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Old 03-26-2014, 09:35 AM
  #871  
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Originally Posted by jungle View Post
You are correct, there is no evidence of terrorism.


There is also no evidence of aircraft malfunction.... (abridged)


Not quite so. There was a sighting by oil rig worker Mike Mackay, on Song Mercur oil rig, who noted at the requisite time an aircraft west of himself in the vicinity of Ca Mau peninsula (circa waypoint BIBAN) on fire for 10 or 15 seconds before the flames went out. He said it continued to fly and did not seem to deviate left [south] or right [north] either coming towards him or going away. He said it was about 70 kilometres distant.




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Old 03-26-2014, 09:42 AM
  #872  
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Originally Posted by F4E Mx View Post
If you did have a fire in the cockpit you would not necessarily have a structural failure. You would expect the pilots to depressurize the aircraft, descend, and head for the nearest suitable airport. The aircraft did descend, and did a 120 degree left turn in the general direction of an airport with a 12,500 foot runway.
That was the bogus story generated by the Malaysian Authorities, that it climbed to 45,000ft, turned west, then descended to 5,000ft "using terrain masking" and popped up again off Sumatra zig-zagging all over the Straits of Malacca before heading west climbing at 29,500ft.

No doubt it had a comic book hero at the controls.
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Old 03-26-2014, 09:54 AM
  #873  
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Originally Posted by HIFLYR View Post
99% of the time there is time for at least one mayday mayday call out flying over the ocean that would be the first thing I would do.
Really? I'm looking at our Oceanic Driftdown Checklist, which have about 11 steps before making calls and touching the transponder.
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Old 03-26-2014, 10:09 AM
  #874  
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Originally Posted by SyGunson View Post
Not quite so. There was a sighting by oil rig worker Mike Mackay, on Song Mercur oil rig, who noted at the requisite time an aircraft west of himself in the vicinity of Ca Mau peninsula (circa waypoint BIBAN) on fire for 10 or 15 seconds before the flames went out. He said it continued to fly and did not seem to deviate left [south] or right [north] either coming towards him or going away. He said it was about 70 kilometres distant.




You fell for that? There are volumes of UFO sightings you may want to look into. Any real aviation investigator or trial lawyer will tell you that eyewitness accounts are almost worthless, even those from otherwise well-qualified individuals.

Courtney Love claims she saw the wreckage from her aircraft complete with latlongs, are you going to buy that?
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Old 03-26-2014, 10:19 AM
  #875  
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Originally Posted by SyGunson View Post
I'll tell you what I would consider is a suicide note.
Big assumption, suicides don't always leave notes, terrorist do not try to take credit for failed missions, and nut cases always defy logic.
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Old 03-26-2014, 10:43 AM
  #876  
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Originally Posted by SyGunson View Post
Not quite so. There was a sighting by oil rig worker Mike Mackay, on Song Mercur oil rig, who noted at the requisite time an aircraft west of himself in the vicinity of Ca Mau peninsula (circa waypoint BIBAN) on fire for 10 or 15 seconds before the flames went out. He said it continued to fly and did not seem to deviate left [south] or right [north] either coming towards him or going away. He said it was about 70 kilometres distant.




So this guy made the observation of a burning, intact plane, 30+ miles away, in the middle of the night? With what, Gen 3 NVG binoculars?
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Old 03-26-2014, 10:53 AM
  #877  
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Originally Posted by HIFLYR View Post
99% of the time there is time for at least one mayday mayday call out flying over the ocean that would be the first thing I would do. Very few malfunctions would take out all three radios, but going silent is the one of the things that can happen during a hijack or crew involvement.
I hate to put it this way, but to back up what you are saying, I would find it highly unlikely a crew from Malaysia would deviate from the assigned flight path without notifying or getting permission from ATC. A US crew would have no problem immediately deviating in order to fight the problem (system failure, fire etc) and get pointed towards an emergency field, but I think it unlikely a crew from that part of the world would do something like that on their own.

Most US crews, facing (for instance) a fire, would immediately turn towards the emergency field, work the problem and tell ATC what they were doing when they had time (which could be a quick call simultaneously and "I'll get back to you in a minute").

That is why it makes sense that the turn was deliberate.
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Old 03-26-2014, 11:06 AM
  #878  
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Originally Posted by Sink r8 View Post
Really? I'm looking at our Oceanic Driftdown Checklist, which have about 11 steps before making calls and touching the transponder.
Yea really my buddy 777 driver and myself were just talking about this we both agree first thing mayday. You really can't say mayday while the other guy is getting the drift down checklist.
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Old 03-26-2014, 12:03 PM
  #879  
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Originally Posted by HIFLYR View Post
Yea really my buddy 777 driver and myself were just talking about this we both agree first thing mayday. You really can't say mayday while the other guy is getting the drift down checklist.
I don't know what you mean by the second sentence, since it contradicts the first, but I'm going to assume to you're saying "mayday first" is the way to go. Maybe that's how you guys fly, and perhaps my procedures are incorrect. Our philosophy seems designed to prioritize aviating, then navigating, and communicating last. Seems pretty logical to me in cases where you have seconds of TUC, or a few knots to E/O speed. Not being sarcastic when I say this, but it seems pretty basic to me.

I am discussing contingencies in the context of being on the tracks, but I don't know exactly what coverage these guys were working under. Even if I was in VHF and radar contact, I'd perform a number of tasks first, before talking to anyone. They might only take 20-30 seconds, but there is a window there, where I would be preoccupied with things other than ATC.

With the very incomplete picture I have, it makes me wonder whether it's possible these guys started a few steps, got the aircraft started down, and passed out while within that window. Maybe the oxygen was not fully open, maybe they didn't put it on, maybe there was a fire. I have no idea, CNN definitely has no idea, and based on the unverified information available to the public, I'm pretty sure most of us have no idea.
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Old 03-26-2014, 12:14 PM
  #880  
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Originally Posted by HIFLYR View Post
99% of the time there is time for at least one mayday mayday call out flying over the ocean that would be the first thing I would do. Very few malfunctions would take out all three radios, but going silent is the one of the things that can happen during a hijack or crew involvement.
Wasn't there a 141 that crashed shortly after takeoff out of Sigonella, the crew had been overcome by chemical fumes, not sure if any calls were made.
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