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Old 02-17-2012, 08:53 AM
  #89451  
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Originally Posted by acl65pilot View Post
Yes a new contract with significant restoration is a must.
I want to see the next contract and have a reaction like this guy:

Insane low level fly by, super G constellation!! - YouTube
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Old 02-17-2012, 08:54 AM
  #89452  
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Originally Posted by tsquare View Post
I also prefer the QOL I have right now. I would HATE to have to go to work for a living...
I'm pretty sure that kind of talk is a TOS violation.
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Old 02-17-2012, 09:07 AM
  #89453  
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The real threat facing the airlines - Fortune Management


An excellent example of why all the capacity purchase agreements, code shares, joint ventures and mergers in the world won't guarantee our future success as a company!
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Old 02-17-2012, 09:17 AM
  #89454  
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Originally Posted by Jughead View Post
I hate to interrupt the complaining, since it's rolling along so nicely, but I have to pass along some sad news:

Charley's on B and C concourse in ATL is closing permanently as of the end of the month. Popeye's is moving to that spot. I don't know what is going into Popeye's current location. If you have a punch card, use it before the end of this month.

That is all. Please resume speculation and complaints at this time.

P.S. This "break room" under B-18 is nasty.
And I was just thinking to myself that there's a serious lack of fried food in the Atlanta airport...
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Old 02-17-2012, 09:17 AM
  #89455  
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Originally Posted by freightguy View Post
You are partially correct. I don't think a DAL 320 captain will gain much by going to Tiger, Jetstar, Air Asia etc. But for DAL FOs, it is a different story. Many of us still qualify for some of the captain seats in the Far East and the ensuing pay which is close to three times as much as what I'm making as a widebody FO at Delta. Nobody is laughing at my NWA furloughee friend who turned down DAL for Tiger. He is doing pretty good. DAL management or DAL pilots can laugh all they want... he still makes two to three times more than his peers (in his seniority range).

I agree to the spirit of your post.

My point was that if you are going to make a comparison that shows a potentially superior package for a DAL FO, then make it as accurate as possible. The Air Japan commuting contract remains one of the best and the average FO at DAL fills the minimum requirements for a Capt or F.O position. The Emirates package is attractive for some. My only problem with ACL's characterization was the fact that it was one dimensional.

Parc Aviation Recruitment and Resourcing

Regarding the Tiger package. You are quoting the top pay scale for Capt. Look to the left of the payscale numbers and you'll see the words; "Capt top". You'll need 500 PIC on the A320 and Singapore is one of the most expensive cities in the world. Although, a nice rental house on a Thai beach is only a short commute.

Tiger Airways jobs, payscales and entry requirements.


I hope DAL pilots return to an industry leading package in the next contract.
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Old 02-17-2012, 09:21 AM
  #89456  
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My other career is just not taking off.



I blame the economy.
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Old 02-17-2012, 09:28 AM
  #89457  
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Originally Posted by alfaromeo View Post
The airline business has been in a negative stability loop in the last 20 years. The highs went higher and the lows went lower. 2003-2005 pretty much signaled that something had to change. Instead of making the business a high risk gamble, through consolidation and better balance sheet management, Delta is de-risking our business and producing a model that can generate consistent profits, which by the way will fund contract improvements. Part of this new rationality will be the lack of the explosive growth followed by furlough models we have seen.
Alpha,

One of the predictions from a few years ago was that outsourcing would cause stability along a negative trend line, with lower highs and lower lows. This is coming true. This is due to the effect of whipsaw and a group of parasitic stakeholders who tack on a fee for running their own airlines (outsourcing is less efficient than a properly managed Company doing its own work & keeping its own profits).

In the past we had times of rapid advancement and times of displacement, but the overall trend was growth and advancement. With a healthier than expected travel market, retirements, engaged labor, profitability (10% margins for 2012 I hope), cheap financing, and our outstanding network reach our expectation of better isn't unreasonable.

We've delivered and executed ... the reward is ... our second, third, or fourth demotion? Where is the bottom?

I had expected a turn around in 2012. ALPA's Expert (works for us) was asked where the bottom might be. His reply had to do with knowing winning lottery numbers (which is taken as a friendly "we don't know"). Not to be critical of him, or ALPA; management makes these decisions. How forthcoming they choose to be is not under our control.

What I think we are trying to reconcile is the disconnect between the market, our performance and a trend line. As George puts it:
Originally Posted by georgetg View Post
Alfa, is it unrealistic to ask for de-risking our employment status and producing a model that can generate consistent seniority advancement while funding contract improvements? Or are those items mutually exclusive?

Cheers
George
I'd dare to say our MEC is in a sticky situation. Our outsourcing is a monster demanding to be fed in order to further the disconnect between our expectations and actual performance. This is not criticism, it is a genuine appreciation for the difficulty of the task.

As we figure out a way forward, we really need to be careful about solutions that sounded great in Contract 2000, but were the first to fail when put under stress. There is no stable, long term, answer other than we do our flying ourselves.

