Any "Latest & Greatest" about Delta?
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Jan 2008
Position: 320A
Posts: 333
That kind of MEL on the 88 is not limiting. Not convenient if it knocks you out of CAT III and you need it. Had that happen one time, steady CAT III conditions and we had to go hold with all of the non CAT III guys which at the time was the RJs.
It felt like you got sent to the kids table at Thanksgiving.
Now one thing I feel for the 9 guys about is how often you have to say "unable to go direct" when cleared direct and you have no FMS.
The funny thing about having no FMS, is that the way we do training, cough cough, you'd swear that VNAV could never be on MEL let alone both FMSs. It's kind of nice when it is out in a way.
It felt like you got sent to the kids table at Thanksgiving.
Now one thing I feel for the 9 guys about is how often you have to say "unable to go direct" when cleared direct and you have no FMS.
The funny thing about having no FMS, is that the way we do training, cough cough, you'd swear that VNAV could never be on MEL let alone both FMSs. It's kind of nice when it is out in a way.
Entry Level Pilot Pay
An entry level pilot will be paid at the rate monthly of:
1. $3,377.96 effective July 1, 2012.
2. $3,665.09 effective January 1, 2013.
3. $3,775.04 effective January 1, 2014.
4. $3,888.29 effective January 1, 2015.
First year pay in 2014 once qualified is $68.08.
First year pay in 2015 once qualified is $70.12
Second year pay in 2015 DC9-7ER is: $96.58-110.96
Retirement is 15% in 2014.
2.5 mos. entry pay is $9437
9.5 mos. at 75.5 avg. reserve pay im 2014 is $48,830.
Retirement contribution would be $8740
Yes, the lodging after indoc and uniforms aren't paid...
That's a hair over $67,000 without ever breaking guarantee or factoring in per diem or profit sharing, for a pilot starting on Jan 1, 2014.
An entry level pilot will be paid at the rate monthly of:
1. $3,377.96 effective July 1, 2012.
2. $3,665.09 effective January 1, 2013.
3. $3,775.04 effective January 1, 2014.
4. $3,888.29 effective January 1, 2015.
First year pay in 2014 once qualified is $68.08.
First year pay in 2015 once qualified is $70.12
Second year pay in 2015 DC9-7ER is: $96.58-110.96
Retirement is 15% in 2014.
2.5 mos. entry pay is $9437
9.5 mos. at 75.5 avg. reserve pay im 2014 is $48,830.
Retirement contribution would be $8740
Yes, the lodging after indoc and uniforms aren't paid...
That's a hair over $67,000 without ever breaking guarantee or factoring in per diem or profit sharing, for a pilot starting on Jan 1, 2014.
With the current fleet right around 720-725 lets assume your right and we shrink modestly to 700 airframes.
We have about 200 new airframes coming. 100 737's, 88 717's and a handful of MD90's still in mod.
Your statement would require we park 225 airframes to get to 700. That would mean all the 757's and a most of the A320's would have to be parked in the next 3 to 4 years.
Would you like to put some serious money on this bet??
We will have a excellent idea if your right in a month or so. In the March bid if the company intends to keep the mainline size flat or shrink will have a net loss to neutral in Captains positions. I think you will be find your wrong when the bid comes out. There will be a substantial net gain in Captains positions.
We have about 200 new airframes coming. 100 737's, 88 717's and a handful of MD90's still in mod.
Your statement would require we park 225 airframes to get to 700. That would mean all the 757's and a most of the A320's would have to be parked in the next 3 to 4 years.
Would you like to put some serious money on this bet??
We will have a excellent idea if your right in a month or so. In the March bid if the company intends to keep the mainline size flat or shrink will have a net loss to neutral in Captains positions. I think you will be find your wrong when the bid comes out. There will be a substantial net gain in Captains positions.
I don't know if I see things as rosy as you might.
Start with the notion we'd have to replace 225 airplanes for me to be right. Well, let's first look at the fleet:
So they said the 739 was a 1;1 replacement of 757s, 763s and 320s and that it'd be done over the next six years (if I had the delivery schedule right). I find that plausible. So that's 100 of the 225 additions.
Now look at the 88s, they'll be almost as old at the end of this decade as some of the DC95s are now. Will they stick around or will the 717 + MD90 replace them?
