TSA Numbers
07-27-2020, 10:12 PM
#61
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Originally Posted by Propeller
Some have mentioned comparing current daily passenger numbers to 2018 instead of 2019, but is there actualy a way to get this data? The only numbers I could find are from the TSA and the page looks like its made special for tracking the coronavirus drop in travel and it also only starts from March
07-28-2020, 05:03 AM
#63
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Originally Posted by senecacaptain
July 27: 26.8%
still stuck in that 25-30% scud layer
still stuck in that 25-30% scud layer
07-28-2020, 06:16 AM
#64
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Originally Posted by pangolin
Good uptick week over week, however. Nudges the moving average up. Hopeful if seeing 30 pct in a couple weeks - if school starting doesn’t crater everything.
07-28-2020, 06:27 AM
#65
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bottom line is we are stuck in the 25-30% level. It is what it is. We are also coming out of the weekend and a Monday.
the same thing that nudges the moving average up will nudge it back down once we see Tuesday-Wed-Thur data come in
August 25-ish school will start or be close to starting virtually or physically in most parts of country. Maybe the "last weekend of summer" we pierce the 30% level
the same thing that nudges the moving average up will nudge it back down once we see Tuesday-Wed-Thur data come in
August 25-ish school will start or be close to starting virtually or physically in most parts of country. Maybe the "last weekend of summer" we pierce the 30% level
07-28-2020, 06:39 AM
#66
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Originally Posted by senecacaptain
bottom line is we are stuck in the 25-30% level. It is what it is. We are also coming out of the weekend and a Monday.
the same thing that nudges the moving average up will nudge it back down once we see Tuesday-Wed-Thur data come in
August 25-ish school will start or be close to starting virtually or physically in most parts of country. Maybe the "last weekend of summer" we pierce the 30% level
the same thing that nudges the moving average up will nudge it back down once we see Tuesday-Wed-Thur data come in
August 25-ish school will start or be close to starting virtually or physically in most parts of country. Maybe the "last weekend of summer" we pierce the 30% level
07-28-2020, 06:40 AM
#67
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Originally Posted by pangolin
One small correction. The mid week slump, since we compare same day if week, doesn’t negatively impact the moving average.
Tue-Wed-Thru for each week in the coming weeks should be telling
07-28-2020, 08:13 AM
#68
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Originally Posted by senecacaptain
I agree but the MA is lagging indicator. My point is the daily numbers, if consistent, will eventually "show up" in the MAs
Originally Posted by senecacaptain
Tue-Wed-Thru for each week in the coming weeks should be telling
07-28-2020, 08:30 AM
#69
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Originally Posted by bradthepilot
I've settled on reporting information out on Mondays only, primarily so it's consistent from week to week. Which day of the week it is is arbitrary. That removes the "breathing" effect that the average does across the rest of the week from naturally lower and naturally higher travel days.
Tuesdays and Wednesdays I can understand, since those are typically slower than other days of the week. Thursday is usually right up there, however, so I'm wondering what it is you see across those three days that is telling?
Tuesdays and Wednesdays I can understand, since those are typically slower than other days of the week. Thursday is usually right up there, however, so I'm wondering what it is you see across those three days that is telling?
Friday is odd, because you may have the early weekend travelers headed outbound, and the business return travel coming home.
I just wish the TSA data could be explored deeper.
^^ not saying I am "right" or you are "wrong" just speaking out loud here
07-28-2020, 08:49 AM
#70
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https://english.alarabiya.net/en/cor...fore-2024-IATA
The latest IATA prediction forecasts global air travel to not return to pre-pandemic levels until 2024 at the earliest.
The latest IATA prediction forecasts global air travel to not return to pre-pandemic levels until 2024 at the earliest.
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