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Old 04-20-2021, 05:55 AM
  #2421  
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Originally Posted by Seneca Pilot View Post
New York and New Jersey have proposed state financial transaction taxes. If that happens every investment bank, trading house, and hedge fund along with the NYSE and NYBOT will leave NY. I understand that Mr. Desantis has offered a sweet deal for them to relocate to Florida. If that happens things will change rapidly and dramatically.
Good! Bring in the FL base! Actually no, I don’t want the state to turn blue.
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Old 04-20-2021, 06:14 AM
  #2422  
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Let’s try to not infest another thread with Red v Blue?

I figure the next year will be very interesting. I opted to sit this out and remain unfrozen. Time will tell if that was a smart move.
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Old 04-20-2021, 06:40 AM
  #2423  
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Originally Posted by FangsF15 View Post
To be fair, I think most of the reason for this is the 'double bid' scenario, where they want to prevent dual training when possible. That is still a manual process, as the new Jepp tool isn't designed for that. I would think, except for the very close-in training events, they will be able to avoid most of these.
At the risk of sounding snarky, what world is this Jepp tool actually designed for? If you can’t use it three out of four times in the real world, does it really offer us much?
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Old 04-20-2021, 06:42 AM
  #2424  
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Originally Posted by MitchRapp View Post
I still think this bid was a set up. Shrinking narrowbodies and nothing substantial for "growth" aside from ER. 2000+ pilots short of 2019. Now they have a metric crap ton of seat locks so they can put guys where THEY want. They knew there would be mass movement out of New York and junior NB's so to me it looks like they are just ripping the bandaid off and clearing the way for a bunch of new hires. With deliveries and the rumored aircraft orders this is just the beginning.
As a CJO poolie I’m wondering - do you think they’ll only offer NYC spots to new hires even though there are over 100 unfilled positions on the west coast? Would be nice to see some of those SEA and LAX vacancies fall to us!
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Old 04-20-2021, 06:45 AM
  #2425  
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Originally Posted by PapaMike View Post
According to the pilot dashboard on ALPA's site there are 332 B positions in NYC on the 73N and 462 on the 320B with the forecast for April 22 at 127/193 respectively.

73N B 332 to 127
320 B 462 to 193

I didn't do the work to see where we are left after this bid but it wouldn't surprise me that we are still overstaffed in NYC on the narrowbody B side. Wont see new hires there until later 2022 at this rate unless the next cleanup bid or two makes more room.
NYC73NB is down to 137 after everyone converts from this bid

NYC320B is 191

if there is even a small amount of movement in other bases to open spots for current NYC pilots I think we will see NH to NYC soon
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Old 04-20-2021, 06:45 AM
  #2426  
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Originally Posted by PapaMike View Post
According to the pilot dashboard on ALPA's site there are 332 B positions in NYC on the 73N and 462 on the 320B with the forecast for April 22 at 127/193 respectively.

73N B 332 to 127
320 B 462 to 193

I didn't do the work to see where we are left after this bid but it wouldn't surprise me that we are still overstaffed in NYC on the narrowbody B side. Wont see new hires there until later 2022 at this rate unless the next cleanup bid or two makes more room.
Actually, after looking a little closer at the "after" numbers, the NB Captain and F/O's are balanced after this bid reasonably well, and pretty close the the 22.D.3 projection (with a couple of exceptions, as below). I would not have thought there that many surplus F/O's on the 320 in NY, but there we are. Not suprised to see there are a lot of shortfalls on NYC 220B, as well as the surprise 7ERB. I suspect those two categories will have the lion's share of new hires until they have a cleanup Bid, and/or will be indicative of what the next bid will contain..

Last edited by FangsF15; 04-20-2021 at 07:07 AM.
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Old 04-20-2021, 06:47 AM
  #2427  
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Originally Posted by MitchRapp View Post
I still think this bid was a set up. Shrinking narrowbodies and nothing substantial for "growth" aside from ER. 2000+ pilots short of 2019. Now they have a metric crap ton of seat locks so they can put guys where THEY want. They knew there would be mass movement out of New York and junior NB's so to me it looks like they are just ripping the bandaid off and clearing the way for a bunch of new hires. With deliveries and the rumored aircraft orders this is just the beginning.
I’m not following you. Being short of 2019 staffing has nothing to do with this bid...it’s a function of the economy and management’s strategy throughout the pandemic. Sure, there are lots of seats locks now in place, but not one pilot (to my knowledge) was displaced and I’m guessing a lot of folks with seat locks are locked some place they are fine hanging out while the world unwinds this global mess.

If I were an airline trying not to double-train where I could avoid it and match capacity to need, I think this AE is about how I would have done it too. I disagree with most of management’s actions leading up to this but I’m not sure I see this particular shuffle as some sort of setup. Any specifics on what you’d have preferred to have seen on this AE or the last one?
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Old 04-20-2021, 07:09 AM
  #2428  
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Originally Posted by Trip7 View Post
Delta domestic trips only restricted to one red eye so it's not like they'll be flying red eyes all the time. Plus Being in command of the 75/76 in an iconic route like LAX/JFK with plenty of HVCs in the back is pretty awesome

Two way all night ER but it's Intl, you're getting override and there are 3 pilots. Africa? Have you ever had a drink at the 5 star Kempinkski hotel in Accra? Being a 2014 + hire and taking your crew there after an international flight would be epic. Lagos and Dakar are not Rome or Paris but Accra is an amazing city with ALOT to do for tourists.
The reason that thousands of pilots decided to forego being at the bottom of the category and seat in question is they decided that a combination of some of the following things are far more important than flying a 757 on an iconic route or buying their crew a drink in Accra for the 20th time:

- Weekends off if needed
- All holidays off if needed
- Summer vacation if desired
- The ability to make almost as much after tax, by greenslips instead of being coverage-forced into a 13 day off line
- Not being awarded one redeye per trip, every month, all year, for a total of ~45 after vaca/sick/CQ (that's a over a month of recovery days per year spent powering through and feeling like a zombie at a significant cost to one's health)
- Not being stuck with equally bad or worse, 05:00 reports which means waking up at some commuter hotel/pad at 03:30 and burning another half night's sleep

It is certainly a great opportunity for those who can make it work, but let's be realistic here -- if it were that great of a deal, it would never make it down to anywhere near ~9000 seniority.
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Old 04-20-2021, 07:28 AM
  #2429  
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Also, even though it's not for a couple of years, the impending retirement of the 763s probably kept some people from bidding the category. That'll be another interesting displacement bid
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Old 04-20-2021, 07:31 AM
  #2430  
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Originally Posted by Lou Reed View Post
Also, even though it's not for a couple of years, the impending retirement of the 763s probably kept some people from bidding the category. That'll be another interesting displacement bid
Of course.

Why learn a new airplane (for those coming off of the right seat of something else), and then have basically zero prospect of moving up above 90% during the two year seat lock.
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