Anyways, grab a bag, throw the 739, 717 and MD90 into it. Take out a portion of the 757s, all of the 763s, all of the 9s and think about those MD88s, hell, blame it on Nextgen and Bucking Bar let's get grid of them all. Take into account DCI@450 where yes the fleet dropped 25% but the capacity only dropped 16% and maybe even less with more efficient and faster jets capable of better utilization.
You could get a flat to a 1.5% yoy decrease in capacity with that, near flat mainline growth, and still maintain the 1.56 ratio the entire way.
Seems plausible to me, continues our current shrinking trajectory. But let's just say it's too much, weren't there rumors of picking up some more 717s? Do a 20-30 more of those things and you have a flat capacity.
But you do have more mainline airframes. 30-40 in that scenario. Which if we multiply that by the 10.1 pilot ratio we're running on the 88 we'd end up with 300-400 more pilots? If we did 80 airplanes like the filing said and get to 797 total (i.e. 4% larger than we were 4 years ago) it's 800 more pilots?
Minus the more productive pilot efficiencies and we'd need to be hiring 3-7 pilots a month over the next six years. But we do have a contract in the middle of that and given our current trends in productivity, paying for our own jets and increasing jumbo RJs, who knows.
I'll be happy if in 2018 we still require 11,800 pilots.
BTW, 1.56 ratio has to go. A 1.80 ratio would be nice, guaranteed growth of around 100 mainline jets at a minimum unless DCI is shrunk below 450. That'd be nice.
It'd also create capacity growth which I know is a no no. So I'll shelve that idea for now, but, there is a demand for C2015.
It'd also create capacity growth which I know is a no no. So I'll shelve that idea for now, but, there is a demand for C2015.
Give management and ALPA time to do a bit more outsourcing.
The Virgin Atlantic surrender isn't complete yet.
The seniority list at SLI had 12434 names.
Today it has 11784.
That's 650 pilots. Gone. So far.
I kinda thought my use of 1000 was a bit of hyperbole, but if they don't hire this year or next, we just might hit that 1000.
"@#%!@. I wouldn't be going to EAST ONE IF I WAS ABLE TO FLY DIRECT TO STUFF!"
I don't blame them, I mean it's just what they're used to. But man.
BTW, is the SPA VOR like a mess or something? We ended up having to fly visually to GSP and that made the controller happy, all of the VORs the rest of the way up the east coast were spot on.
We will have a excellent idea if your right in a month or so. In the March bid if the company intends to keep the mainline size flat or shrink will have a net loss to neutral in Captains positions. I think you will be find your wrong when the bid comes out. There will be a substantial net gain in Captains positions.
You often claim we got more Captains in this past AE, things are great, but does that take into account the RMA and that those who retire are more often than not Captains? I mean why just focus on Captains? In good times shouldn't we be adding both Captains and FOs?
I mean I'm looking at a category list from around the contract of last year to what they project in May of this year. We gained around 49 Captains(not counting the 9 for this example since it wasn't open when I took this snapshot).
We gained 49 Captains! But we lost 20 in the 777 but gained 9 in the lower paying 330/765 and gained 14 more in the lower paying 7ER. Lost 70 on the 767 but gain on the 737. Lose 9 on the 320 but gain 34 on the 88... which might be increasing because it's only a 5 day course from the 88 to the 717.
I see a trend. Sure it's 49+ new Captains, but, 34 of it on the 88 seems like it just might be for displacement purposes. I don't know, I'm sure you have some inside info on what is the net gain to come for As but I'll want to see from where these new Captains will come from.
Last edited by forgot to bid; 01-23-2013 at 06:50 AM.
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Nov 2009
Position: C560XL/XLS/XLS+
Posts: 1,278
FTB, until the lie flat mods are done we won't see any backfilling into the larger aircraft. I have a friend who's a 777 A and he flew 2 trips last year. We are over staffed in wide body captain positions, just look at the reserve availability from the ER on up. Hiring is not going to happen until the Mil leave guys come back, and the recalls are done. We had pver 800 pilots on Mil leave and furlough just 4 years ago. They are all senior to the 2008 and later hires. It's just a fact.
FTB, until the lie flat mods are done we won't see any backfilling into the larger aircraft. I have a friend who's a 777 A and he flew 2 trips last year. We are over staffed in wide body captain positions, just look at the reserve availability from the ER on up. Hiring is not going to happen until the Mil leave guys come back, and the recalls are done. We had pver 800 pilots on Mil leave and furlough just 4 years ago. They are all senior to the 2008 and later hires. It's just a fact.
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