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-   -   Details on Delta TA (https://www.airlinepilotforums.com/delta/88532-details-delta-ta.html)

Carl Spackler 06-06-2015 05:03 PM


Originally Posted by Bigflya (Post 1897270)
Sharpest, you must have been the guy in the smoky boardroom who came up with the "time value of money" catch phrase. You are riding it to the end. What's the time value of respect and dignity. I have to hear those words from RA's mouth every time I fly in the back. Why don't we respect and dignify ourselves?

And don't forget the time value of NOT making concessions.

Our problem is that our union is not panicked to grab this deal quickly because they want to lock in our gains, they're panicked at the thought of not locking in management's requested concessions. That's our reality.

Carl

Carl Spackler 06-06-2015 05:07 PM


Originally Posted by MOTOJOE (Post 1897289)
A huge portion of this airline retires in the next 5 yrs. for most of them their last contract. They don't want to wait for a few more percentage points. If this TA passes the MEC. Then behind closed doors most or all in this group will vote yes.

This will be my last contract. The only way I'll even look at Section 3 is if Section 1 is strengthened. If we give one single concession in scope, I'm a NO.

Carl

DeadHead 06-06-2015 05:12 PM


Originally Posted by sailingfun (Post 1897334)
I

The average pay was 180k in 2013. When the 2014,numbers are posted with the raise and increase in PS it will be near or over 200k. The reduction in profit sharing was about 1.9%. I don't know where you got your numbers. The math has been posted many times. A simple recap is the profit sharing amount was reduced 125 million dollars. The reduction was a fixed amount. The pilot share of that is about 34 to 35% or just under 44 million. 1% in pay equals just under 23 million dollars.
The average Delta pilot credits about 87 hours per month. Some more and some less.
Keep in mind that pay and w2 are not the same. You need to view your 31 DEC pay check and view the gross for the year to get a accurate amount.

Directly from my LEC during C2012...

How can a reduction in my profit sharing (return on investment in delta) by 5 percent over the next 20 years equal only 2 percent of a 1-year increase?
The profit sharing for the entire employee group is being reduced from 15 percent to 10 percent of the first $2.5B of pre-tax income. The pilot group’s share of that payout is roughly one-third, or 5 percent (1/3 of 15%) under the old formula and 3.33 percent (1/3 of 10%) under the TA. Here is how the math works out:
Under today’s profit-sharing plan, should Delta have a pretax income of $2.5B, the 15% payout would yield $375M for all eligible employees. Of
that, the pilot group would share roughly one-third, or $125M. Under the TA, that amount will be reduced to $83M, with the remaining $42M having been con- verted into additional pay rates that are received up front and throughout the year.
Now consider that in 2011, Delta had a pretax income of $1.522B. The 15% payout yielded $228M, of which the pilot group received roughly one-third, or $76M. Under the TA, that amount would have been reduced to $51M, but the pilot group would still have received the same $42M in additional pay rates up front throughout the year as described above, for a total payout of $93M or $17M more than had profit sharing not been con- verted to pay.
Because the profit-sharing payout above $2.5B has not been changed, we will see no difference in payouts above that amount should Delta’s pretax income exceed it.




Now I'm just spitballing some basic math here, but basically the PS giveback during C2012 was approximately $42 million/year for the past 3 years. (1/3 of 5% on $2.5 billion)

That amounts to approximately $3,500 divided evenly amongst roughly 12,000 pilots. I don't really like percentages because they have a tendency of clouding facts to persuade an opinion.

That being said...
For a pilot who made $100K that amounted to 3.5% giveback.
For a pilot who made $200K that amounted to 1.8% giveback.

The percentages above are all in relation to gross pay because that is what we use to calculate our individual payouts. I'm not really concerned on how the 42 millions divided up, but it's a point with merit seeing as cumulatively we gave up $126 million in C2012.

I didn't write the above to persuade anyone, mearly wanted to show how misleading percentages can be at times.

