PilotDude72

Long time lurker, first time poster.

My question to all you high speed Envoy pilots that are worried about the flow is, whats stopping you from getting what the major's want in a few years at Envoy and applying outside of the flow? Seems to me like doing this and having the flow as a sort of insurance plan would give Envoy a distinct advantage over other regionals.

Am I mistaken to assume that you have to opportunity at Envoy to make yourself a very marketable applicant to a major within 3-4 years?

35Right

I believe the consnsus thought is that AAG believes the flow is enough of an incentive for recruitment without needing to increase pay, except that the flow isnt working as promised....which means lower pay AND long time flow.

If the flow worked as intended, it would be an advantage. Thats just my understanding from reading these forums lately.

PilotDude72

I agree, the pay could go up and match the industry, but the flow is a legitimate incentive regardless of the pay. Even if 5 pilots a month flow to AA thats a distinct advantage most other regionals can't offer.

I understand the frustration people experience when their expectations aren't met, but if you take a step back and try to look at the situation objectively it seems that any flow is an advantage above other regional employers.

More to the point of this thread, whats stopping an Envoy pilot from trying to jump the line and apply directly to AA once they have the PIC time?

35Right

Nothing

(Filler)

Otterbox

Flow makes people complacent... applying OTS to the majors becomes more way difficult than taking the path of least resistance (flow) that gets folks there eventually...

TransWorld

For 2017, AA hired 645.

Of those, 360 (56%) were flows (263 from Envoy, 52 from PSA, and 45 from PDT.) There were 225 (35%) Mil OTS and 60 (9%) Civ OTS.

So, very few slots were Civ OTS hires, which is were someone jumping the flow would be categorized.


Now, the current forecast for 2018 is to hire 920 (best info, although lots will disagree - reverified by the Schoolhouse a week ago). That is an increase of 275 MORE hires. Where will they come from? Unless flows change, not much there. Unless they can wrangle a higher percentage of Mil coming available, not much there.

A reasonable forecast would be a significant amount of those ADDITIONAL 275 slots will be from Civ OTS. That is a radical change from were it has been (only 60). It may approach the number of flow hires. And we have not even hit the peak retirements.

Again, some here will strongly disagree, saying hiring will stop because furloughs are around the corner despite massive retirements. Others will say there is some other magic pot of Mil OTS that are just waiting to be hired. But, this is the way I see it.

BIueSideUp

You’re so right. We should be groveling in gratitude for this precious flow. If you want to call it an “insurance plan”, it’s about as useful as hurricane insurance in North Dakota. For anyone new to this game, that’s all the weight you should give it. 9 - 10 years flow is positively useless. Nobody has any idea what the industry will look like by then, and even then so, flow will likely not exist. Don’t even start with the “but it’s contractual” junk. We all know that ANYTHING can change. I can’t believe you all believe that this is such a wonderful bargaining chip that you’re holding like it’s the golden ticket or something. It won’t be long before this comes back to bite. Anyone reading this trying to make a decision - do what’s best for your quality of life and will achieve your goals. Envoy will do neither. If your goal is flight time, reserve isn’t the place for you. If you wanted flow, well sorry to bust your bubble but that’s not such a hot item anymore.


By the way, don’t look now but your mgmt tag is hanging out. Saw it from across the room.

PilotDude72

So much saltiness, it's almost as if you enjoy it that way...

Anywho, I'm just a lowly RTP guy looking for some useful information on this website. After sifting through a big heaping pile of pilot BS for something of value to no avail, I decided to start this thread to see if anyone could quantify why they thought this flow deal was such a bust. Still waiting on that...

But hey man, thanks for bringing your opinion. I feel a lot more informed already.

Whiskey4

I think you’re forgetting one major advantage the flow provides Envoy pilots over other regionals...

Flow is the best attrition generator that any pilot could ever hope for. The best type of attrition is that happening at the very top. That is because everyone below the people leaving benefits.

This fact is, of course, the reason why every pilot’s spoken (or unspoken...if you have manners) first thought about hearing some career ending event happen to another pilot is not, “How is his family” or “Is he going to be okay?”, but rather “What is his seniority number?” Everyone wants to know if they are going to move up in seniority based QOL! It’s a natural reaction.

Anyways, flow at Envoy currently provides every pilot on property a fairly consistent 25 numbers of increased seniority status while on property. Even people not planning to flow gained 263 seniority spots without even factoring in outside attrition...which was a large gain for the very junior (an additional 100-150 seniority numbers), and a minimal extra gain for the senior.

I think people forget that many other regional pilots can only rely on random attrition from all over the seniority list. Envoy pilots look forward to steady, positive gains in seniority their entire time on the list...even if they elect not to flow. In my opinion, that is a serious benefit of flow even if you think the time to flow is unacceptable for your career goals.

I know that I have personally benefitted from 263 people leaving the top of the list this year. My bidding position in my status has improved dramatically, OT pickup for good turns is getting easier, etc. Those are tangible benefits that work for my family.

Now, if we can get pay increases and/or some positive workrule changes to pair with that...I’m all in!!

bigtime209

Flow is definitely not a bust, but definitely not the rainbow and unicorns that the recruiting department would want you to believe- at least not for the guys hired today. The guys that got hired between 2015 and 2106 that will actually see a 5ish year flow, those guys hit the lottery. But for a guy hired today, the flow is a nice insurance policy and something that will keep attrition going off the top.

Very valid point.