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Ok guys,
Mark your calenders, dayplanners, throw the confetti and sound the horns: Slowplay, I absolutely agree with you. Let's just make sure we get something good out of this deal and really try to figure out what the unintended consequences can be down the road. Once you figure that out..then try to reel those in as much as possible :) Tyronne has spoken. |
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Anyone wanna go to the clubs with me this weekend? |
Originally Posted by 80ktsClamp
(Post 714636)
http://img33.imageshack.us/img33/8110/326277174l3yo.jpg
Anyone wanna go to the clubs with me this weekend? |
Originally Posted by 80ktsClamp
(Post 714635)
Ok guys,
Mark your calenders, dayplanners, throw the confetti and sound the horns: Slowplay, I absolutely agree with you. |
Originally Posted by 80ktsClamp
(Post 714636)
http://img33.imageshack.us/img33/8110/326277174l3yo.jpg
Anyone wanna go to the clubs with me this weekend? |
Originally Posted by slowplay
(Post 714516)
We do bring value to the table, and if everything goes our way I expect we may be abe to extract some of that value. We are starting from behind in this deal, so we don't have the leverage that you may think we have. The US Government is protecting its own interests in Japan first. Our company may suffer for that. The Japanese are protecting their investment. Our company is currently a competitor to that investment. The Japanese are culturally a very loyal society. They have an existing deal with AMR, and that carries weight. AMR can accurately claim they've paid every dollar that they've ever owed a creditor. Delta and NWA can't, and that's a cultural disadvantage.
The downside risks for Delta pilots in the combined Japan case are far greater than the upside potential. The Haneda access and "open skies" pieces are far more threatening than the JAL piece alone. In my view the same is true for AMR and APA pilots, but in a different priority. They can't afford to lose JAL, as One World would be relegated to a second tier alliance, but a Japanese version of "open skies" wouldn't hurt them nearly as badly as they're a bit player in Tokyo. UAL is in a pretty good place with ANA sown up no matter which way this goes. Would you also like to explain how NWA spent all the money designing the interior of half of Terminal 1 and did all the market research for the design and watched the Japanese give that section to UAL? If you want the real story, ask RA, he went to Narita after it happened and there were many embarassed on the Japanese side of that deal. I don't buy the loyalty argument. FWIW JAL has done many strange things to get around "bilateral difficulties" there is/was a branch called Japan-Asia Airways. They formed it because the mainland Chinese told JAL that they couldn't fly to Taiwan if they wanted to keep flying to mainland China. All of a sudden Japan-Asia appears in a very JAL-like livery and starts flying Japan-Taiwan routes. The fake "charter" international flights out of Haneda are also good indicators that modern JAL is not anywhere near as rigid or culturally influenced as some would believe. |
Originally Posted by 80ktsClamp
(Post 714636)
http://img33.imageshack.us/img33/8110/326277174l3yo.jpg
Anyone wanna go to the clubs with me this weekend? |
Originally Posted by scambo1
(Post 714602)
I don't have any fear, you have to look at the whole pie, not just pieces of it.
Gloom, we win the bid for a poorly run company that doesn't do what they should or what they are told to do -look at their track record. Gloom, no Haneda access. Gloom, we win the bid and start flying our pax on their jets. Gloom, we start to shrink NRT. All potential outcomes, but with their opposite scenarios as possibilities I have been to both airports and yes Haneda is a lot closer (2 hrs), but I am sure the Japanese government is going to want to keep a lot of service at NRT as well. Other side of the coin, we don't win the bid. We run the price up and weaken AA's balance sheet because they won. Gas continues to inch up and they cry. We still have NRT, but our position is marginalized and slowly shrinks until we can build up our overflying of japan business etc... It is a pretty complicated issue to type about and I haven't scratched the surface. You can think we are going to get Haneda access, but a bunch of folks think they are buying winning lottery tickets. Hope is good, but it is just hope. We have no control, DALPA is just a bit player here, this is a business decision. This banter wont change any reality - it will be what it will be. Scambo |
Originally Posted by 80ktsClamp
(Post 714635)
Ok guys,
Mark your calenders, dayplanners, throw the confetti and sound the horns: Slowplay, I absolutely agree with you. Let's just make sure we get something good out of this deal and really try to figure out what the unintended consequences can be down the road. Once you figure that out..then try to reel those in as much as possible :) Tyronne has spoken. I see that Slow did not respond to the fact that I took an opposing view for a reason. JAL is a big deal for DAL and this pilot group long term. We are very smart to be behind it. We just need to make sure we do not lay down to get the deal done. That is all! |
Originally Posted by acl65pilot
(Post 714687)
That is and has been my point. Look at the unintended consequences to this group, and try to eek something for us out of the deal.
I see that Slow did not respond to the fact that I took an opposing view for a reason. JAL is a big deal for DAL and this pilot group long term. We are very smart to be behind it. We just need to make sure we do not lay down to get the deal done. That is all! |
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