I'll take a look at my W-2 and get back to you, but honestly 87 hours per month seems high to me. Perhaps I'm in a minority, but I typically fly between 75-80.

Carl Spackler 06-06-2015 05:17 PM


Originally Posted by Denny Crane (Post 1897355)
Does it say the review can only be triggered once in that rolling 18 month period? Semantics I know but how would a lawyer/arbitrator view it?

What? Why would DENNYCRANE care about another lawyer's opinion?

Carl

Bananie 06-06-2015 06:04 PM


Originally Posted by Carl Spackler (Post 1897378)
What you and The Tool fail to acknowledge or comprehend is the time value of concessions. C2012 was cost neutral to Delta largely because of our concessions. TA2015 looks the same regarding concessions.

If you two and your ilk are going to be screaming time value of money as the reason you have to take the deal as long as it's quick, make sure you calculate the time value of NOT taking concessions.

Carl

I know this is your mantra but no one believes that anymore, try again. Hiring over 1000 pilots 800 or 900 Captain upgrades, what concessions equaled my 100,000? It just doesn't add up to anyone. Repeating a lie doesn't make it true.

gloopy 06-06-2015 06:18 PM


Originally Posted by SharpestTool (Post 1897241)
Are you ready to wait 3 years like SWAPA? Time is money. How much are you willing to spend? When they finally get an agreement, back that money up to the amendable date and see how modest the raises could have been to replicate the same performance. Math is good in that way, it cuts through the BS and shows that maybe "stones" aren't as valuable as some folks on this board make them out to be. Maybe we can get a nuetral's opinion and ask American and US Airways pilots about "stones" and how time and money passed them by.

TVM is a valid point, up to a point.

But you also have to consider the time cost of concessions.

If the rumors are even 1/4 true about what's being given up, it is WAY better to wind the watch and wait as long as it takes, even 3-5 years, rather than eating layered deep concessions for a paltry slightly higher than inflation paid for raise. Not even close. Easy button.

gloopy 06-06-2015 06:19 PM


Originally Posted by Bananie (Post 1897245)
This is one of the silliest comments ever. Southwest last had a raise in 2011. Their contract was amendable right around the time ALPA negotiated the Delta contract in 2012. They could have gotten our 20% raise and now be negotiating again. They got 0% and are still negotiating. And you think that's better? 0 is better than 20? In what universe do you live.

A 20% raise right now with no concessions would pass MEC and MEMRAT guaranteed.

But that's not what we're dealing with now, is it?

gloopy 06-06-2015 06:21 PM


Originally Posted by sailingfun (Post 1897274)
There is no match required next year even if management grants raises to the other employees.

There's also no concessions next year if we vote no to concessions this year.

gloopy 06-06-2015 06:22 PM


Originally Posted by scambo1 (Post 1897285)
I guess you aren't factoring in the funding of the 6% from your profit sharing. So, in reality it's 9/0.5/3/3.

Just sayin...

Even that might pass. But then back out the time value of concessions, which if even a fraction are true are big ticket "shopping cart" items.

No thanks.

Carl Spackler 06-06-2015 06:24 PM


Originally Posted by Bananie (Post 1897415)
I know this is your mantra but no one believes that anymore, try again.

It's not my mantra, it's Richard's and Ed's mantra. They would pay a legal penalty for making a false public statement...you won't.


Originally Posted by Bananie (Post 1897415)
Hiring over 1000 pilots 800 or 900 Captain upgrades, what concessions equaled my 100,000?

If you want to make the case that C2012 didn't have concessions, knock yourself out.


Originally Posted by Bananie (Post 1897415)
It just doesn't add up to anyone.

It adds up to Richard and Ed, and they have the data...you don't.


Originally Posted by Bananie (Post 1897415)
Repeating a lie doesn't make it true.

But it will probably get you some flight pay loss Bananie. You're a loyal soldier.

Carl


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