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Old 01-25-2023, 04:48 PM
  #41  
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Originally Posted by highfarfast View Post
Do you really want to bet its later rather than sooner?
Sure. Bet my life and my families all the time riding regional airlines. I do it without a second thought.

I agree with an infinite number of regional departures a pilot will eventually kill someone. But all available evidence suggests the rate is really really really low. Certainly favors no pax dying at a regional pilot's hands in 2023.
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Old 01-25-2023, 04:54 PM
  #42  
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Originally Posted by Brickfire View Post
Sure. Bet my life and my families all the time riding regional airlines. I do it without a second thought.

I agree with an infinite number of regional departures a pilot will eventually kill someone. But all available evidence suggests the rate is really really really low. Certainly favors no pax dying at a regional pilot's hands in 2023.
I think you’re missing the point. I certainly am not talking about betting against a single flight. I’m talking about betting against the fleet for however many years you intend to be associated with that fleet. It will happen. Maybe not in 2023. But it will happen.

Last edited by highfarfast; 01-25-2023 at 05:34 PM.
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Old 01-25-2023, 06:12 PM
  #43  
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That’s the big question. Is “eventually” next year, next decade or next century. There’s good reason to think it might be the 30’s before it happens.
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Old 01-25-2023, 07:15 PM
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Originally Posted by Brickfire View Post
That’s the big question. Is “eventually” next year, next decade or next century. There’s good reason to think it might be the 30’s before it happens.
I don't plan on waiting around to find out.
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Old 01-25-2023, 10:24 PM
  #45  
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Originally Posted by amcnd View Post
SkyWest has 14 CRJ 200’s in Heavy C check in TUS right now…
Interesting fact. But with a wide, wide range of possible interpretations. I believe there are like 10 different variations on the crj “C” check. A C4 (at around 20,000hrs) or a C8 (40,000) are the heaviest and can take 2,000-4,000 hours of labor to complete.

If my numbers are in the ballpark. And you are only flying half of the 200s you own. And 5 percent of your fleet is undergoing “heavy” maintenance. And your mechanic staffing is as thin as your captain staffing. Well I don’t know what it adds up to, but it doesn’t add up to retiring the -200. Probably adds up to weak data, or weak assumptions.
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Old 01-26-2023, 05:07 AM
  #46  
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Originally Posted by Brickfire View Post
Maybe not. it's been a LONG time since a passenger died on a US 121 turbofan airframe because of a pilot. Less than 5 events in the last 30 years.
In a large part thanks to the ATP rule.
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Old 02-17-2023, 01:13 PM
  #47  
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Number of parked aircraft for each regional, seen today on social media. Source is RAA.
Attached Images
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Old 02-17-2023, 01:19 PM
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Whyyyyy is Gojet still being held up by United!?? Are they trying to get rid of shareholder value?? What is wrong with this clown world. Gojet gotta go. Worst % of them all.
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Old 02-17-2023, 02:11 PM
  #49  
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Originally Posted by TwoDaysBehind View Post
Whyyyyy is Gojet still being held up by United!?? Are they trying to get rid of shareholder value?? What is wrong with this clown world. Gojet gotta go. Worst % of them all.
Desperate for jets and pilots
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Old 02-17-2023, 02:13 PM
  #50  
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Hmmm, Envoy parked a lot more than that. But also added some airplanes. Guess this is supposed to be a net change kinda thing and not really a parked airplane kinda thing...

Also, what is the time frame for the parking/change? Table no say.
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