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Molon Labe 08-15-2014 02:31 PM

Yes, I think the poster on that one is obviously very Alaska centric. The test of "Blood and Iron" remains to be seen and will probably take shape over about a six or seven year period. I don't really see any definitive movement in the Seattle, north south west coast, west coast Hawaii, markets for a while. I believe when the "Over fly Narita" aircraft to be ordered in Sept. are being delivered you will then see significant reshaping and bolstering of the Delta hub in Seattle . AND that is when Alaska will find the first TRUE competition in Seattle for it's non Alaska state flying. AND will most likely suffer considerable attrition and loss of markets and market share.

Carl Spackler 08-15-2014 04:14 PM


Originally Posted by Sink r8 (Post 1705171)
You really want to get into the business of "smoothing out seasonal demands"? Under the guise of making sure we don't furlough? Those are pro-company concessions.

Of course they are pro company concessions. But they are concessions that do indeed help prevent furloughs. You can't deny that. Back when my airline career started, seasonal furloughs were the norm. I'm glad that doesn't happen anymore.


Originally Posted by Sink r8 (Post 1705171)
Doesn't sound like an argument you'd normally make. You're normally looking to place things in the concession side of the ledger, when discussing contracts other people advocate for. In fact, you've got such a finally tuned concession radar, it sometimes picks up things that aren't even there.

Did you turn it off for this?

Unintelligible.


Originally Posted by Sink r8 (Post 1705171)
Vacation sellbacks are a concession. In my estimation, a huge concession. If you want to argue in their favor, fine. Just don't kid yourself, and don't kid other posters, into thinking they're not concessionary.

I've never said otherwise.

But it's sure interesting that you seem to be saying you're against any concessions in C2015. Weren't you among the many saying what a bomb thrower I was for suggesting C2015 should have no concessions due to our huge profitability?

Carl

Carl Spackler 08-15-2014 05:21 PM


Originally Posted by gzsg (Post 1705661)
Moak is not only not a friend to our profession, he is our enemy.


Originally Posted by DAL 88 Driver (Post 1705662)
Amazing it's taken this long for some to figure that out.


What's really amazing are the folks who still defend him and his statements as correct and proper. It almost seems that some folks here are so invested in their belief in Mr. Moak that they refuse to see what's right before them. It's exactly why Bernie Madoff lasted as long as he did. Refusal to believe the truth once you're invested in the belief of another person.

Carl

Carl Spackler 08-15-2014 05:25 PM


Originally Posted by NERD (Post 1705773)
The Moak disciples are being very,very quiet. Probably on overtime FPL coordinating a response.

No question about that. But I do believe it will be those disciples that will force Moak to issue a letter of "explanation" or claim of being quoted out of context.

Carl

Carl Spackler 08-15-2014 05:29 PM


Originally Posted by Purple Drank (Post 1705805)
Shiznit, does Lee Moak still speak for you?

Once a disciple, always a disciple.

Carl

Carl Spackler 08-15-2014 05:30 PM


Originally Posted by DAWGS (Post 1705853)
Those who pay attention know. Thanks for holding their feet to the fire. We need more like you and 88.

Thanks man.

Carl

NuGuy 08-15-2014 08:57 PM


Originally Posted by forgot to bid (Post 1705060)
Okay, from memory I once heard that the debate between DALPA and NWALPA about 1.5x vs GS systems didn't in the end make a huge difference in total compensation for the pilots. It was about the same. The difference was where the money went, it was presumed 1.5x favored senior pilots, GS pay favored everyone.

As many of us know, GS doesn't necessarily favor everyone and there a lot of junior pilots flying a lot of hours per month who would love 1.5x but at the same time GS are fun when they're around.

But more importantly, I'm not sure any of that calculation accounted for the WS Mafia- which requires high seniority to pull off.

I think that's why just maybe we take another look at something that accounts for all of the above.

