The Surveys
#131
Gets Weekends Off
Joined: Jul 2010
Posts: 12,823
Likes: 169
From: window seat
In fact, I actually hope the previous green slip shadow trip provision is included because that was 100% fair and would at least de-incentivize at least some theoretical abuse. It would put to bed the colloquial wisdom that getting a GS after a sick call is automatic abuse, which is BS. Guys who have blanket GS requests in and who do a lot and then get one after a sick anyway can't possibly be viewed as suspicious, otherwise don't allow them to put in for it.
#132
Thread Starter
Gets Weekends Off
Joined: Jul 2014
Posts: 260
Likes: 0
Actually, I believe Donatelli said there was no more money. RA said there was no better offer on the table and if we didn't vote in the new TA it would be bad for everyone. Someone also said that plane orders would be cancelled... and they were.... and then they weren't
I trust our MEC. Let's all take a deep breath and see how this plays out. Papa
I trust our MEC. Let's all take a deep breath and see how this plays out. PapaIt's been a year since Anderson made that statement. So far, I'm down about $30,000. While that's certainly not bad for everyone, it's bad as far as I'm concerned.
Maybe we'll recover it. But I don't think we should be crowing as if it's a fait accompli.
#133
Gets Weekends Off
Joined: Jan 2007
Posts: 385
Likes: 0
From: 5-9 block, kill removing
I'll agree with taking a breath, but I don't want to hold it for too long.
It's been a year since Anderson made that statement. So far, I'm down about $40,000. While that's certainly not bad for everyone, it's bad as far as I'm concerned.
Maybe we'll recover it. But I don't think we should be crowing as if it's a fait accompli.
It's been a year since Anderson made that statement. So far, I'm down about $40,000. While that's certainly not bad for everyone, it's bad as far as I'm concerned.
Maybe we'll recover it. But I don't think we should be crowing as if it's a fait accompli.
#134
Moderator
Joined: Dec 2007
Posts: 7,253
Likes: 96
From: DAL 330
I find it extremely amusing at this point though that so soon after the housecleaning that occurred after TA15 that many of the same people on here are already calling for the heads of those that they placed in those positions. That tells me that those yelling the loudest are agenda driven to see them fail so that they can make yet another run at Tim's Toxic Rangers.
.
I find it very disappointing. This is still playing out and guys are already calling for heads to roll - lets at least see what happens before we try MEC v3.0.
Scoop
Last edited by Scoop; 08-22-2016 at 11:58 AM.
#135
Gets Weekends Off
Joined: Sep 2014
Posts: 654
Likes: 0
I wish I could remember who posted the following statement, but I'm going to repeat it:
Everyone repeat after me; there is no sick leave abuse. Never turn against the family to side with mgmt. There are things that mgmt can fix right now to end what they perceive as abuse, but there is no sick leave abuse.
Everyone repeat after me; there is no sick leave abuse. Never turn against the family to side with mgmt. There are things that mgmt can fix right now to end what they perceive as abuse, but there is no sick leave abuse.
#136
I'm fine with that note, provided they pay for it in all cases, and accept it in all cases if from a defined QHCP. Any burden of proof to prove "abuse" is 100% on them and must be proven beyond a shadow of a doubt, not just implied because it "couldn't be verified" and I'll be fine with that section.
In fact, I actually hope the previous green slip shadow trip provision is included because that was 100% fair and would at least de-incentivize at least some theoretical abuse. It would put to bed the colloquial wisdom that getting a GS after a sick call is automatic abuse, which is BS. Guys who have blanket GS requests in and who do a lot and then get one after a sick anyway can't possibly be viewed as suspicious, otherwise don't allow them to put in for it.
In fact, I actually hope the previous green slip shadow trip provision is included because that was 100% fair and would at least de-incentivize at least some theoretical abuse. It would put to bed the colloquial wisdom that getting a GS after a sick call is automatic abuse, which is BS. Guys who have blanket GS requests in and who do a lot and then get one after a sick anyway can't possibly be viewed as suspicious, otherwise don't allow them to put in for it.
I don't know enough about the GS thing of which you speak to comment.
#137
Thread Starter
Gets Weekends Off
Joined: Jul 2014
Posts: 260
Likes: 0
I didn't hear all of his speeches, so I can't say one way or the other. I believe what I heard is that "at the time," we had gotten all we were going to get. The pilot group gambled that we could get more in a protracted battle. It remains to be seen if they were right.
So far, factors have changed to help us. UAL, AMR, and UPS raised the bar (they just as easily could not have). Anderson retired and Bastian is not compelled to uphold promises that were made before he took command (that just as easily could have been different). The company is still making money (anyone who's been in this industry any length of time knows that is no given).
In short, the risky gamble might still pay off. I hope to hell it does. But there are strong indications that we are trying to double down. So until we sign a contract, I think I'll hold off on opening the champagne that some seem to be drinking.
