Thoughts on Bailouts?
#31
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Sep 2016
Posts: 774
Last time, when the banks were collapsing into themselves, they were getting told to merge with others, or go out of business.
Dont be surprised to see some forced marriages of the weakest carriers into others. You could easily see JBlue, Alaska and others get forced marriages with larger carriers as a requirement of a bailout. It could get that bad.
Dont be surprised to see some forced marriages of the weakest carriers into others. You could easily see JBlue, Alaska and others get forced marriages with larger carriers as a requirement of a bailout. It could get that bad.
One could argue that deals aren't pursued more often because of the threat of the DOJ, which would keep the industry more venerable.
So, consumer needs "protecting" during goodtimes, and taxpayer completely not responsible during bad times.
To the publics credit, billions have been totally squandered since 2014.
#32
Banned
Joined APC: Jun 2018
Posts: 1,838
The airlines are the size that they are because the vast majority of people want to fly, not because they really need to. Businesses prefer a face to face meeting and a handshake, but the same meeting could be held with a teleconference. People enjoy vacation travel, but there really isn’t a need to go sit on a beach in the Caribbean. Most of us are employed because the public prefers to buy our services, not because the world will stop spinning if global aviation gets cut in half. This is hitting the travel industry hard. It is also hitting other industries hard. Should bailouts go to concert halls, restaurants, convention centers, etc, as well? Where would it stop? Demand will return at some point. The market will direct the industry how to react to what ever the new normal is.
#34
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Jun 2014
Posts: 589
true...but almost every freaking economist in the world warned of the stupidity of so much stock buybacks, especially in an industry as fickle as the airline industry. If they start lecturing on seat size, baggage fees and ticket cost then that would be stupid. Thats just plain ol capitalism, supply and demand....airline travel is essential to inter intrastate and world commerce and has been well researched and study. I just flew 35 people to SJO and no lie 10 locals asked me how many we had on board before we got on the van. Its devasting to a country like C.R if there was no air travel.
#35
Get off your high horse, you don’t even have the common decency to notice other people will be suffering and believe yourself to be better than them because you’re a pilot. Karma’s a B.
#36
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Nov 2016
Position: 6th place
Posts: 1,826
You’re calling me out for standing up for waiters, desk clerks and other non pilots?
Get off your high horse, you don’t even have the common decency to notice other people will be suffering and believe yourself to be better than them because you’re a pilot. Karma’s a B.
Get off your high horse, you don’t even have the common decency to notice other people will be suffering and believe yourself to be better than them because you’re a pilot. Karma’s a B.
I don’t know wtf you’re talking about. I have empathy for everyone. But i do know you’re a moron.
#37
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Jun 2019
Posts: 303
That will be an understatement if you end up in BK court.
BK in itself is VERY EXPENSIVE, $100's of millions down the rathole of lawyers fees and other costs that do nothing to help the operation, or pay employees more. It lasts a long time and costs so much that the company has no choice but to go for the jugular so that they can get new financing to rebuild the airline at a new improved cost structure.
BK in itself is VERY EXPENSIVE, $100's of millions down the rathole of lawyers fees and other costs that do nothing to help the operation, or pay employees more. It lasts a long time and costs so much that the company has no choice but to go for the jugular so that they can get new financing to rebuild the airline at a new improved cost structure.
Maybe ten years down, or five. Definitely no stock concerns for now.
I wouldn t look for a stock recovery any more. I did for a while, no more. Sold it all.
#38
#39
Banned
Joined APC: Dec 2009
Position: Narrow/Left Wide/Right
Posts: 3,655
true...but almost every freaking economist in the world warned of the stupidity of so much stock buybacks, especially in an industry as fickle as the airline industry. If they start lecturing on seat size, baggage fees and ticket cost then that would be stupid. Thats just plain ol capitalism, supply and demand....airline travel is essential to inter intrastate and world commerce and has been well researched and study. I just flew 35 people to SJO and no lie 10 locals asked me how many we had on board before we got on the van. Its devasting to a country like C.R if there was no air travel.
Im not mgmt and it's almost impossible to structure a company to survive no to little revenue fro 1-6months. Your proposal to just stockpile Billions and Billions of profits in cash accounts is not something that capitalist companies do. They have a BOD who manage the company to make as much profit as possible. If they have extra they can reinvest in stuff, grow, pay people more, increase a dividend or buy back shares in the company. The mgmt and BOD have to decide the best use of the money and each has positives and negatives. Because certain companies refuse to repatriate their profits from other countries (like Apple etc) and have huge cash balances outside the US, that is a function of the US tax code and not good corporate governance.
#40
Banned
Joined APC: Dec 2009
Position: Narrow/Left Wide/Right
Posts: 3,655
My opinion only: I see every single airline entering BK. And this time it's going to be restructuring simply to provide necessary commerce to prop up the rest of the economy. All the stock wiped clean, and not going to be a consideration to be re issued for a long time while the airlines simply take government aid money, create cash flow to operate, and pay employees and vendors. Move the rest of the world towards recovery simply as a utility. It's that dire. Nobody is going to view an airline as an investment for a period of at least five years. It's going to be simply prop them up, let them collect cash to operate, pay employees and vendors. That's it. The government will be first to siphon back any reserve cash later, not stockholders. Maybe yrs later stock comes back, with serious constraints.
Maybe ten years down, or five. Definitely no stock concerns for now.
I wouldn t look for a stock recovery any more. I did for a while, no more. Sold it all.
Maybe ten years down, or five. Definitely no stock concerns for now.
I wouldn t look for a stock recovery any more. I did for a while, no more. Sold it all.
There may be lender of last resort loans by the govt, but eventually private money will flow back into the companies via stock/bonds. Depending upon the damage, some companies may not be viable going forward. It's really an unknown at this point is when this situation changes.
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vagabond
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04-25-2007 09:09 AM