Last edited by Bucking Bar; 02-17-2012 at 09:41 AM.
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Old 02-17-2012, 09:40 AM
  #89458  
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Originally Posted by Check Essential View Post
Yes indeed.
We are leaving the market and shrinking and the low cost guys are moving right in.

Wall Street Journal

FEBRUARY 16, 2012, 3:11 P.M. ET
UPDATE: Spirit Airlines Sees Capacity Up 23% In 2012 Vs 2011
  • --Florida-based carrier's expansion provides a particular challenge to AMR Corp
--Spirit plans to add seven planes this year, boosting its fleet to 44
--Notched up its fifth-straight year of profitability
(Updates with executive comment beginning the third paragraph. Updates share price.)

By Doug Cameron
Of DOW JONES NEWSWIRES

Spirit Airlines Inc. (SAVE) announced plans Thursday to accelerate its expansion, boosting capacity by 23% this year in a move that highlights the opportunities for U.S. low-cost carriers as larger network rivals shrink domestic flying.
The Florida-based carrier's expansion in cities such as Dallas, Chicago and Denver, and into the Caribbean and central America, provides a particular challenge to AMR Corp. (AAMRQ) as 60% of its network overlaps with the third-largest U.S. carrier by traffic.
With the three largest U.S. carriers--United Continental Holdings Inc. (UAL), Delta Air Lines Inc. (DAL) and AMR--all pledging to keep capacity flat or lower this year, smaller airlines are filling some of the gap.
Spirit grew capacity by around 15% last year, and the 23% expansion eyed for 2012 lags only the 30% growth targeted by Virgin America.
Ben Baldanza, Spirit's chief executive and a former American Airlines' executive, said on a post-earnings' call that he sees opportunities to expand profitably beyond those captured by its existing fleet plan.
Spirit plans to add seven planes this year, boosting its fleet to 44, and has around 100 Airbus aircraft on order for delivery between now and 2021.
Baldanza outlined the capacity plans alongside a sharp rise in fourth-quarter earnings, notching up its fifth-straight year of profitability and an operating margin of 25.7% that leads the industry.
Net profit in the quarter rose to $24 million from $9.5 million a year earlier, with revenue up 26.7% at $273.9 million, driven by higher ticket prices and its focus on charging for extras such as bags. The result beat analysts' expectations.
The stock recently was up 0.3% at $19.29.
-By Doug Cameron, Dow Jones Newswires; 312-750-4135; [email protected]

Spirit has been impressive. Just shy of $100M in profit last year on a fleet of fewer than 50 jets. I suspect (in reality) the spirit business model is where every airline is headed - everything ala carte.
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Old 02-17-2012, 09:44 AM
  #89459  
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Originally Posted by tsquare View Post
How do you know this?
I know this because the only thing that's been in writing thus far is the Council 20 chairman saying: "...and of course we will not be releasing the opener. That would be like showing your hand in poker." There has been NOTHING from the MEC to counter that statement.

Originally Posted by tsquare View Post
You gonna eat crow if it DOES get released? OR are you gonna find something else to be critical and divisive to cry about? Nevermind, I know the answer to that.
I won't need to eat crow because it's not MY statement. It is the statement of the Council 20 chairman and the MEC has said NOTHING else to the contrary. If the MEC ultimately decides to share the opener after it's exchanged with management, that's great. It has always been that way. But this time will be different. Of course, not even the company will be able to see our opener until after the meet and confer sessions with the MEC's of our RJ competitors. Wonder when that meeting will be? Wonder what will be said?

Originally Posted by tsquare View Post
And one more thing... What if the opener that DOES get released isn't what Carl thinks is sufficient? Buuuuut, it represents the desires of the pilot group..
How would any of us know what the desires of the pilot group are? DALPA will never release those survey results.

Originally Posted by tsquare View Post
We all know that you think the whale should only work on sunny Wednesdays and pay $1000/hour, but what if the pilot group said.. in the surveys.. that the whale and the 7ER should pay the same? (Read banded payrates)?
You know nothing about me. I'm fine with pay banding. We already have it. The B747 is 250,000 pounds heavier than a B777 but the pay is the same at Delta. If we get more pay banding, it's just more of what we aleady have.

Originally Posted by tsquare View Post
You might get to see the opener, but you have little idea of what goes into that opener too.
I don't have "little" idea what goes into the opener, I have NO idea what goes into it. None of us do, because DALPA will never release any portion of those survey results.

Originally Posted by tsquare View Post
So maybe the surveys SHOULD be released.. what would say if they are, and you don't have as much leverage as you think?
Then it is what it is. I'm not afraid of the truth, DALPA is.

Carl
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Old 02-17-2012, 09:48 AM
  #89460  
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Originally Posted by johnso29 View Post
I'm actually shocked that anyone on this forum thought DAL would do anything other then shrink once the merger was complete. Organic growth after merging 2 airlines(which was done to reduce capacity and increase pricing power) would defeat the purpose of the merger in the first place. I'm still pleasantly surprised we made it through without furloughs.
Really? You shouldn't let congress or the regulators hear this, because our folks said there would be nothing but airline growth, job growth and more choices for passengers if this merger (DAL/NWA) were approved.

Are you saying that our managment wasn't telling the truth?

Carl
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