the slots.

SAN opening did not cause any downgrades, it was the reductions in LAX/SFO that did that.
We have another round of LAX/SFO reductions to go with a targeted October effective date.
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Old 02-02-2026 | 09:25 AM
  #126  
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Originally Posted by GoodJet
We have another round of LAX/SFO reductions to go with a targeted October effective date.
Also about 40 more SAN CA's? My swag is that there aren't going to be enough senior FO's come out of the woodwork to displace anyone else from the left seat, assuming they're willing to commute for that sweet $ and junior schedules.
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Old 02-02-2026 | 09:40 AM
  #127  
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Originally Posted by rickair7777
Also about 40 more SAN CA's? My swag is that there aren't going to be enough senior FO's come out of the woodwork to displace anyone else from the left seat, assuming they're willing to commute for that sweet $ and junior schedules.
I have zero predictions regarding downgrades this time around. 2026 we did see downgrades but thankfully it hasn’t been bad so far. However, I’m slowly watching that cliff getting closer and closer. It would be nice to see this trend reverse but I have zero datapoints to show that will happen this year or next.
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Old 02-02-2026 | 10:04 AM
  #128  
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Originally Posted by GoodJet
I have zero predictions regarding downgrades this time around. 2026 we did see downgrades but thankfully it hasn’t been bad so far. However, I’m slowly watching that cliff getting closer and closer. It would be nice to see this trend reverse but I have zero datapoints to show that will happen this year or next.
don’t forget my data point the 36 max 10s in 27 in which training would need to start late 26🤪🤪😛😛
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Old 02-02-2026 | 10:14 AM
  #129  
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Originally Posted by Jetlikespeed
don’t forget my data point the 36 max 10s in 27 in which training would need to start late 26🤪🤪😛😛
I'm awaiting certification of the aircraft and completion of the MAX 10 line at PAE before I start celebrating.
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Old 02-02-2026 | 12:19 PM
  #130  
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Originally Posted by GoodJet
I'm awaiting certification of the aircraft and completion of the MAX 10 line at PAE before I start celebrating.
I’m curios when the q4 10-Q comes out if they still plan36 or if it stated to slide already
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