Psa, pdt, env?
#51
Gets Weekends Off
Joined: Aug 2011
Posts: 394
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I've been at Envoy 3.5 years and commute from west of the Rockies. I've been NYC, DFW, and ORD based. I've never come in a day early, or had to stay a day late, with the exception of the 6 weeks after IOE when I took red eyes to get to NYC before being awarded DFW.
I've posted this before, but here goes again. I don't agree with the pre assigned RAP's for reserves. I hope we win the arbitration and it gets changed. But, after a couple months building seniority, you can proffer out of the early starts. You won't have to come in a day early if you proffer for a late trip or late airport standby. Same goes for line holders. I don't bid around commutability because the trip trade window allows me to trade every sequence into a commutable one.
I know guys don't like putting this out there because they think it hurts our leverage with the company. The company doesn't care. They need new hires and complaining about the commutability of the schedules hasn't made them change anything.
I think the company should improve the schedules because they want to make this a good place to work. Based on the union scheduling committee email last month, we should expect improvements. But let's not pretend like we're all coming in a day early and leaving a day late every week. It just doesn't happen very much.
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#52
Line Holder
Joined: Dec 2015
Posts: 640
Likes: 0
PSA currently has 1100 pilots (1160 on the list, but several people that are already gone are still on the list). In that, there are about 150 that will not/can not flow.
The key, though, is attrition (attrition outside of the flow). We lost 28 last month. The norm lately has been 15-18 per month. Of those, quite a few were within a year of flowing. Delta has been taking a lot of our pilots lately. We have lost several senior pilots to JetBlue and Southwest as well. In the mid range, we have quite a few leaving to Spirit, Atlas, and a couple to Kalitta.
People that were hired 2 years ago move up more than 12 spots a month still.
Here's some math:
If you are #1200, and 150 are lifers/instructors that wont flow, that puts you at #1050.
Now, for simple math, lets estimate that we are flowing 8 a month, and 5 a month are leaving to other airlines as an absolute worst case scenario. (It will be 25-30 per month your first year, but less as you move up the list, so lets just say 5 a month)...
That means that you move up on average 13 spots a month. That is 6 and a half years.
The key, though, is attrition (attrition outside of the flow). We lost 28 last month. The norm lately has been 15-18 per month. Of those, quite a few were within a year of flowing. Delta has been taking a lot of our pilots lately. We have lost several senior pilots to JetBlue and Southwest as well. In the mid range, we have quite a few leaving to Spirit, Atlas, and a couple to Kalitta.
People that were hired 2 years ago move up more than 12 spots a month still.
Here's some math:
If you are #1200, and 150 are lifers/instructors that wont flow, that puts you at #1050.
Now, for simple math, lets estimate that we are flowing 8 a month, and 5 a month are leaving to other airlines as an absolute worst case scenario. (It will be 25-30 per month your first year, but less as you move up the list, so lets just say 5 a month)...
That means that you move up on average 13 spots a month. That is 6 and a half years.
#53
Line Holder
Joined: Dec 2015
Posts: 640
Likes: 0
We are not flowing 100 a year. 60. We can flow 100 per year based upon staffing. IF we can staff up significantly, accept the remaining transfers, and not park any 200s we can improve our flow to 100 per year.
But the metric that allows for this is measured quarterly. So best case scenario we might be capable of flowing that number 3q next year.
All three of the WOs are guilty of inflating their flow numbers and times.
I am a early 2014 hire and I imagine I would flow in another 3-4 years. Making my flow time 6 years. I'm obviously active in going elsewhere...
Between my DOH and the end of the 2015 there were close to 900 people hired. Predicting outside attrition is a tough one, however, the company and ALPA both think 20ish% (or so they told us that last year) annually, but that is all across the list not just from the top.
Regardless, I think the flow is a nice back pocket tool in case I don't get picked up elsewhere. But to rely on it alone is foolish.
But the metric that allows for this is measured quarterly. So best case scenario we might be capable of flowing that number 3q next year.
All three of the WOs are guilty of inflating their flow numbers and times.
I am a early 2014 hire and I imagine I would flow in another 3-4 years. Making my flow time 6 years. I'm obviously active in going elsewhere...
Between my DOH and the end of the 2015 there were close to 900 people hired. Predicting outside attrition is a tough one, however, the company and ALPA both think 20ish% (or so they told us that last year) annually, but that is all across the list not just from the top.
Regardless, I think the flow is a nice back pocket tool in case I don't get picked up elsewhere. But to rely on it alone is foolish.
How is that metric determined? Is it tied to hiring like PDT or a percent of new hire classes at AA like Envoy?
#54
Line Holder
Joined: Jan 2014
Posts: 1,549
Likes: 136
As cited earlier we are supposedly in talks to increase the number, but I think given the current staffing levels the company isn't inclined in do anything right now for obvious reasons.
#55
Gets Weekends Off
Joined: Dec 2014
Posts: 955
Likes: 0
From: CL65
I'm glad they are moving on to greener pastures and current pilots get to enjoy the seniority bump but i have to point out the same thing I did for my fellow Piedmont pilot. This agrument assumes the 13 people resigning are always senior to you, which WILL NOT be true. You will move up to a mid seniority position where that 13 will decrease to an unknown number because people will be more inclined to wait to flow rather than attend job fairs, aggressively network, etc., in order to move on. If the pilot shortage worsens to the point that its just raining legacy airline jobs on everyone then sure, it can be expected for you to always have attrition from the top but that is yet to be seen. It is undeniably misleading to a prospective newhire to count attrition within a flow prediction imho.
It says that 8 of the 13 will be flows. These will always be senior to you. The other 5 will be outside attrition senior to you, and is an average. In your first year or two, it will be 25+ per month. In your third and fourth year, it will be 8-10. Then, it will eventually go to zero as you get closer and closer to flow. That is where I was getting the average of 5 per month.
You will move up a few hundred spots very quickly, and then it will slow down.
#56
Who cares about the flow? They are gonna throw money at you and there's a left seat waiting for ya. That's what PDT is offering! Don't have to sell it now.
Get the PIC and get on to a Mainline Carrier! The flow is a nice card to pull out if you don't get a call from the other 3 big carriers.
Get the PIC and get on to a Mainline Carrier! The flow is a nice card to pull out if you don't get a call from the other 3 big carriers.
#58
And what's your point????? Look if I had a chance to go to a Regional that had.....
A) A fast upgrade Time (Less then a year)
B) Signing Bonus and working for a WO'ed at the Largest Airline in the world.
C) A flow thru with a Job waiting for me.
You damn right I would go!!! What's your defense on why you shouldn't??
A) A fast upgrade Time (Less then a year)
B) Signing Bonus and working for a WO'ed at the Largest Airline in the world.
C) A flow thru with a Job waiting for me.
You damn right I would go!!! What's your defense on why you shouldn't??
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