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-   -   Any "Latest & Greatest" about Delta? (https://www.airlinepilotforums.com/delta/36912-any-latest-greatest-about-delta.html)

CVG767A 10-27-2011 06:17 AM


Originally Posted by boog123 (Post 1075799)
Who wrote this again? Oct 2:

"If you haven't set up a brokeragelink do it first thing monday morning. Put all available investable assets there (sitting in a tax exempt moneymarket trust). The market is going to fall off a cliff within the next 2 weeks... sooner rather than later.

Wait for the market to hit bottom...by 3rd week in Oct. Buy a good 3X etf like tna or erx. Plan to sell in april sometime and shift your holdings to a 3X inverse etf like FAZ. Rinse repeat. Not much babysitting required.

FWIW, from the guy who bought erx monday (not friday) at 30.80 and sold tues for 38, a 25% gain in two days in full view of you folks.

Again, not investment advice, do your own due diligence, your mileage may vary, you are responsible for your own actions, etc."

I remember the post, but couldn't find it again. Was it deleted?

JungleBus 10-27-2011 06:40 AM


Originally Posted by gloopy (Post 1075731)
How can they ever do that? The entire reason there is a DCI in the first place is to whipsaw DCI carriers against DCI carriers. There really isn't even any DCI versus Mainline whipsaw anyway, as DCI automatically underbids and gets the work so it comes down to DCI vs DCI.

This has been tried before and never got off the ground. In fact the race to the bottom only accelerated as ACMI providers shoved each other aside to win the next RFP. Pay for training has been replaced with pay for flight time and pay for upgrade. Any DCI carrier that tries to raise the bar in any significant way for any length of time is punished severely. Some contractual gains are seen from time to time, but they are modest and quite often given back before the ammendable date anyway.

RFP's aren't just for growth flying anymore. They are for current flying and the cheapest wins. That DCI carrier at the alliance meeting sitting right next to your guy will underbid your group in a second when the time comes and if he doesn't, you will uderbid him and he knows it.

There is nothing any alliance can do to change the fact that DCI flying is a zero sum game and every plane one carrier gets another carrier doesn't get. There will always be a pilot group willing to "deal management an ace" to get the work. Always. Also from time to time, new DCI carriers will be signed on as well as created from thin air if necessary, where everything is cheaper and everyone is on first year pay.

How will an alliance convince one DCI carrier to overbid another knowing the one that underbid them got the work? How will a DCI alliance stop non DCI airlines from putting in a lower bid? How will it stop new DCI's from being created?

This is a mainline problem and the solution has to be a mainline solution. Mainline and DCI can collaborate to a point, but anything greater than a staple with some reasonable DCI protections is a non starter. Yet even that requires 100% mainline bargaining to secure for it to have any real meaning (scope recapture). Only mainline pilot groups can fix this by reclaiming scope. There is no other way.

Somebody elect this man to something. His posts are about the most consistently 100% spot-on.

Carl Spackler 10-27-2011 06:42 AM


Originally Posted by Bucking Bar (Post 1075796)
Thanks Carl, but it was a little too personal and it still really upsets me.

One funny aspect of it was that TWO MONTHS later, while non reving back from a hike in Banff the Royal Canadian Mounted Police detected "bomb making materials" on our infant and considered taking her into custody until we explained the whole story. Those sniffers at the airport work amazingly well.

I'll bet you're still upset about it, but you should be damn proud. On that day The Dude wasn't a pilot...The Dude was a Dad!

Carl

Boomer 10-27-2011 06:49 AM


Originally Posted by boog123 (Post 1075799)
Who wrote this again? Oct 2:

Scambo said it, with all the usual cautions and provisios about doing your own research.

I can't retire, ever, so I didn't bother following his suggestion.

UncleSam 10-27-2011 06:53 AM


Originally Posted by boog123 (Post 1075799)
Who wrote this again? Oct 2:

"If you haven't set up a brokeragelink do it first thing monday morning. Put all available investable assets there (sitting in a tax exempt moneymarket trust). The market is going to fall off a cliff within the next 2 weeks... sooner rather than later."

