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When will Endeavor wind down the operation?

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Endeavor Air Regional Airline
View Poll Results: When will Endeavor close its doors?
Endeavor will close its doors before summer of 2015
8.00%
Endeavor will close its doors before thanksgiving of 2015
21.71%
Endeavor will close its doors right after the holidays of 2015
29.14%
Endeavor will never die
41.71%
Multiple Choice Poll. Voters: 175. You may not vote on this poll

When will Endeavor wind down the operation?

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Old 11-24-2014, 02:31 AM
  #21  
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That bonus is not just for people on property today. If you get hired tomorrow you will get bonus money. This is something for new hires to consider. If new hires show up in sufficient number upgrades will start. When upgrades start life will get better for all. Attrition off the top won't just be to Delta. There are other airlines hiring like United and American.
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Old 11-24-2014, 03:53 AM
  #22  
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Originally Posted by ShyGuy View Post
If they wanted to make Endeavor a great place to work they would offer contractual gains, for example, offer the JCBA back. They would also have to have a fleet plant that has growth to attract newhire pilots to come to Endeavor. Lets face it, a shrinking fleet with no new planes is not a recipe for success that any regional newhire would want when you consider that many others like PSA/Compass/TSA are getting lots of planes and have movement.

What's unique about this payment is that it is indifferent for longevity or seat. Anyone who stays until [insert date] is given a fixed amount of money. This isn't something to make the company a great place to work, this is an equivalent to a stop-loss program to mitigate attrition while the fleet is parked. You have to see it for what it is. Based on the dates listed, it's very likely the entire -200 fleet is parked by the first payout date (Sept '15). Then the next two dates are a stop-loss as the -900s are transferred elsewhere and unfortunately looks likely that Endeavor shuts down by 2016.

Follow this an example. Say you are working at 9E as a 7 year FO. Today they announce that the last Endeavor flight is Sept 29, 2015. All the -200s will be parked in Arizona and the -900s are distributed to TSA, PSA, Compass, and Skywest. By 09/2015, you won't have a job. Now if that is announced today, are you really going to stick around until then? Of course not. Nearly all FOs will bail to the first job offer available, and many will choose to go to PSA and TSA for the quick upgrade. But from 9E's perspective, that's a worse case scenario because now they have jets and a flight schedule for 10 more months that simply cannot be manned. The way to staff all the way to shutdown is to offer severance and bonus payouts as a method of enticing pilots to stick until the end. Comair did this and flew their schedule until Sept 29, 2012. You have to see it for what it is. I don't think Endeavor will be fully shut down by Sept '15 but based on the 2-year bonus program, the first payment of 09/30/2015 sounds like it will coincide with the parking of the entire -200 fleet, the last of which will leave by 09/29/2015.

I don't wish ill on any airline. Pilots are human and we all have wives/kids to take care of and provide for. A shut down hurts everyone. Hopefully 2015 turns out to be a great year for hiring at every legacy and LCC carrier. Oil is down, so going into 1st quarter looks good.
This should be a 9E sticky...
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Old 11-24-2014, 05:46 AM
  #23  
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Originally Posted by vilcas View Post
That bonus is not just for people on property today. If you get hired tomorrow you will get bonus money. This is something for new hires to consider. If new hires show up in sufficient number upgrades will start. When upgrades start life will get better for all. Attrition off the top won't just be to Delta. There are other airlines hiring like United and American.
Yeah as for movement, a lot of folks are focused on how the SSP guarantees 12 a month or 144 a year versus 300 a year under the EtD... I will say that number does go up over time; there will be 15 a month (180/year) in 2017 and 20 a month (240/year) in 2018.

Though, I do agree with Shy guy and many others that the pre BK contract ought to be restored, I think beeotching that the SSP isn't generous enough angers Delta pilots and Delta management (since word gets around). Thus burning potential good will to bring on more Endeavor pilots through contractual improvements to the SSP. There are/were many things to be mad about, but for the people staying at Endeavor I don't think complaining is gonna sweeten the deals offered.
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Old 11-24-2014, 07:18 AM
  #24  
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Originally Posted by vilcas View Post
That bonus is not just for people on property today. If you get hired tomorrow you will get bonus money. This is something for new hires to consider. If new hires show up in sufficient number upgrades will start. When upgrades start life will get better for all. Attrition off the top won't just be to Delta. There are other airlines hiring like United and American.
Parking planes does not = upgrades
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Old 11-24-2014, 07:32 AM
  #25  
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Originally Posted by vilcas View Post
That bonus is not just for people on property today. If you get hired tomorrow you will get bonus money. This is something for new hires to consider. If new hires show up in sufficient number upgrades will start. When upgrades start life will get better for all. Attrition off the top won't just be to Delta. There are other airlines hiring like United and American.
Parking planes does not = upgrades
That guy is clueless.
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Old 11-24-2014, 07:43 AM
  #26  
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Originally Posted by vilcas View Post
That bonus is not just for people on property today. If you get hired tomorrow you will get bonus money. This is something for new hires to consider. If new hires show up in sufficient number upgrades will start. When upgrades start life will get better for all. Attrition off the top won't just be to Delta. There are other airlines hiring like United and American.
How can that even be possible with a final fleet count of 81 aircraft. I was never considered a math wiz but that would mean a lot more downgrades not upgrades.....
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Old 11-24-2014, 09:05 AM
  #27  
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Assuming a stagnant seniority list a shrinking fleet for sure means no upgrades. However, it is more complicated than that. Theoretically, if a higher percentage of captains attrition out of here compared to FOs you could have upgrades and this is what the company was hoping for. However, the reality as of late the attrition has been heavy from the right seat in comparison to the left...which if it continues means continued downgrades.
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Old 11-24-2014, 09:22 AM
  #28  
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Which if continued, will cause an inability to staff the airline, means cancelled flights.

If the mass exodus continues further, then the airline will be forced to either shrink to less than 81 900's or cease to exist.

With the legacies and tier 2 airlines and cargo carriers all increasing hiring more and more each month, there simply won't be any pilots left to fly the fleet!

It's a lose-lose situation for everyone on property. Endeavor is taking on water like the titanic. Better jump into a life raft NOW because the life rafts have limited space and releasing the ropes from the mothership as we speak.
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Old 11-24-2014, 09:31 AM
  #29  
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Originally Posted by FlyingOkra View Post
Parking planes does not = upgrades
This is true if no one leave this company. However, there's about 50 pilots leaving here a month. Would you agree that once Evdeavor gets to 81 airplanes and pilots continue to leave there will be upgrades once again? No one said when that will be but it will at some point.
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Old 11-24-2014, 09:51 AM
  #30  
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I don't think Delta is done pulling rabbits out of hats for this place. They are running out of rabbits though. I think the next rabbit will come when we get close to the 81 plane end state (mid 2015). If there is no rabbit pulled...then we are dead.
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