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Old 06-17-2020 | 05:06 AM
  #471  
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Originally Posted by Knobcrk1
I don’t think you answered their question. Unless you’re advocating killing millions as it’s much better than ruining the economy. The Chinese, the ones that most likely caused this not only shut their country down but were arresting people leaving their homes. Their shutdown made our lockdown look like a vacation. Beijing is under lockdown again as a second wave has started there. All that officials are asking you to do is to social distance and wear a mask. It’s pretty simple, we do that and the virus goes down if we don’t it goes up.
So you wish to emulate China? The home of the now thoroughly discredited one-child policy and the Red Guards? The place that lied to the world - telling us that human-to-human spread was not being seen? You are preaching China as the font of all Epidemiological wisdom?

I think you have pretty well discredited yourself already, with no further Input from me at all with that one.
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Old 06-17-2020 | 05:20 AM
  #472  
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Originally Posted by Knobcrk1
Because, what can you say to your logic? Instead of debating why don’t you tell us what you would have done mid March if it was up to you?
One thing that really surprised me about Trump and Coumo is that their pandemic briefings were laser focused on only epidemiology. In my military experience, the commander always meets with a staff of technical experts who bring a lot of unseen second and third order effects to light. Then, after weighing input from everyone, it's the commander's job to make a final decision. I'm not sure if Trump and Coumo had those meetings behind closed doors, but iIt's not an epidemiologist's job to weigh the economic consequences or even understand how the financial markets and economy work, so it surprised me the briefings largely didn't include economists, accounting, law enforcement, public works, etc.

I still think the shutdowns combined with the massive stimulus were necessary though, especially considering we still don't really know how bad this virus is. I know this is an unpopular opinion, but I think the govt is largely handling this as well as can be expected, and although it seems slow to us because we're agonizing over it in real-time, they're largely sticking to the same predictable plan. I think people are being just as 'alarmist' about the fallout from shutdown as they were for being proponents of the shutdown. Everybody already knows that both are bad for different reasons. We shut down, got a better grasp of what's going on, patched some holes in the boat with stimulus, and now we're moving forward. I'm not a big fan of Trump, but I think he acted fast and decisively to prevent the economy from core-locking.
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Old 06-17-2020 | 05:30 AM
  #473  
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Originally Posted by Excargodog
So you wish to emulate China? The home of the now thoroughly discredited one-child policy and the Red Guards? The place that lied to the world - telling us that human-to-human spread was not being seen? You are preaching China as the font of all Epidemiological wisdom?

I think you have pretty well discredited yourself already, with no further Input from me at all with that one.
That’s what you got out of that? You don’t wear the mask or social distance do you? Still waiting for an answer to his valid question.
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Old 06-17-2020 | 05:31 AM
  #474  
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Originally Posted by Knobcrk1
That’s literally what has happened. Oh you mean you would have opened it up again like in April, with all those bodies stacking up?
Yes, I would have made the call to open it up more.
And then had a far more aggressive and targetted approach.

No that is not what happened. Cant be bothered really digging into the details.

Too many dumb rules swayed by business interests and politicking to mention. Bottle shops open Tue to Sunday where I am. Yep..... Not Monday (due covid). To scary. Can go to beach. Can sit on grass or go in water. Cant sit on sand. Too scary.

After many years in the Army I often got asked...whats it like? Well, now.we all know. Many many dumb rules. I often genuinly wonder if this thing is being run by some passed over Colonels. Just retired at work, making up rules, looking busy and not really caring.

