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11-13-2007 | 09:54 PM

#31

madman moe

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From: whichever one makes you more angry

Quote:

Originally Posted by cbire880

Yeah, I base the three years for someone hired today. We are not expect significant additional growth right now. Probably top out around 2300 pilots. We have just under 2100 right now. Junior upgrade this round was around 1250. Assuming average attrition of 30/month, that gives about 28-35 months based on which point of that hiring curve. Guys hired earlier this year will upgrade faster. That huge push from last fall to today really messes up predictions based on current events. The questions is when will the plateau hit.

Not saying you're wrong, but haven't I read somewhere that they said they're anticipating something like 700 new hires in '08?

11-13-2007 | 10:06 PM

#32

ToiletDuck

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Quote:

Originally Posted by Joeshmoe

Yes, dead serious. No, not obvious at all. Again, your quote was "The gouge came from the IFR oral guide." Before you decide to short circuit go back and read what you wrote. No big deal though. No harm no foul.

Yes I have and you're still missing the point which is somewhat troubling.

11-13-2007 | 10:07 PM

#33

ToiletDuck

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Quote:

Originally Posted by madman moe

Not saying you're wrong, but haven't I read somewhere that they said they're anticipating something like 700 new hires in '08?

madman it hasn't been written. He said it in the quarterly report. You can search here for the link and listen to it.

11-14-2007 | 05:58 AM

#34

cbire880

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From: E170 FO

Quote:

Originally Posted by madman moe

Not saying you're wrong, but haven't I read somewhere that they said they're anticipating something like 700 new hires in '08?

That sounds about right to me. (30/mo attrition = 360 pilots per year plus the growth from 2100 to 2300 = 200 pilots) That's 560 pilots. If attrition spikes to 40/mo then you get 680 pilots. I'm sticking to the 2-3 year estimate(hedging towards 3).

11-15-2007 | 12:28 PM

#35

Joeshmoe

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From: 170 babysitter

Quote:

Originally Posted by ToiletDuck

Yes I have and you're still missing the point which is somewhat troubling.

Explain what "point" it is I am missing with it being CRYSTAL clear what you wrote was contradictory???? Quite honestly what is disturbing is that you still can't recognize it, BUT go ahead and try to convince me.

11-19-2007 | 07:41 PM

#36

citationdrvrmob

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Got the call about two hours after leaving the interview. S5, Jan 9, STL. Anyone else starting then? Gouge to follow.

11-19-2007 | 08:03 PM

#37

Joeshmoe

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From: 170 babysitter

Quote:

Originally Posted by citationdrvrmob

Got the call about two hours after leaving the interview. S5, Jan 9, STL. Anyone else starting then? Gouge to follow.

Atta boy. Congrats.

11-19-2007 | 08:59 PM

#38

citationdrvrmob

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HR made a big push to let us know that due to fleet increases and pilot attrition, they are planning to hire 1,000 pilots in 2008. I think I'm getting on at a great point in time.