SCAMBO1 post 77121. Guess he was off a bit. Of course we don't know what will happen on Halloween!:D

DAL 88 Driver 10-27-2011 06:54 AM


Originally Posted by boog123 (Post 1075799)
Who wrote this again? Oct 2:

"If you haven't set up a brokeragelink do it first thing monday morning. Put all available investable assets there (sitting in a tax exempt moneymarket trust). The market is going to fall off a cliff within the next 2 weeks... sooner rather than later.

Wait for the market to hit bottom...by 3rd week in Oct. Buy a good 3X etf like tna or erx. Plan to sell in april sometime and shift your holdings to a 3X inverse etf like FAZ. Rinse repeat. Not much babysitting required.

FWIW, from the guy who bought erx monday (not friday) at 30.80 and sold tues for 38, a 25% gain in two days in full view of you folks.

Again, not investment advice, do your own due diligence, your mileage may vary, you are responsible for your own actions, etc."

No disrespect to the person who wrote this... but there you have a good example of why I don't believe in trying to predict/time the market.

iceman49 10-27-2011 07:08 AM


Originally Posted by Bucking Bar (Post 1075787)
PM sent.

There are some real problems with UHC that threaten the financial security of our pilots. Since we co-insure ourselves you are exposed to WHATEVER rates UHC negotiates with providers. In most cases those rates are lower than standard self pay rates and closer to Medicaid reimbursement (WellStar for instance is allegedly a "non profit" provider). Most of the time we happily see a 70% discount and go about our ways.

But what if UHC decides to enter into a contract which pays much MORE than you would owe otherwise? You will find that under law you owe it. In our case the procedure was billed at just under six times the Medicare rate, which was more than four times UHC's own "usual and customary" rate for non network providers.

UHC is exempt from the laws which regulate insurers, as well as anti trust and consumer protection regulations. A fight with these guys could easily leave a Delta employee bankrupt and given the depth of their abuses there probably are some examples out there to be found.

Article in the current Consumers Report concerning insurance providers...UHC does not fare well.

orvil 10-27-2011 07:44 AM


Originally Posted by boog123 (Post 1075799)
Who wrote this again? Oct 2:

"If you haven't set up a brokeragelink do it first thing monday morning. Put all available investable assets there (sitting in a tax exempt moneymarket trust). The market is going to fall off a cliff within the next 2 weeks... sooner rather than later.

Wait for the market to hit bottom...by 3rd week in Oct. Buy a good 3X etf like tna or erx. Plan to sell in april sometime and shift your holdings to a 3X inverse etf like FAZ. Rinse repeat. Not much babysitting required.

FWIW, from the guy who bought erx monday (not friday) at 30.80 and sold tues for 38, a 25% gain in two days in full view of you folks.

Again, not investment advice, do your own due diligence, your mileage may vary, you are responsible for your own actions, etc."

Too bad we can't trade options on these positions in our 401(k) or DC. All we can do is sell covered calls and cash secured puts. It's nice to be able to do that, but I could do other risk defined strategies with a lot less capital at risk than buying the stock. Mother Delta can't seem to understand this just like they can't seem to understand how to hedge fuel.

Full disclosure I have positions in and I trade TNA, ERX and FAS.

orvil 10-27-2011 07:52 AM


Originally Posted by Bucking Bar (Post 1075796)
Thanks Carl, but it was a little too personal and it still really upsets me.

One funny aspect of it was that TWO MONTHS later, while non reving back from a hike in Banff the Royal Canadian Mounted Police detected "bomb making materials" on our infant and considered taking her into custody until we explained the whole story. Those sniffers at the airport work amazingly well.

You pulled the post and I can only get the general direction of this thread. Having said that, I had an interesting discussion with my wife the other day. We went skeet shooting the other day. Driving home we got into a discussion about how the TSA would handle the two of us if we went non-reving in the coats we were currently wearing. I'm sure there is some gunpowder residue on them. So, we refuse the molecule scrambler and insist on a cavity search because we enjoy personal contact. Last time we did this, they swabbed our hands and their gloves. Mostly to hassle us, I'm sure.

Under that scenario, we pop positive. How much self disclosure would be required? Last time I looked, the use of firearms is a legal activity. Anybody got any experience in this?

Boomer 10-27-2011 07:57 AM


Originally Posted by iceman49 (Post 1075840)
UHC does not fare well.

They could use a guy like Richard Anderson to run that place for three years or so.


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