Economic Impacts of Iran War
#171
On Reserve
Joined: May 2024
Posts: 197
Likes: 107
I think it’s the unwavering blind loyalty talking.
#172
If we don't take out Xerxes now, we estimate they're only months to possibly a decade away from making Greek fire, and then what? I know Darius said he wasn't going to pursue it, and after Salamis, we'd pretty much obliterated all of their manufacturing capability, but I hear they've been chanting death to Sparta, so we better round up everybody we can to go help out Athens.
#173
Line Holder
Joined: Dec 2015
Posts: 927
Likes: 29
From: B777 CA
https://nypost.com/2026/03/18/lifest...o-fuel-prices/
SAS to cancel a 1000 flights due to soaring gas prices
SAS to cancel a 1000 flights due to soaring gas prices
#174
Gets Weekends Off
Joined: Apr 2011
Posts: 3,488
Likes: 137
If we don't take out Xerxes now, we estimate they're only months to possibly a decade away from making Greek fire, and then what? I know Darius said he wasn't going to pursue it, and after Salamis, we'd pretty much obliterated all of their manufacturing capability, but I hear they've been chanting death to Sparta, so we better round up everybody we can to go help out Athens.
#175
Gets Weekends Off
Joined: Jul 2013
Posts: 12,520
Likes: 1,104
The minute a non-farcical, quasi-verifiable no enrichment/salt accord is signed, this ends. But as noted here more than once, by summer latest, we’ll announce unilateral, premature victory & pause. Saddam had no program. These children sacrificing monsters do. Think and say whatever you want to about it, political bs aside, this is what stalking spiritual fanatics wielding superpower swords looks like. Should’ve dealt with this 20 years ago.
#176
https://nypost.com/2026/03/18/lifest...o-fuel-prices/
SAS to cancel a 1000 flights due to soaring gas prices
SAS to cancel a 1000 flights due to soaring gas prices
#177
Gets Weekends Off
Joined: Apr 2011
Posts: 3,488
Likes: 137
Oh yes, we’re guilty as hell. Not to mention who it was built the 1st Little Boy. What concerns me most is how stretched thin our global police force has become. If we weren’t in over our heads after surrender in Afghanistan, we are now. Taco Tuesday is fast approaching. Has to be.
#178
Banned
Joined: Feb 2025
Posts: 41
Likes: 51
It amazes me that a President's voluntary actions are likely to put the economy into a deep recession (if not worse), destabilize the world, and severely strain relationships with our Allies and nobody has the Chutzpah to do anything about it. If Americans aren't coming home in body bags are they simply numb to their future?
From the Financial Times:
Donald Trump’s one-time pick to lead the Bureau of Labor Statistics has said the US economy is too weak to handle oil at $100 per barrel as he warned of rising consumer prices triggered by the war in Iran.
“I don’t think this is an economy that is going to be able to handle $100 a barrel for oil, it’s just not,” EJ Antoni told the FT.
“The economy is weaker than we thought it was, and inflation is worse than we thought it was,” he added in a call on Wednesday, shortly before the Federal Reserve’s March rate-setting meeting.
“The lower energy prices that we saw in 2025 helped put downward pressure on prices throughout the economy. Now . . . we’re going to see higher energy prices have exactly the opposite effect and put upward pressure on prices throughout the economy.”
From the Financial Times:
Donald Trump’s one-time pick to lead the Bureau of Labor Statistics has said the US economy is too weak to handle oil at $100 per barrel as he warned of rising consumer prices triggered by the war in Iran.
“I don’t think this is an economy that is going to be able to handle $100 a barrel for oil, it’s just not,” EJ Antoni told the FT.
“The economy is weaker than we thought it was, and inflation is worse than we thought it was,” he added in a call on Wednesday, shortly before the Federal Reserve’s March rate-setting meeting.
“The lower energy prices that we saw in 2025 helped put downward pressure on prices throughout the economy. Now . . . we’re going to see higher energy prices have exactly the opposite effect and put upward pressure on prices throughout the economy.”
#179
Banned
Joined: Feb 2025
Posts: 41
Likes: 51
We are pretty much already at peak escalation, a full-on invasion simply isn't in the cards from a practical military perspective. IR has nothing left after the SoH, other than random one-off TBM shots and low-intensity terror ops, all of which they've been doing for years anyway. Their AF and Navy are destroyed, and they have no IADS left. We can also plink away at their mech and armor inventory, leaving the ground forces as just light infantry. Not that their ground forces matter aside from domestic oppression and maybe deterring Iraq long-term.
The question now is how long to either open the strait, setup some scheme to enable shipping, or negotiate an armistice. Or likely some combination. Yes there's uncertainty as to duration and extent of economic impact. But the US administration *should* have a political incentive to minimize that (IL probably doesn't, like the GCC they want to get in their licks while the getting is good).
Of note, the GCC states are now pushing the US to fully dismantle IR's force projection capabilities before we call it off. Like most, they were not in favor of this evolution, but not that we're here they want to take full advantage of it.
The question now is how long to either open the strait, setup some scheme to enable shipping, or negotiate an armistice. Or likely some combination. Yes there's uncertainty as to duration and extent of economic impact. But the US administration *should* have a political incentive to minimize that (IL probably doesn't, like the GCC they want to get in their licks while the getting is good).
Of note, the GCC states are now pushing the US to fully dismantle IR's force projection capabilities before we call it off. Like most, they were not in favor of this evolution, but not that we're here they want to take full advantage of it.
Depends how desperate we all get, I suppose. I think we have a long way to go if we don't find a way out. The Iranians are facing an existential threat, and I'm not sure Trump has a way to get out of this without accepting a very ugly deal.
#180
Line Holder
Joined: Jul 2021
Posts: 621
Likes: 47
It amazes me that a President's voluntary actions are likely to put the economy into a deep recession (if not worse), destabilize the world, and severely strain relationships with our Allies and nobody has the Chutzpah to do anything about it. If Americans aren't coming home in body bags are they simply numb to their future?
Iran being closer to a nuke proves better justification, not better opportunity.
Kinda of pathetic how prepared our allies are considering midnight hammer really wasn’t that long ago.
It begs the question of how good their playbook really was for Iran having nukes.
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