So your happy with how its gone eh?
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Old 06-17-2020 | 05:53 AM
  #475  
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Originally Posted by Duffman
We shut down, got a better grasp of what's going on, patched some holes in the boat with stimulus, and now we're moving forward. I'm not a big fan of Trump, but I think he acted fast and decisively to prevent the economy from core-locking.
I agree. There were reports of estimates that we could have saved many more lives if we closed March 1st instead of end of March as the virus spread to the US and they knew what was starting to happen. But hindsight is 20/20..
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Old 06-17-2020 | 05:56 AM
  #476  
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Originally Posted by Knobcrk1
That’s what you got out of that? You don’t wear the mask or social distance do you? Still waiting for an answer to his valid question.
If you are referring to:
What % of the population in the US needs to be infected for seeking herd immunity to be an effective strategy
I do not consider that to be a valid question. Effective strategy to what end? There ARE NO fixed percentages. And they answer varies within a given group due to other issues such as population density. Which goes to the point. The Draconian one size fits all policies are not justifiable. There are no sharp cutoffs. There is nothing scientific about the six foot rule any more than there is about the now thoroughly discredited 21 foot rule in policing.

WHO ARE YOU TRYING TO PROTECT? The healthy young military member? 3000 people on the USS Theodore Roosevelt got coronavirus. One (1) died from it. The “general public”? The 85 year old in a nursing home with COPD and coronary artery disease? The elementary school kid who actually DOES need an education to make his/her way in the world?

You seriously think the optimal solution for one will be an optimal solution for all?
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Old 06-17-2020 | 06:00 AM
  #477  
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Originally Posted by Knobcrk1
There were reports of estimates that we could have ...if....
Even by APC standards that’s a ridiculous statement. Akin to “One of my FAs said that her brother who knows a guy in maintenance says that he thinks that maybe...”
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Old 06-17-2020 | 06:15 AM
  #478  
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Originally Posted by Excargodog
WHO ARE YOU TRYING TO PROTECT? The healthy young military member? 3000 people on the USS Theodore Roosevelt got coronavirus. One (1) died from it. The “general public”? The 85 year old in a nursing home with COPD and coronary artery disease? The elementary school kid who actually DOES need an education to make his/her way in the world?

You seriously think the optimal solution for one will be an optimal solution for all?

You can’t just say healthy people won’t get it or die therefore open it up. You’re dismissing all the science behind this virus. And with a country that’s the most obese and likely unhealthy in the world too. That’s not how it works. Suicide, depression, etc aren’t contagious. You can’t have an economy with people dying or being infected in mass. After all, the states that wanted to open did so anyways, we’ll see how they do.
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Old 06-17-2020 | 06:37 AM
  #479  
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Originally Posted by WutFace
Oh we're including NJ now? And you're posting graphs of the nation and stats from Texas?

You're just a bad-faith debater and will wiggle like a worm whenever your points are disproven.
Here's the truth. There's a significant emerging outbreak that's begun in the American south and Arizona. It's yet to be determined how bad and for how long it will last.



A couple of key takeaways:
  • COVID doesn't give a crap about ambient temperature. We're firmly in the Floridian summer season, and daily cases are higher than they've ever been there.
  • Phase 2 opening up started 2 weeks ago. We're seeing the spike of new cases now. The corresponding fatalities should kick in around 3-4 weeks.
And to answer your other question about other viruses, you know this one is different. It's transmission and infectiousness are above average. It's not fatal enough to cause mass panic, but when combined with its infection rate can kill millions. The way it affects the human body is still not fully understood. There's reports that it attacks a number of major systems in the body. Long term effects are unknown. Who knows if you've beaten the virus you may have a resurgence later in life. (i.e. Shingles)
We do know the virus dies quicker in higher heat and lower humidity conditions. That's the science that so many go on about. It's proven fact. But people still congregate indoors with air conditioning.
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Old 06-17-2020 | 07:22 AM
  #480  
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Originally Posted by Knobcrk1
You can’t just say healthy people won’t get it or die therefore open it up. You’re dismissing all the science behind this virus.
This is why this debate never goes anywhere... on APC, on cable news, and with politicians. All lockdown proponents have to do is say that the science is on their side, and the discussion is over.

Praise science and pass the toilet paper.
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