So would 1.5x/2x pay system with a cap plus a GS system add more money and respect seniority but temper the WS Mafia thus requiring more staffing? I.e. help us become more overpaid, under worked and oversexed?

75-80 hours 1.5x pay on credit hours
80+ 2x pay on credit hours
ALV block cap
GS pay 2x pay and excluded from a cap

Heyas FtB:

The NWA system was a bit more complicated than 1.5x > 80. There was also a "premium trip" portion that was basically identical to the green slip system. They were basically short notice trips, and paid 1.5x regardless, or if you were already over 80, they paid 2.25x (or the portion over 80).

Now if OT over 80 would make people stampede to the WSs, you're probably right. What people forget about the NWA system was that there were a fairly complex set of caps that went along with it.

Unless you had a high negative bank, or training (which you could take for pay, no credit, full credit and anything in-between at the time of bidding), it was pretty difficult to get more than 5 hours past the "monthly max", which usually floated around 85 hours.

My guess (and it's only a guess) is if you tried to implement a cap system here, people would lose their minds. Even if you jacked the pay rates up to where they were in 2004, plus inflation, people would still complain about a cap.

Nu

Molon Labe 08-16-2014 08:47 AM


Originally Posted by NuGuy (Post 1706360)
Heyas FtB:

The NWA system was a bit more complicated than 1.5x > 80. There was also a "premium trip" portion that was basically identical to the green slip system. They were basically short notice trips, and paid 1.5x regardless, or if you were already over 80, they paid 2.25x (or the portion over 80).

Now if OT over 80 would make people stampede to the WSs, you're probably right. What people forget about the NWA system was that there were a fairly complex set of caps that went along with it.

Unless you had a high negative bank, or training (which you could take for pay, no credit, full credit and anything in-between at the time of bidding), it was pretty difficult to get more than 5 hours past the "monthly max", which usually floated around 85 hours.

My guess (and it's only a guess) is if you tried to implement a cap system here, people would lose their minds. Even if you jacked the pay rates up to where they were in 2004, plus inflation, people would still complain about a cap.

Nu

Hey Nu, you are quoting the immediate post bankruptcy rules on that not the post Summer of BOB rules where it went back to the ANYTHING over 80 at 1.5, and some things on the matrix you describe were 2.25. but the high time authorization was not so stingy after the side letter resulting from the Summer of BOB. and remember from 1996 until the CH 11 it was just ANYTHING over 80 at 1.5

gloopy 08-16-2014 09:57 AM


Originally Posted by Molon Labe (Post 1706207)
Yes, I think the poster on that one is obviously very Alaska centric. The test of "Blood and Iron" remains to be seen and will probably take shape over about a six or seven year period. I don't really see any definitive movement in the Seattle, north south west coast, west coast Hawaii, markets for a while. I believe when the "Over fly Narita" aircraft to be ordered in Sept. are being delivered you will then see significant reshaping and bolstering of the Delta hub in Seattle . AND that is when Alaska will find the first TRUE competition in Seattle for it's non Alaska state flying. AND will most likely suffer considerable attrition and loss of markets and market share.

I think we'll see an effect a lot sooner than that. We're already adding a lot of domestic capacity there as well as continuing the slow buildup of international. You're probably right that the big shift won't occur until the point to point situation is fully developed.

But first we have to run an RFP for planes we already have on order.




Wait, what?

gzsg 08-16-2014 05:05 PM


Originally Posted by gloopy (Post 1706566)
I think we'll see an effect a lot sooner than that. We're already adding a lot of domestic capacity there as well as continuing the slow buildup of international. You're probably right that the big shift won't occur until the point to point situation is fully developed.

But first we have to run an RFP for planes we already have on order.




Wait, what?


I agree. The Delta VP of Seattle said we are getting all the gates in concourses A and B as well as what we have in the south satellite.

That is a lot of flying. Hopefully it will be profitable for both air lines.

Jerry


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