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Old 10-04-2021 | 09:57 AM
  #61  
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Originally Posted by AV8R72
I think it’s tough to tell. We have 500 FOs legal for upgrade right now, I would guess we’ll probably upgrade 100 a quarter for the next year…but we should also have another 2-300 meet the hours. Pretty much everyone who didn’t get furlough should have the hours by January 2023.

I think it all depends on junior CA/senior FO attrition. If it stays 15-25/mo we may be doing forced upgrades this time next year
2000+ seniority guys are getting hired at majors. It's not staying at 15-25/mo, it will go up.
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Old 10-04-2021 | 10:00 AM
  #62  
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Originally Posted by eligible2flow
lol how do you figure 18 months?
It’s a SWAG, based on a finely calibrated E6B and abacus while looking at the past happenings and peering into a foggy crystal ball through RayBans.
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Old 10-04-2021 | 10:28 AM
  #63  
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Originally Posted by eligible2flow
2000+ seniority guys are getting hired at majors. It's not staying at 15-25/mo, it will go up.
It went down since august. It was only 27 in September
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Old 10-04-2021 | 10:31 AM
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Originally Posted by AV8R72
It went down since august. It was only 27 in September
Nice to know, totally missed that email from ALPA
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Old 10-04-2021 | 10:37 AM
  #65  
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Originally Posted by eligible2flow
2000+ seniority guys are getting hired at majors. It's not staying at 15-25/mo, it will go up.
In 2022, all the majors (PAX and Freight Dogs) plus the LCCs are forecast to hire 9,000. After hiring ex military and other sources of pilots (charter, etc.), that translates to a net of about 1/3 of all the regional pilots.
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Old 10-04-2021 | 12:19 PM
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would be interesting to know whats next if the % of all active captains that turn in the repayment agreement is low. They’re really pushing for it
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Old 10-04-2021 | 01:10 PM
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Originally Posted by Chato
would be interesting to know whats next if the % of all active captains that turn in the repayment agreement is low. They’re really pushing for it
Yep. If you’re eligible now, you have to sign it and take it NOW, or not at all.
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Old 10-04-2021 | 01:35 PM
  #68  
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Originally Posted by Chato
Nice to know, totally missed that email from ALPA
I haven’t seen it published anywhere. It was noted in a P2P meeting I saw notes from
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Old 10-05-2021 | 12:58 AM
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Originally Posted by achfly
You're completely right.... CommutAir experienced this for a minute this summer when they stopped getting EXJ captains.... During the previous 18 months their FOs hadn't flown enough to upgrade..... We've lost so many captains and LCAs... the LCAs still around are ONLY doing IOE for the upgrades that are coming through. I passed my checkride on 19 July.... Haven't been contacted about IOE yet... Everyone says- enjoy your paid vacation! Yeah, after taxes and health insurance I'm getting about 2100 a month. Doesn't cover the bills. I've got 1k hours part 121(E175) but opted to go through training as an FO rather than captain due to being out of the cockpit for over a year and not being familiar with the E145 (or C5's turboprop procedures) I was planning to upgrade right after consolidation but now looks like there's gonna be 30-40 of us that won't make it through consolidation. I should have been in upgrade this month...
So here I find myself strolling around Envoy forums waiting to see how your vacancy plays out. DEC on 175 in DFW???? LOL Probably wishful thinking.
come to Breeze.
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Old 12-01-2021 | 03:13 PM
  #70  
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Originally Posted by TransWorld
In 2022, all the majors (PAX and Freight Dogs) plus the LCCs are forecast to hire 9,000. After hiring ex military and other sources of pilots (charter, etc.), that translates to a net of about 1/3 of all the regional pilots.
So out of curiosity, what do you all think would be the smart/best next step for a 23 year old Regional FO with 2,500 hours, 1,000 of which are 121 SIC (the rest were PIC as CFI) with a 4 year degree, no background issues, able to live anywhere (can move to whatever base). Only downside is straight white male, so no diversity boxes checked.
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