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#891
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Jan 2014
Posts: 1,299
I don't think reserve times for captains are dropping just yet. I've been keeping track the last few months since it effects my decision to stop bypassing. Maybe you're using other information. I'm using TallFlyer's charts he puts out each month. I have screenshots of each month from April to July. Although negligible, captain reserve has actually gotten longer in every base except DCA. It hasn't really increased by much, so you could argue that it's basically staying steady.
I will agree though, that reserve times will EVENTUALLY drop. Right now captain attrition is only about 10 each month, but we are upgrading 25 a month. I think attrition will start to pick up since the majors haven't begun their huge hiring waves yet, but I Don't think that will happen until later this year or possibly into early 2018.
I will also agree the remaining 700s will increase the total lines, but with the total attrition company wide...even if the company doubles pay for everyone, I don't see how we're going to get every 700 that's yet to come over. Right now we're just keeping up with taking 1 a month. At that rate it'll be almost 3 years until we get the last 700. But you never know, American might have big plans we haven't even thought of yet. I would guess if we do receive all of the 700s that probably means we're going to be rollin in the dough and/or have a seniority number at mainline.
The next year will be very interesting to say the least.
I will agree though, that reserve times will EVENTUALLY drop. Right now captain attrition is only about 10 each month, but we are upgrading 25 a month. I think attrition will start to pick up since the majors haven't begun their huge hiring waves yet, but I Don't think that will happen until later this year or possibly into early 2018.
I will also agree the remaining 700s will increase the total lines, but with the total attrition company wide...even if the company doubles pay for everyone, I don't see how we're going to get every 700 that's yet to come over. Right now we're just keeping up with taking 1 a month. At that rate it'll be almost 3 years until we get the last 700. But you never know, American might have big plans we haven't even thought of yet. I would guess if we do receive all of the 700s that probably means we're going to be rollin in the dough and/or have a seniority number at mainline.
The next year will be very interesting to say the least.
#893
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Jan 2014
Posts: 1,299
they also said the wanted classes of 20-25...which is smaller than we were rolling with when the growth was really happening. i dont understand all of that, but its interesting to see that it appears we are growing responsibly? if you can all it that.
#894
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Feb 2015
Position: Downward Dog
Posts: 1,877
#895
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Joined APC: Jun 2015
Posts: 350
Reason being - that way there is no backlog in any phases of training (unlike at other regionals where you have weeks/months between phases and you have to get refreshers - and since we don't have initial AQP yet that helps with washout rate).
#896
Line Holder
Joined APC: Jun 2017
Posts: 30
#897
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Feb 2014
Position: military rotary wing, dual seat
Posts: 135
#899
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Jun 2015
Posts: 350
#900
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Jun 2017
Posts: 1,109
The last few awards have gone through more than 45 pilots each award. Let's say the next award only goes through 40. That's #997 on the list. He's been here only one year and 2 days. So after training, he's been on line about 9-10 months. If he flew his butt off he'll have 800 hours at best.
If the company doesn't raise captain pay for all captains... they better hope there's enough previous 121 FO's in the bottom 25% of the list to bail them out.
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