So far, factors have changed to help us. UAL, AMR, and UPS raised the bar (they just as easily could not have). Anderson retired and Bastian is not compelled to uphold promises that were made before he took command (that just as easily could have been different). The company is still making money (anyone who's been in this industry any length of time knows that is no given).
In short, the risky gamble might still pay off. I hope to hell it does. But there are strong indications that we are trying to double down. So until we sign a contract, I think I'll hold off on opening the champagne that some seem to be drinking.
#138
Moderator
Joined: Dec 2007
Posts: 7,253
Likes: 96
From: DAL 330
Not necessarily.
Nobody said there was no more money. They said that the deal was all that was possible at the time, due to market constraints (UAL and AMR were far below us), the pilots' overwhelming desire (as clearly indicated by polling) for an early deal, and the idea that a lengthy negotiation would ultimately lead to less total compensation due to opportunity costs and the TVM.
We got very lucky that other airlines leapfrogged us (though not necessarily the TA), and remain fortunate that the company is still making terrific profits.
But until we have a contract, and we take out our calculators and do some TVM calculations, and factor in the final changes to other sections and weigh how much they affect us, we cannot say for sure who was right or wrong.
So far, all I can tell for certain were right are the guys who said the company would not quickly roll over with a better deal. The rest remains to be seen.
Nobody said there was no more money. They said that the deal was all that was possible at the time, due to market constraints (UAL and AMR were far below us), the pilots' overwhelming desire (as clearly indicated by polling) for an early deal, and the idea that a lengthy negotiation would ultimately lead to less total compensation due to opportunity costs and the TVM.
We got very lucky that other airlines leapfrogged us (though not necessarily the TA), and remain fortunate that the company is still making terrific profits.
But until we have a contract, and we take out our calculators and do some TVM calculations, and factor in the final changes to other sections and weigh how much they affect us, we cannot say for sure who was right or wrong.
So far, all I can tell for certain were right are the guys who said the company would not quickly roll over with a better deal. The rest remains to be seen.
Lets talk a little about the TVM. This is one of the most distorted topics on SM and usually slanted to further an agenda.
TVM is very important but every analysis I have seen is limited to how much extra money we need in 2 or 3 years to be at the same point at the end of the contract cycle. No analysis looking further down the road.
Well the one cycle analysis is absolutely true if one is retiring at the end of this cycle. But the other often overlooked side of the coin is the value of compounding. If we net a deal worth just 3% more and every subsequent TA is started on a baseline 3% higher - what is the breakeven point and would more guys benefit in the long run or lose value?
I think its pretty obvious that the short time folks would lose out but the vast majority of Pilots would greatly benefit from a 1-2 year delay with a subsequent 3% higher baseline. I am not saying its right or wrong but with every new hire off probation the focus is slowly shifting to the long term interest of the Pilot group vs the short term.
OBTW - I am fairly optimistic that we will beat TA-1 by more than 3%.
Scoop
#139
#140
Lets talk a little about the TVM. This is one of the most distorted topics on SM and usually slanted to further an agenda.
TVM is very important but every analysis I have seen is limited to how much extra money we need in 2 or 3 years to be at the same point at the end of the contract cycle. No analysis looking further down the road.
Well the one cycle analysis is absolutely true if one is retiring at the end of this cycle. But the other often overlooked side of the coin is the value of compounding. If we net a deal worth just 3% more and every subsequent TA is started on a baseline 3% higher - what is the breakeven point and would more guys benefit in the long run or lose value?
I think its pretty obvious that the short time folks would lose out but the vast majority of Pilots would greatly benefit from a 1-2 year delay with a subsequent 3% higher baseline. I am not saying its right or wrong but with every new hire off probation the focus is slowly shifting to the long term interest of the Pilot group vs the short term.
OBTW - I am fairly optimistic that we will beat TA-1 by more than 3%.
Scoop
TVM is very important but every analysis I have seen is limited to how much extra money we need in 2 or 3 years to be at the same point at the end of the contract cycle. No analysis looking further down the road.
Well the one cycle analysis is absolutely true if one is retiring at the end of this cycle. But the other often overlooked side of the coin is the value of compounding. If we net a deal worth just 3% more and every subsequent TA is started on a baseline 3% higher - what is the breakeven point and would more guys benefit in the long run or lose value?
I think its pretty obvious that the short time folks would lose out but the vast majority of Pilots would greatly benefit from a 1-2 year delay with a subsequent 3% higher baseline. I am not saying its right or wrong but with every new hire off probation the focus is slowly shifting to the long term interest of the Pilot group vs the short term.
OBTW - I am fairly optimistic that we will beat TA-1 by more than 3%.
Scoop
However, what is disturbing in your post is exactly what I said earlier. "**** you James, I can wait to get mine". But when looked at from the other perspective, the short timers are vilified as not caring about those that come after them. The very definition of hypocritical.
Thread
Thread Starter
Forum
Replies
Last Post



